因應氣候變遷之工程規劃及設計階段專案管理策略評估研究

Abstract

面對氣候變遷帶來的高度不確定性與多重災害衝擊，國家政策及工程體系已逐步於法規制度與工程實務中導入低碳、調適及防減災等因應氣候風險作為，惟實際推動仍受限於制度落實與作業整合之斷裂。在此脈絡下，專案管理於工程前期階段扮演關鍵輔助角色，不僅可作為制度要求與實務執行間之推力與介質，更能協助利害關係人進行風險辨識、目標整合與策略擬定，有助於提升整體工程對氣候風險之應變能力與前期整合效益。 本研究結合專案管理知識體系與氣候風險三大因應策略（低碳、調適、防減災），建構一套適用於工程規劃與設計階段之專案管理策略評估架構。首先透過文獻回顧與制度盤點，歸納具策略導向與管理操作性之評估因子，並以專案管理十大知識領域為分類基礎，設計三層級之評估架構。其後，採用模糊多準則決策方法，設計語意型問卷進行專家調查，量化各因子於不同策略導向下之相對重要性。最終共獲得50份有效問卷，依據三角模糊數運算，完成78項因子之接近係數計算與排序。 研究結果顯示，「調適設施的規劃」、「低碳設計的產能與適用範圍」、「低碳設計的規劃」為最重要之三項因子，反映氣候調適與低碳設計於工程前期決策中的高度關鍵性。另有多項位於整合、範疇、成本、品質與利害關係人等管理構面之因子亦列入前十，顯示跨系統整合與協調對氣候策略推動具有關鍵管理價值。 本研究所建構之評估架構與排序結果，除可協助工程團隊於前期階段進行結構化判斷與策略選擇，亦可作為制度推動與管理制度對接之補充工具，提升政策目標與工程實踐之整合效能。其貢獻在於提出一套結合管理邏輯與氣候策略目標之系統化架構，作為臺灣工程體系在節能減碳、調適韌性與防減災治理上的推動基礎，強化氣候風險治理下之專案管理實務發展。

In response to climate change and its associated uncertainties and compound disaster risks, Taiwan has incorporated mitigation, adaptation, and disaster risk reduction strategies into engineering policies and practices. However, gaps remain between institutional requirements and practical implementation. Project management plays a crucial supporting role during the early stages of engineering projects, serving as a driver and intermediary to enhance climate risk integration and strategic planning. This study proposes a project management strategy evaluation framework tailored for the planning and design phase, integrating the PMBOK® knowledge areas with the three core climate strategies. Evaluation factors were identified through literature review and structured under a three-level dual-axis framework. The Fuzzy TOPSIS method was applied to assess expert judgments collected via a linguistic questionnaire. A total of 50 valid responses were analyzed, and closeness coefficients for 78 evaluation factors were calculated and ranked. Results show that “planning of adaptation facilities,” “capacity and applicability of low-carbon design,” and “planning of low-carbon design” are the most critical factors. Top-ranked items also cover integration, scope, cost, and stakeholder management domains, reflecting the importance of early coordination across systems. The proposed evaluation framework and prioritization results support structured decision-making and strategy selection in early project phases, while also bridging institutional mandates and practical implementation. This research offers a systematic framework that integrates management logic with climate strategy goals, providing a foundational tool for Taiwan’s engineering sector to advance carbon reduction, resilience, and disaster risk governance, and to strengthen climate-responsive project management practices.