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請用此 Handle URI 來引用此文件: http://tdr.lib.ntu.edu.tw/jspui/handle/123456789/36086
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dc.contributor.advisor楊建成
dc.contributor.authorTai-Yu Linen
dc.contributor.author林泰猷zh_TW
dc.date.accessioned2021-06-13T07:51:05Z-
dc.date.available2005-07-29
dc.date.copyright2005-07-29
dc.date.issued2005
dc.date.submitted2005-07-25
dc.identifier.citationBendor, Jonathan , Daniel Diermeier and Michael Ting (2003),” The Behavioral Model of Turnout,” American Political Science Review,Vol.97,No 2,261-280
Besley, Timothy and Stephen Coate (1997), “An Economic Model of Representative Democracy,” The Quarterly Journal of Economics, Vol. 112, No. 1,85-114
Calvert, Randal L.(1985), “Robustness of the Multidimensional Voting Model: Candidate Motivations, Uncertainty, and Convergence,” American Journal of Political Science,Vol.29,No.1,69-95
Coate, Stephen and Michael Conlin (2004),”A Group Rule-Utilitarian Approach to Voter Turnout: Theory and Evidence,” The American Economic Review,” Vol. 94, Iss. 5 1476-1504
Dhillon, Amrita and Susana Peralta (2002), “Economic Theories of Voter Turnout,” The Economic Journal,112,F332-F352
Downs, A. (1957),An Economic Theory of Democracy,New York: Harper
Feddersen, Timothy J.(1992),”A Voting Game Implying Duverger’s Law and Positive Turnout,” American Journal of Political Science, Vol. 36, No. 4,938-962
Ferejohn A. and Morris P. Fiorina (1974),”The Paradox of Not Voting: a Decision Theoretic Analysis,” American Political Science Review, Vol. 68,525-536
Fiorina, Morris P. (1976),”The Voting Decision: Instrumental and Expressive Aspects,” The Journal of Politics, Vol. 38,No. 2,390-413
Foster Carroll B. (1984),”The Performance of Rational Voter Models in Recent Presidential Elections,” The American Political Science Review, Vol. 78, No. 3,678-690
Good, I.J. and Lawrence S. Mayer, (1975) “Estimating the Efficacy of a Vote,” Behavioral Science 20,25-33
Hinich, Melvin J., John O. Ledyard and Peter C. Ordeshook (1973),”A theory of Electoral Equilibrium : A Spatial Analysis Based on the Theory of Games,” The Journal of Politics, Vol.35,No.1,154-193
Kramer, Gerald H. (1977) “A Dynamical Model of Political Equilibrium,” Journal of Economic Theory, Vol. 16, No.2, 310-334
Ledyard, John O. (1981),“ The Paradox of Voting and Candidate Competition: A General Equilibrium Analysis,” in G. Hornwich and J. Quirk, eds., Essays in Contemporary Fields of Economics, West Lafayette: Purdue University Press, 54-80
Ledyard, John O. (1984),“The Pure Theory of Large Two-Candidate Elections,” Public Choice ,Vol. 44, 7-41
McKelvey, Richard D. (1975),”Policy Related Voting and Electoral Equilibrium,” Econometrica,Vol. 43, No.5-6,815-843
Mueller, Dennis C. (2003), Public Choice III, Cambridge: Cambridge University Press
Myerson, Roger B. (1998), “Population Uncertainty and Poisson Games,” International Journal of Game Theory, Vol. 27,375-392
Myerson, Roger B. (2000),”Large Poisson Games,” Journal of Economic Theory, Vol. 94, 7-45
Osborne Martin J. and AL Slivinski (1996), ”A Model of Political Competition with Citizen-Candidates,” The Quarterly Journal of Economics, Vol. 111, No. 1,65-96
Palfrey Thomas R., and Howard Rosenthal (1985),” Voter Participation and Strategic Uncertainty,” The American Political Science Review, Vol. 79, No. 1, 62-78
Palfrey Thomas R., and Howard Rosenthal (1983),”A Strategic Calculus of Voting,” Public Choice, Vol. 41, 7-53
Plott Charles R. (1967),”A Notion of Equilibrium and its Possibility Under Majority Rule,” The American Economic Review, Vol. 57, No. 4, 787-806
Riker William H. and Peter C. Ordeshook (1968),”A Theory of the Calculus of Voting,” The American Political Science Review, Vol. 62,No. 1,25-42
Roemer, John E. (1997), “Political-Economic Equilibrium when Parties Represent Constituents: the Unidimensional Case,” Social Choice and Welfare, Vol. 14, No. 4, 479-502
