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http://tdr.lib.ntu.edu.tw/jspui/handle/123456789/55334完整後設資料紀錄
| DC 欄位 | 值 | 語言 |
|---|---|---|
| dc.contributor.advisor | 林建甫 | |
| dc.contributor.author | Che-Wei Chang | en |
| dc.contributor.author | 張哲維 | zh_TW |
| dc.date.accessioned | 2021-06-16T03:57:09Z | - |
| dc.date.available | 2020-02-04 | |
| dc.date.copyright | 2015-02-04 | |
| dc.date.issued | 2014 | |
| dc.date.submitted | 2014-12-04 | |
| dc.identifier.citation | Chou, Y.C. (2007) Using Capacity as a Competition Strategy in a Manufacturing Duopoly. Semiconductor Manufacturing. 1-4.
Kim, W.J. and Lee, J.D. (2007) Measuring the Role of Technology-Push and Demand-Pull in the Dynamic Development of Semiconductors Industry: The Case of the Global DRAM Market. SSRN. http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.1964822. Black, F. and Scholes, M.S. (1973) The Pricing of Options and Corporate Liabilities. Journal of Political Economy, 81(3). 637-654. Julka, N., Baines, T., Tjahjono, B., Lendermann, P., Vitanov, V. (2007) A review of multi-factor capacity expansion models for manufacturing plants: Searching for a holistic decision aid. Journal of Political Economy, 106. 607-621. Chien, C.F., Wu, C.H., Chiang, Y.S. (2012) Coordinated capacity migration and expansion planning for semiconductor manufacturing under demand uncertainties. International Journal of Production Economics, 135(2). 860-869. Chou, Y.C., Cheng, C.T., Yang, F.C., Liang, Y.Y. (2007) Evaluating alternative capacity strategies in semiconductor manufacturing under uncertain demand and price scenarios. International Journal of Production Economics, 105(2). 591-606. Zequeir, R.I., Valdes, J.E., Berenguer, C. (2008) Optimal buffer inventory and opportunistic preventive maintenance under random production capacity availability. International Journal of Production Economics, 111(2). 686-696. Chen, T. (2012) A Hybrid Fuzzy and Neural Approach with Virtual Experts and Partial Consensus for Dram Price Forecasting. International Journal of Innovative Computing, Information and Control, 8(1B). 583-597. 盛元新(2006) ，DRAM產業國際競爭動態與策略聯盟之研究，台灣大學管理學院國際企業碩士論文 鍾惠民、周賓凰、孫而音(2013)，「財務計量Eviews的應用」，新路書局股份有限公司。134-166. 陳正倉、林惠玲、陳忠榮、莊春發(2007) ，「產業經濟學」，雙葉書廊有限公司。198-272. James and Mark (2010)。《計量經濟學》。胥愛琪和呂瓊瑜譯。台北。培生教育。393-456. 網頁部份 集邦科技DRAMeXchang，http://www.dramexchange.com/ Gartner，http://www.gartner.com/technology/home.jsp World Semiconductor Trade Statistics，https://www.wsts.org/ IC Insights，http://www.icinsights.com/ IDC，http://www.idc.com.tw/ HIS Technology，https://technology.ihs.com/ MoneyDJ理財網，http://www.moneydj.com/ | |
| dc.identifier.uri | http://tdr.lib.ntu.edu.tw/jspui/handle/123456789/55334 | - |
| dc.description.abstract | 本文以2002年第一季至2013年第四季的動態隨機存取儲存器的供給、需求和平均價格、美國GDP等時間序列資料，進行實證分析，透過實證模型去了DRAM價格的變動的原因，本文透過了充足率、產業結構以及總體經濟的因素和誤差調整項目去架構出DRAM價格走勢的模型。
實證的結果發現，影響DRAM價格的主要原因是在於當期的供給與需求充足率，其次，也發現了整體產業結構進入了寡占結構，DRAM價格趨於穩定，在總體因素方面，因在新興市場需求成長後削弱了美國經濟的影響因素；最後，本研究發現實際與預期的誤差，影響期間是本期與前期的移動平均，換言之誤差大約2個季度可以調整完成。 | zh_TW |
| dc.description.abstract | In this study, we set up an empirical model to analyze the causative reasons of the the DRAM price changes by assessing the supply, demand and the average price of DRAM as well as the US GDP and other time-series data from the fourth quarter of 2002 to the first quarter of 2013. The DRAM prices model was established by the sufficiency, industry structure, and overall economic factors and error term adjustments.
