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標題: | 低碳農業推廣輔導政策效果:青年農民採用意圖與行為之分析 Effects of Low-carbon Agriculture Promotion Policies: Analyses of Young Farmers’ Adoption Intention and Behavior |
作者: | 李宗樺 Tsung-Hua Lee |
指導教授: | 陸怡蕙 Yir-Hueih Luh |
關鍵字: | 氣候變遷調適,推廣輔導政策,計畫行為理論,規範激起模型,態度-行為-情境模型,低碳農業採用, Climate Change Adaptation,Agricultural Extension and Guidance Policies,Theory of Planned Behavior,Norm Activation Model,Attitude-Behavior-Context Model,Low-carbon Agriculture Adoption, |
出版年 : | 2023 |
學位: | 碩士 |
摘要: | 瞭解驅動或阻礙農民採用永續友善農業技術的影響因子,對於政府達成2040農業淨零政策目標具有重要參考價值。本研究提出一整合計畫行為理論(theory of planned behavior)、規範激起模型(norm activation model)與態度-行為-情境(attitude-behavior-context)模型的理論架構,以解釋農民的利環境行為,並以臺灣青年農民為研究母體,聚焦探討能促進青年農民採用能減少溫室氣體排放量、增匯等的低碳農業相關技術之驅動或阻礙因子。本文首先應用偏最小平方法結構方程模型(partial least square structural equation model),探討採用意圖與其前置變量間的因果關係,接著利用probit模型及負二項迴歸(negative binomial regression)方法,探討控制社會經濟變數後,不同影響因子對實際採用行為(包括採用傾向及採用種類多寡)的效果。實證結果顯示,青年農民的利環境態度能顯著提升其對於低碳農業技術之採用意圖,而經濟誘因政策及教育輔導政策兩情境因子都能對低碳農業採用意圖產生顯著且正向的影響。此外,以理性選擇為基礎的計畫行為理論對於實際行為較具影響效果,顯示青年農民的利環境態度雖然能有效解釋採用意圖,但對於其實際行為的影響仍然效果有限,而青年農民對氣候變遷的知覺風險,則有助於其採用多種的低碳農業相關技術。值得一提的是,農業主管機關的低碳農業輔導政策對青年農民的採用行為會產生顯著的影響,而農民過去的栽培習慣則是其採用低碳農業的主要障礙。 Understanding the factors that drive or hinder farmers' adoption of sustainable and environmentally friendly agricultural technologies is of significant value for the Taiwanese government to achieve its "2040 Agricultural Net Zero Policy" goals. This study proposes an integrated theoretical framework combining the Theory of Planned Behavior (TPB), the Norm Activation Model (NAM), and the Attitude-Behavior-Context (ABC) Model to explain farmers' pro-environmental behavior. Focusing on Taiwanese young farmers, this research investigates the drivers and barriers that influence the adoption of low-carbon agricultural technologies, which can reduce greenhouse gas emissions and increase carbon sinks. This study employs Partial Least Squares Structural Equation Modeling (PLS-SEM) to explore the causal relationships between adoption intentions and their antecedents. Furthermore, the probit model and negative binomial regression method are used to examine the effects of different influencing factors on actual adoption behavior (including adoption propensity and the diversity of adopted technologies), while controlling farmers’ socioeconomic characteristics. On one hand, the empirical results demonstrate that young farmers' pro-environmental attitudes significantly enhance their intentions to adopt low-carbon agricultural technologies. Additionally, two contextual factors, namely economic incentive policies and educational guidance policies, are found to have a significant and positive impact on intentions to adopt low-carbon agriculture. On the other hand, the Theory of Planned Behavior, which is based on rational choices, exhibits a more pronounced influence on actual behavior, indicating that although pro-environmental attitudes effectively explain intentions, their impact on actual behavior remains limited. Moreover, young farmers' perceived risk toward climate change contributes to the adoption of a variety of low-carbon agricultural technologies. It is worth mentioning that while the education and guidance policies aimed at promoting low-carbon agriculture are found to significantly influence both the adoption intentions and behaviors of young farmers, farmers' past cultivation habits emerge as the primary obstacle to adopting low-carbon agriculture. |
URI: | http://tdr.lib.ntu.edu.tw/jspui/handle/123456789/88663 |
DOI: | 10.6342/NTU202302946 |
全文授權: | 同意授權(全球公開) |
顯示於系所單位: | 農業經濟學系 |
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