Schuessler, A.A. (2000), A logic of Expressive Choice, Princeton: Princeton University Press
Shachar, Ron and Barry Nalebuff (1999),”Follow the leader: Theory and Evidence on Political Participation,” The American Economic Review, Vol. 89,No. 3,525-547
Sieg, G. and C. Schulz (1995),”Evolutionary dynamics in the voting game,” Public Choice, Vol. 85,157-172
Tullock, G., Toward a Mathematics of Politics, Ann Arbor: University of Michigan Press
Wittman, Donald (1983),”Candidate Motivation: A Synthesis of Alternative Theories,” The American Political Science Review, Vol. 77, N0.1, 142-157
Young, H.P. (1988), “Condorcet’s Theory of Voting,” The American Political Science Review, Vol. 82, No. 4,1231-1244
dc.identifier.urihttp://tdr.lib.ntu.edu.tw/jspui/handle/123456789/36086-
dc.description.abstractThis paper applies Myerson’s Poisson game to build a model of voting.In the model, the number of population (voters) follows a Poisson distribution, besides, we combine the platform-choosing game between candidates and the game of voting among voters and try to find the sub-game perfect equilibrium. We formally prove that (1) when the population is large, people who actually vote are those who has negative voting cost, which confirms the viewpoint of many economists and thus leave the paradox of voting unsolved. (2) for any platforms chosen by the two candidates, the expected turnout rates for the two candidates are the function of the utility difference of voters who consider the two candidates as the most different, but not the function of the distribution of voters’ type (3) the implementation of median-voter’s favorite platform is efficient .On the other hand, we formally characterize different sub-game equilibriums corresponding to different utility functions of candidates and voters.en
dc.description.provenanceMade available in DSpace on 2021-06-13T07:51:05Z (GMT). No. of bitstreams: 1
ntu-94-R91323034-1.pdf: 544383 bytes, checksum: 87986ffbe93a66f5f909293c483d2147 (MD5)
Previous issue date: 2005
en
dc.description.tableofcontents1. Introduction…………………………………………………5
2. Literature Review…………...……………………………7
3. Review of Myerson’s Poisson Game …… ……………11
4. The Model…………………………………………………13
4.1 General Setting………………………………………13
4.2 The Basic Model………………………………………16
4.2.1 The Setting………………………………………………16
4.2.2 The Equilibrium…………………………………………17
4.2.3 The Turnout Rate…………………………………………23
4.2.4 Multiple Equilibria………………………………………24
4.2.5 The Robustness of equilibrium…………………………25
4.2.6 Full Turnout Equilibrium…………………………………27
5. The First Stage Game……………………………………31
6. Extensions………………………………………………43
6.1 Randomness of Voting Cost ………………………43
6.2 Multidimensional Space of the Platforms and Voter Types………………………………………48
6.3 General Voter Utility…………………………………50
6.3.1 The Concavity and Convexity of Voters’Utility
Function………………………………………………53
6.3.2 The Bias in Favor of a Candidate………………………55
7. The Connection between Poisson Model and Traditional Binomial Model…………………………………………56
8. Efficiency………………………………………………66
9. Conclusion…………………………………………………70
Appendix……………………………………………………72
Reference…………………………………………………94
dc.language.isoen
dc.subject空間投票zh_TW
dc.subject投票zh_TW
dc.subject卜瓦松zh_TW
dc.subject選舉zh_TW
dc.subject中位選民zh_TW
dc.subject隨機人口zh_TW
dc.subject投票矛盾zh_TW
dc.subjectpopulation uncertaintyen
dc.subjectvoting paradoxen
dc.subjectvoteen
dc.subjectPoissonen
dc.subjectspatialen
dc.subjectelectionen
dc.subjectmedian voteren
dc.title選舉投票之均衡分析-隨機人口模型zh_TW
dc.titleA General Analysis of Voting with Population Uncertaintyen
dc.typeThesis
dc.date.schoolyear93-2
dc.description.degree碩士
dc.contributor.oralexamcommittee宋玉生,羅曉
dc.subject.keyword投票,卜瓦松,空間投票,選舉,中位選民,隨機人口,投票矛盾,zh_TW
dc.subject.keywordvote,Poisson,spatial,election,median voter,population uncertainty,voting paradox,en
dc.relation.page95
dc.rights.note有償授權
dc.date.accepted2005-07-26
dc.contributor.author-college社會科學院zh_TW
dc.contributor.author-dept經濟學研究所zh_TW
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