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標題: | 面對金融海嘯的優勢或劣勢─論貿易夥伴表現及網絡中心性之效果 Advantages or Disadvantages During the 2008-09 Financial Crisis?─The Effects of Trade Partners and Network Centrality |
作者: | Hsuan Chen 陳萱 |
指導教授: | 鄧志松 |
關鍵字: | 空間分析,貿易夥伴,鄰近效應,貿易網絡,網絡中心性,金融危機, spatial analysis,trading partners,neighborhood effects,trade network,network centrality,financial crisis, |
出版年 : | 2017 |
學位: | 碩士 |
摘要: | 一般談及金融危機對各國造成的影響,大多會以總體經濟因素解釋其中差異,然而隨著全球化的發展,國家之間互動往來越加密切,經濟相互依存,已無法單靠內生因素說明各國面對外來危機時經濟表現的差異。因此本文嘗試從不同的角度,即動態的國際貿易關係,來探討一國家面對金融危機的優勢與劣勢。
本研究使用了迴歸分析、空間分析和社會網絡分析方法,探討貿易夥伴表現與網絡中心性是否會影響各國家經濟受2008-09年金融危機衝擊的程度,以及危機過後一、二、三年經濟復甦的程度。研究結果顯示,貿易夥伴表現和網絡中心性皆會影響金融危機過後經濟復甦程度,但效果顯著的時間不同。 When it comes to the impact of financial crisis on a country’s growth rate, most literatures explored the differences in terms of macroeconomic factors. However, due to globalization, the interaction between countries has become closer and economies have become interdependent. Differences in growth rates of countries when they face external crises can no longer be explained by endogenous factors alone. Therefore, this research attempts to explore the advantages and disadvantages of a country when it faces the financial crisis from a different perspective, namely, dynamic international trade relations. This research uses the methods of regression analysis, spatial analysis and social network analysis. It explores whether the performance of trading partners and the network centrality of a country would affect the degree of economic recession caused by the 2008-09 financial crisis, as well as the degree of economic recovery after one, two and three years of the crisis. The result of this research shows that the performance of trading partners and the network centrality would affect the degree of economic recovery after the financial crisis, but the effects were significant in different years. |
URI: | http://tdr.lib.ntu.edu.tw/jspui/handle/123456789/68089 |
DOI: | 10.6342/NTU201704498 |
全文授權: | 有償授權 |
顯示於系所單位: | 國家發展研究所 |
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