台中市捷運、巴士快捷對房價影響的預期效果

Abstract

本研究主要探討台中市捷運及巴士快捷對房價的影響，由於此兩大交通建設尚未完工，所以討論的是預期的效果。研究使用內政部實價登錄網站的房價交易點資料作為分析單位，以傳統迴歸模型及空間迴歸模型來檢驗捷運及巴士快捷對房價的影響為何。 本研究將影響房價的控制變數分為三大類，分別是住宅屬性變數、環境屬性變數及鄰近效應，在控制此三類變數後再觀察解釋變數(捷運、巴士快捷)對房價的影響。 研究結果顯示，捷運及巴士快捷車站對住宅價格存在正向的影響，其中住宅點每遠離捷運站一公里則每坪售價會下降14309元，每遠離巴士快捷車站一公里每坪售價會下降12699元。

The research examines the impact of developing MRT and BRT systems on housing price. Since MRT and BRT are not completed yet, what we discuss in the research is the response of housing price in anticipation of constructing MRT and BRT systems. Control variables are divided into 3 categories: housing features, environmental features and neighborhood effect. After controlling the effects from the variables above, we can figure out the exact impact from MRT and BRT. In conclusion, MRT and BRT have positive impact on housing price. Statistics indicate that the distance from MRT or BRT increase by 1km with the housing price decreases by NT$14309 or NT$12699 respectively.