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完整後設資料紀錄
DC 欄位 | 值 | 語言 |
---|---|---|
dc.contributor.advisor | 林明仁(Ming-Jen Lin) | |
dc.contributor.author | Wei-Che Tsai | en |
dc.contributor.author | 蔡維哲 | zh_TW |
dc.date.accessioned | 2021-06-17T03:41:26Z | - |
dc.date.available | 2019-02-23 | |
dc.date.copyright | 2018-02-23 | |
dc.date.issued | 2018 | |
dc.date.submitted | 2018-02-07 | |
dc.identifier.citation | Calonico, S., M. D. Cattaneo, M. H. Farrell, and R. Titiunik. 2017. “rdrobust: Software for regression-discontinuity designs.” Stata Journal 17(2): 372–404(33).
http://www.stata-journal.com/article.html?article=st0366_1. Calonico, S., M. D. Cattaneo, and R. Titiunik. 2014. “Robust data-driven inference in the regression-discontinuity design.” Stata Journal 14(4): 909–946(38). http://www.stata-journal.com/article.html?article=st0366. Cameron, Charles M., and Lewis A. Kornhauser. 2017. “Rational choice attitudinalism?” European Journal of Law and Economics 43(3): 535–554.⇝. Cattaneo, Matias D., Nicolás Idrobo, and Rocío Titiunik. 2018. “A Practical Introduction to Regression Discontinuity Designs: Part I.” working paper. http://www.umich.edu/~cattaneo/books/Cattaneo-Idrobo-Titiunik_2018_Cambridge-Part1.pdf. Cattaneo, Matias D, Michael Jansson, and Xinwei Ma. 2016. “rddensity: Manipulation testing based on density discontinuity.” The Stata Journal (ii): 1–18. Chang, Yun-chien, Theodore Eisenberg, Han-Wei Ho, and Martin T. Wells. 2015. “Pain and Suffering Damages in Wrongful Death Cases: An Empirical Study.” Journal of Empirical Legal Studies 12(1): 128–160.⇝. Chang, Yun-chien, Theodore Eisenberg, Tsung Hsien Li, and Martin T. Wells. 2017. “Pain and Suffering Damages in Personal Injury Cases: An Empirical Study.” Journal of Empirical Legal Studies 14(1): 199–237.⇝. Epstein, Lee, William M. Landes, and Richard A. Posner. 2013. The behavior of federal judges: a theoretical and empirical study of rational choice. Cambridge, Mass.: Cambridge, Mass. : Harvard University Press, . http://www.hup.harvard.edu/catalog.php?isbn=9780674049895. Fischman, Joshua B. 2014. “The Economic Perspective on Sentencing.” Loyola University Chicago Law Journal 46(345). https://ssrn.com/abstract=2627457. Gelman, Andrew, and Guido Imbens. 2017. “Why high-order polynomials should not be used in regression discontinuity designs.” Journal of Business & Economic Statistics 0(ja): 0–0.⇝. Lee, David S., and Thomas Lemieux. 2010. “Regression Discontinuity Designs in Economics.” Journal of Economic Literature 48(2): 281–355.⇝. Rachlinski, Jeffrey J., and Andrew J. Wistrich. 2017. “Judging the Judiciary by the Numbers: Empirical Research on Judges.” Annual Review of Law and Social Science 13(1): 203–229.⇝. Stepner, Michael. 2013. “BINSCATTER: Stata module to generate binned scatterplots.” Statistical Software Components, Boston College Department of Economics, October. https://ideas.repec.org/c/boc/bocode/s457709.html. 李啟瑞. 2014. “應⽤倒傳遞類神經網路於台灣減刑犯再犯率預測系統架構之研究.” 林彥良. 2008. “量刑刑事政策及量刑歷程之研究─ 以竊盜罪為例.” 林筱瓴. 2013. “⽂字探勘在判決書上之應⽤-以著作權法⺠事賠償為中⼼.” 梁家昊. 2016. “量刑理論之研究.” 王兆鵬, 楊⽂⼭和林定⾹. 2004. “坦⽩未必從寬,抗拒未必從嚴?!-“竊盜罪”統計實證研究結果⼤公開!.” 司法改⾰雜誌(49): 15–19. https://drive.google.com/open?id=0B98ycFJMrNqGMEI3MVhsbUdCV3c. ⾃由時報. 2007. “邱毅條款開⽅便⾨多放2800 ⾼再犯率囚徒.” http://news.ltn.com.tw/news/focus/paper/141931. 蘇凱平. 2016. “再訪法實證研究概念與價值:以簡單量化⽅法研究我國減刑政策為例.” 臺⼤法學論叢45(3): 979–1043.⇝. 邱⽂聰. 2012. “如何克服公衛訴訟中因果推論的難題:法律系統⾯對⾵險社會的⼀個挑戰.”科技醫療與社會(14): 227–263.⇝. 郭豫珍. 2007. “法官量刑影響因素之實證研究.” 博⼠論⽂. 鄒啟勳. 2011. “我國減刑成效之評估研究-以2007 年罪犯減刑為例.” ⿈家偉. 2014. “應⽤約略集合理論結合關聯法則於減刑犯再犯因素之研究.” | |
dc.identifier.uri | http://tdr.lib.ntu.edu.tw/jspui/handle/123456789/70062 | - |
dc.description.abstract | 本論文研究《中華民國九十六年罪犯減刑條例》對法官量刑的影響。依據該法,法官於民國96年7月16日後審理竊盜案件時,若竊盜的犯罪時間在96年4月24日之前,且法官宣告該犯罪刑期在一年半以下時,法官須另外宣告刑期減半。本文的研究問題即為:於此種情況時,法官是否會加重原本的宣告刑期來抵銷《減刑條例》的減刑效果?本文使用96年所有地方法院一審含竊盜罪的判決作為樣本,使用regression discontinuity design與difference-in-difference為研究方法。研究發現,於平均六個月的竊盜罪中,法官約會加重30至40天,影響程度約為17%至22%,而在次群體的分析中,發現法官在較為嚴重的竊盜罪,加重量刑的程度也較高。這樣的結果暗示法官既想維持特定的刑期,又擔心過度加重量刑可能導致被告上訴,法官在兩者權衡之下做出了選擇。 | zh_TW |
