應用層級分析法評估自中國轉移消費型電子製造業供應鏈

Abstract

面對2018年中美貿易戰的威脅和2020年初爆發的新型冠狀病毒，產業中有越來越多關於是否該把供應鏈移出中國的討論。 作者在消費型電子製造業的供應鏈服務多年，為了深入產業研究，應用層級分析法之多準則決策方式， 尋找是否將供應鏈移出中國需考量的關鍵因子，將因子排序與評估以建立出決策層級架構，並具體評估包含中國在內的數個供應鏈地點。 研究結果顯示，由於規劃完善的的政府產業政策、健全的交通建設、完整的上下游供應鏈和龐大的消費市場，中國在現階段還是消費型電子製造業最佳的供應鏈地點。

Facing the US-China trade war starting from 2018 and a recent pandemic in early 2020, lots of discussions within the consumer electronics manufacturing industry have been brought out on whether the supply chain should be moved out of China. To address such a shifting supply chain decision, the author, who is currently a supply chain specialist in a world-leading consumer electronic company, builds a hierarchical model for listing and ranking key attributes for firms to evaluate. The analytical hierarchy process (AHP) framework is adopted to decompose key factors, extract associated attributes to prioritize the multiple criteria, and structure a hierarchical model to evaluate the process. In the final evaluation stage, we reach the conclusion that China remains the best alternative when considering shifting supply chain.