Empirical results found DRAM prices is mainly influenced by the sufficiency ratio of current period. In addition, results showed that when the overall industrial structure became oligopoly, DRAM prices became stabilized. In the macro factors, the impact of the US economy was weakened after the growing demand of emerging markets. Finally, we found that the influence of DRMA price was resulted from the moving average between actual and expected error in the current and previous period, that is the error can be adjusted about two quarters complete. | en |
| dc.description.provenance | Made available in DSpace on 2021-06-16T03:57:09Z (GMT). No. of bitstreams: 1 ntu-103-P01323008-1.pdf: 827365 bytes, checksum: 8a793ae58a287fe47acd2f1606c9e457 (MD5) Previous issue date: 2014 | en |
| dc.description.tableofcontents | 謝詞 ................................ ................................ ................................ ............... ii
中文摘要 ................................ ................................ ................................ ...... iii 英文摘要 ................................ ................................ ................................ ...... iv 圖目錄 ................................ ................................ ................................ ......... vi i 表目錄 ................................ ................................ ................................ ........ vii i 第一章 緒論 ................................ ................................ ................................ .. 1 1.1 研究 動機與背景 ................................ ................................ ............................ 1 1.2 研究目的 與架構 ................................ ................................ ............................ 3 第二章 問題討論與 文獻探討 ................................ ................................ ...... 5 第三章 DRAMDRAM DRAM產業分析 ................................ ................................ ............. 9 3.1 DRAM 產品演進及趨勢 ................................ ................................ ............... 9 3. 2 DRAM 產業特性 ................................ ................................ ......................... 14 3.2 DRAM 生產 面分析 ................................ ................................ ..................... 15 3.4 DRAM需求面分析 ................................ ................................ ..................... 21 第四章 資料 研究與分析 研究與分析 ................................ ................................ ........... 25 4.1 研究 資料 ................................ ................................ ................................ ...... 25 4.2 研究假說 ................................ ................................ ................................ ...... 26 4.3 樣本資料處理 ................................ ................................ .............................. 24 4.3.1 單根檢定 ................................ ................................ ............................. 28 4.3.2 t檢定 ................................ ................................ ................................ ... 29 4.3. 3 假設 檢定 ................................ ................................ ............................. 30 第五章 實證分析.......................................................................................31 5.1 敘述統計量 ..................................................................................................31 5.2 多元迴歸模型估計及檢定 ..........................................................................32 5.3 實證結果與分析 ..........................................................................................34 5.4 本研究小結 ..................................................................................................36 第六章 結論與建議 .................................................................................... 37 6.1 研究結論與限制 ..........................................................................................37 6.2 政策建議與未來可能研究方向 ..................................................................38 參考文獻 ..................................................................................................... 40 | |
| dc.language.iso | zh-TW | |
| dc.subject | 動態隨機存取儲存器 | zh_TW |
| dc.subject | 價格預測 | zh_TW |
| dc.subject | 充足率 | zh_TW |
| dc.subject | 寡占 | zh_TW |
| dc.subject | 美國GDP | zh_TW |
| dc.subject | Oligopoly | en |
| dc.subject | Price forecast | en |
| dc.subject | Sufficency | en |
| dc.subject | US GDP | en |
| dc.subject | DRAM | en |
| dc.title | 動態隨機存取儲存器價格影響因素之研究 | zh_TW |
| dc.title | A Study of the Influential Factors for DRAM Prices | en |
| dc.type | Thesis | |
| dc.date.schoolyear | 103-1 | |
| dc.description.degree | 碩士 | |
| dc.contributor.oralexamcommittee | 翁永和,莊慶達,郭平欣 | |
| dc.subject.keyword | 動態隨機存取儲存器,價格預測,充足率,寡占,美國GDP, | zh_TW |
| dc.subject.keyword | DRAM,Price forecast,Oligopoly,Sufficency,US GDP, | en |
| dc.relation.page | 41 | |
| dc.rights.note | 有償授權 | |
| dc.date.accepted | 2014-12-04 | |
| dc.contributor.author-college | 社會科學院 | zh_TW |
| dc.contributor.author-dept | 經濟學研究所 | zh_TW |
| 顯示於系所單位： | 經濟學系 | |
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