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請用此 Handle URI 來引用此文件: http://tdr.lib.ntu.edu.tw/jspui/handle/123456789/1111
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dc.contributor.advisor王泓仁,陳南光
dc.contributor.authorZhao-Liang Lien
dc.contributor.author李昭亮zh_TW
dc.date.accessioned2021-05-12T09:32:43Z-
dc.date.available2018-08-14
dc.date.available2021-05-12T09:32:43Z-
dc.date.copyright2018-08-14
dc.date.issued2018
dc.date.submitted2018-08-09
dc.identifier.citationAttanasio, O., & Mesnard, A. (2006). The impact of a conditional cash transfer pro- gramme on consumption in Colombia. Fiscal studies, 27(4), 421-442.
Aristei, D., Perali, F., & Pieroni, L. (2008). Cohort, age and time effects in alcohol con- sumption by Italian households: a double-hurdle approach. Empirical Economics, 35(1), 29-61.
Bittencourt, M. V., Teratanavat, R. P., & Chern, W. S. (2007). Food consumption and demographics in Japan: Implications for an aging population. Agribusiness: An In- ternational Journal, 23(4), 529-551.
Deaton, A., & Paxson, C. (1994). Saving, growth, and aging in Taiwan. In Studies in the Economics of Aging (pp. 331-362). University of Chicago Press.
Deaton, A. (1997). The analysis of household surveys: a microeconometric approach to development policy. The World Bank.
Gál, R. I., Szabó, E., & Vargha, L. (2015). The age-profile of invisible transfers: The true size of asymmetry in inter-age reallocations. The Journal of the Economics of Ageing, 5, 98-104.
Gertler, P., Martinez, S., & Rubio-Codina, M. (2012). Investing Cash Transfers to Raise Long-Term Living Standards. American Economic Journal: Applied Economics, 4(1), 164-92.
Getzen, T. E. (2001). Aging and health care expenditures: A comment on Zweifel, Felder and Meiers. Health Economics, 10(2), 175-177.
Jappelli, T. (1999). The Age-Wealth Profile and the Life Cycle Hypothesis: A Cohort Analysis with a Time Series of Cross Sections of Italian Households. Review of Income and Wealth, 45(1), 57-75.
Lai, N. M. S., & Tung, A. C. (2015). Who supports the elderly? The changing economic lifecycle reallocation in Taiwan, 1985 and 2005. The Journal of the Economics of Ageing, 5, 63-68.
Lee, R. (2014). How population aging affects the macroeconomy. In Panel on demo- graphics, Federal Reserve Conference, Jackson Hole.
UN (2013), National Transfer Accounts Manual: Measuring and Analysing the Genera- 29 tional Economy, United Nations, New York.
范芝萍. (2009). 少子化和高齡化對家庭消費及其組成的影響. 明新學報, 35(2),131-153.
陳宗玄, 朱瑞淵, 陳英玉, 李慧珊. (2014). 臺灣家庭美容美髮支出世代分析. 人文社會科學研究, 8(4), 40-56.
謝淑芬. (2007). 家計單位人口結構對旅遊消費支出影響之研究-分量迴歸模型之應用. 戶外遊憩研究, 20(3), 47-72.
董安期, 蔡青龍, 謝餘慶, 鄭冠榮, 洪偉峰 (2013). 少子化下依賴人口消費及代間移轉之研究. 行政院經濟建設委員會委託研究 (研究編號:(102)047.816).
洪嘉瑜, 銀慶貞. (2008). 台灣人口遷移屬性與動機的變化. 東吳經濟商學學報, 61,31-66.
行政院衛生福利部. (2014). 中華民國 102 年老人狀況調查報告.
行政院內政部. (2010).中華民國98年老人狀況調查報告.
經建會. (2012). 中華民國 2012 年至 2060 年人口推計報告.
dc.identifier.urihttp://tdr.lib.ntu.edu.tw/handle/123456789/1111-
dc.description.abstract臺灣人口結構高齡化速度極快,老人福利政策益發重要,但針對老人津貼的效益仍未有具體的分析,本文利用臺灣主計總處 1994-2016 年家庭收支調查,依戶長出生年劃分為世代追蹤資料,在控制家戶組成、各項所得後,考慮年齡、世代、時間、地區固定效果下探討老人家戶對於從政府移轉收入的邊際消費傾向。估計結果顯示鄉村家戶的邊際消費傾向顯著為正且遞減,城市家戶的邊際消費傾向則在統計上及經濟上皆不顯著,若政府欲發放普遍性的老人年金以改善老人福利,根據本文結果分配預算時應著重鄉村老人的補助。zh_TW
dc.description.abstractTaiwan's population is aging rapidly, and it makes senior citizens welfare more important. However, the benefits the elderly get from public transfer are lack of analysis. In this paper, I collect the Family Income and Expenditure Survey from 1994 troungh 2016, and use the raw data to construct cohorts according to age of householder. Under the Age-Period-Cohort framework, I estimate the marginal propensity to consume(MPC) out of public transfer to the elderly. The result indicates that MPC of rural household is significantly positive and decreasing. In contrast, MPC of urban household is insignificant statistically and economically. According to this paper, the authorities should establish a bigger budget spending on rural areas instead of urban areas while considering senior citizens welfare.en
dc.description.provenanceMade available in DSpace on 2021-05-12T09:32:43Z (GMT). No. of bitstreams: 1
ntu-107-R05323029-1.pdf: 3334688 bytes, checksum: d98615f7d06390488d490b48162bd09b (MD5)
Previous issue date: 2018
en
dc.description.tableofcontents1 引言..................................... 1
2 文獻回顧.................................. 5
3 模型..................................... 8
4 資料..................................... 12
4.1 年齡趨勢圖............................ 14
4.2 世代趨勢圖............................ 15
4.3 地區─年齡趨勢圖........................ 15
4.4 地區─世代趨勢圖........................ 16
5 實證結果.................................. 17
6 穩健性測驗................................. 23
6.1 持續性總體衝擊.......................... 23
6.2 刪除不具代表性的家戶...................... 25
7 結論..................................... 28
dc.language.isozh-TW
dc.subject老人津貼zh_TW
dc.subject世代分析zh_TW
dc.subject城鄉差異zh_TW
dc.subject邊際消費傾向zh_TW
dc.subject高齡化zh_TW
dc.subjectold age allowanceen
dc.subjectagingen
dc.subjectsenior citizens welfareen
dc.subjectcohort analysisen
dc.subjectmarginal propensity to consumeen
dc.title政府移轉支出對於老人家戶消費傾向的城鄉差異zh_TW
dc.titleDifference of marginal propensity to consume out of public transfer between urban and ruralen
dc.typeThesis
dc.date.schoolyear106-2
dc.description.degree碩士
dc.contributor.oralexamcommittee徐之強,王建強
dc.subject.keyword高齡化,邊際消費傾向,老人津貼,城鄉差異,世代分析,zh_TW
dc.subject.keywordaging,senior citizens welfare,old age allowance,marginal propensity to consume,cohort analysis,en
dc.relation.page30
dc.identifier.doi10.6342/NTU201802807
dc.rights.note同意授權(全球公開)
dc.date.accepted2018-08-10
dc.contributor.author-college社會科學院zh_TW
dc.contributor.author-dept經濟學研究所zh_TW
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