dc.description.abstract | According to R.O.C. 2007 A.D. Commutation Code, since 16th July, 2007, when judges are judging theft cases that the defendant committed the crime before 24th April, 2007 and the prison sentence is under 18 months, judges should commute the sentence to half. The research question is whether the judge aggravate the original prison sentence to offset the effect of Commutation Code. This thesis uses all Taiwan district court first instance theft cases in 2007 as sample and adopts regression discontinuity design and difference-in-difference to estimate the causal effect. The research finding shows that among the average 6 months theft cases, judges would aggravate 30 to 40 days, which is 17% to 22%. In subgroup analysis, the more serious theft cases, the stronger the offset effect is. The outcome suggests that judge's sentencing decisions are under the shadow of fair sentencing and the aversion of defendant's appeal. | en |
dc.description.provenance | Made available in DSpace on 2021-06-17T03:41:26Z (GMT). No. of bitstreams: 1 ntu-107-R04323011-1.pdf: 1750351 bytes, checksum: d527bb4c5edf3e85e83991f404177b65 (MD5) Previous issue date: 2018 | en |
dc.description.tableofcontents | 1 導論1
2 ⽂獻回顧4 2.1 法官⾏為研究. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4 2.2 量刑研究. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5 2.3 減刑研究. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6 3 制度背景7 3.1 臺灣司法制度. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7 3.2 減刑制度. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8 4 資料變數與計量模型10 4.1 資料與變數. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10 4.2 計量模型. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11 4.2.1 多變數迴歸. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11 4.2.2 Difference-in-Difference . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12 4.2.3 Regression Discontinuity . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13 5 研究發現15 5.1 多變數迴歸. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 15 5.2 Difference-in-Difference . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 18 5.3 以宣判⽇期7 ⽉16 ⽇為斷點的RD . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 18 5.4 以犯罪⽇期4 ⽉24 ⽇為斷點的RD . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 23 5.4.1 Balance Test . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 23 5.4.2 Subgroup Analysis . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 25 6 討論與結論29 參考⽂獻33 附錄34 A 穩健測試35 A.1 Global Approach . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 35 A.2 Kernel, Bandwidth and Polynomial Choice . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 35 B 進⼀步的檢驗39 B.1 Density of Running Variable . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 39 B.2 Placebo Cutoffs . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 39 B.3 Sensitivity to Observations Near the Cutoff . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 41 C 資料編碼過程45 C.1 判決主⽂的抓取. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 45 C.1.1 影響樣本數的錯誤. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 46 C.1.2 影響變數編碼的錯誤. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 47 C.2 犯罪時間的抓取. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 47 D 錯誤判決49 | |
dc.language.iso | zh-TW | |
dc.title | 論中華民國九十六年罪犯減刑條例對法官量刑的影響 | zh_TW |
dc.title | Does Commutation Policy Aggravate Judge's Sentencing? | en |
dc.type | Thesis | |
dc.date.schoolyear | 106-1 | |
dc.description.degree | 碩士 | |
dc.contributor.oralexamcommittee | 樊家忠(Elliott Fan),謝煜偉(Yu-Wei Hsieh),江淳芳(Chun-Fang Chiang) | |
dc.subject.keyword | 減刑政策,法官行為,量刑,法實證研究,法律經濟分析,斷點迴歸設計,差異中之差異估計法, | zh_TW |
dc.subject.keyword | commutation policy,judicial behavior,sentencing,empirical legal study,law and economics,regression discontinuity design,difference-in-difference, | en |
dc.relation.page | 49 | |
dc.identifier.doi | 10.6342/NTU201800311 | |
dc.rights.note | 有償授權 | |
dc.date.accepted | 2018-02-08 | |
dc.contributor.author-college | 社會科學院 | zh_TW |
dc.contributor.author-dept | 經濟學研究所 | zh_TW |
顯示於系所單位: | 經濟學系 |
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