政見允諾的跳票與兌現-以陳水扁在兩千年大選時核四停建與客家的政見為例

Abstract

從政見允諾（campaign promises）作出發到公共政策的產出，是本論文所關懷的焦點過程，本文以政策過程的角度切入競選支票的兌現過程，陳水扁在兩千年大選時提出核四停建政見與客家政見，從政策產出來看，前者跳票；後者兌現。 政見本身為一種政府議程地位，而在候選人當選之後，特定的政見允諾就會開始在政策過程當中開始向前推進，企圖完成該特定競選支票所挾有的政策階段目標，逐步開展政見允諾的兌現工程，而政策合法化階段是本文研究架構的核心。 核四停建與客家政策是陳水扁在第一屆任期當中較受矚目的公共政策，其構想都來自於選舉當時的政見允諾。核四停建政見兌現了一百一十天之後卻恢復興建，政策合法化過程中充滿爭議與對立衝突；客家政策在政策合法化階段格外平順，相關政見也都順利兌現，兩政見兌現與跳票的關鍵場域都發生在政策合法化的階段。 在研究架構中，本文提出三大影響變項。首先，在選舉時，政見本身帶有的共識性或爭議性是決定政見兌現與否的最主要關鍵；其二，則為行政部門的政策合法化策略良拙；其三而整體體制環境對於政策運作也有相當程度的影響。 不可否認的，政見兌現與否的最直接影響為選票的增加或流失，但是對於學術領域來說，從政見的角度觀察公共政策的運作，也是觀察與研究政策責任歸屬的全新嘗試。

This thesis points out three dimensions, the campaign promise itself, interaction between policy actors and constitutional environment, which are the most important reasons for campaign promise whether it can be fulfilled or not. It is useful to put Nuclear Plant No.4 and Hakka policy to the policy process theory. In this way, we can find the common key stage, and we can get some hints composed of three dimensions in that . With the winning in the election, campaign promises would push the agenda forward in policy process framework. Hakka policy developed from policy formulation to policy implementation; President Shui-Bian Chen and the executive want to terminate the building of Nuclear Plant No.4 must take some evaluative actions again and make some legal adjustments to whole policy to avoid conflict between the executive and the legislative. According to three dimensions, the fulfillment of the promise about Hakka is mainly due to the consensus between the executive and the legislative .On the contrary, the failure that stops building Nuclear Plant No.4 can be explained as the wrong strategies chosen by the executive.