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| ???org.dspace.app.webui.jsptag.ItemTag.dcfield??? | Value | Language |
|---|---|---|
| dc.contributor.advisor | 許文泰 | zh_TW |
| dc.contributor.advisor | Wen-Tai Hsu | en |
| dc.contributor.author | 李孟儒 | zh_TW |
| dc.contributor.author | Meng-Ju Li | en |
| dc.date.accessioned | 2026-02-11T16:22:20Z | - |
| dc.date.available | 2026-02-12 | - |
| dc.date.copyright | 2026-02-11 | - |
| dc.date.issued | 2026 | - |
| dc.date.submitted | 2026-01-27 | - |
| dc.identifier.citation | Alonso, W. (1964). Location and Land Use: Toward a General Theory of Land Rent. Harvard University Press, Cambridge, MA.
Baum-Snow, N. (2007). Did highways cause suburbanization? The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 122(2):775–805. Baum-Snow, N., Brandt, L., Henderson, J. V., Turner, M. A., and Zhang, Q. (2017). Roads, railroads, and decentralization of Chinese cities. The Review of Economics and Statistics, 99(3):435–448. Brueckner, J. K. (2011). Lectures on Urban Economics. MIT Press, Cambridge, MA. Callaway, B. and Sant'Anna, P. H. C. (2021). Difference-in-differences with multiple time periods. Journal of Econometrics, 225(2):200–230. Campello, R. J. G. B., Moulavi, D., and Sander, J. (2013). Density-based clustering based on hierarchical density estimates. In Pacific-Asia Conference on Knowledge Discovery and Data Mining (PAKDD), pages 160–172. Springer. Campello, R. J. G. B., Moulavi, D., Zimek, A., and Sander, J. (2015). Hierarchical density estimates for data clustering, visualization, and outlier detection. ACM Transactions on Knowledge Discovery from Data (TKDD), 10(1):1–51. García-López, M.-À., Holl, A., and Viladecans-Marsal, E. (2015). Suburbanization and highways in Spain when the Romans and the Bourbons still shape the way. Journal of Urban Economics, 85:52–67. Gibbons, S. and Machin, S. (2005). Valuing rail access using transport innovations. Journal of Urban Economics, 57(1):148–169. Heblich, S., Redding, S. J., and Sturm, D. M. (2020). The making of the modern metropolis: Evidence from London. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 135(4):2059–2133. Hsu, W.-T. and Zhang, H. (2014). The fundamental law of highway congestion revisited: Evidence from national expressways in Japan. Journal of Urban Economics, 81:65–76. Mills, E. S. (1972). Studies in the Structure of the Urban Economy. Johns Hopkins Press, Baltimore. Muth, R. F. (1969). Cities and Housing: The Spatial Pattern of Urban Residential Land Use. University of Chicago Press, Chicago. Tsivanidis, N. (2022). Evaluating the impact of urban transit infrastructure: Evidence from Bogotá's TransMilenio. American Economic Review. Forthcoming. van der Vaart, A. W. (1998). Asymptotic Statistics. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge. Wooldridge, J. M. (2010). Econometric Analysis of Cross Section and Panel Data. MIT Press, Cambridge, MA, 2nd edition. 臺北縣政府 (1993). 臺北縣移入人口與都市發展. Technical report, 臺北縣政府. 臺北縣都市發展研究報告. 陳世雷 (2024). 戰後臺灣不動產開發業發展史——史觀、歷程與議題. Master's thesis, 國立屏東大學不動產經營學系碩士在職專班, 屏東. 指導教授：白金安. | - |
| dc.identifier.uri | http://tdr.lib.ntu.edu.tw/jspui/handle/123456789/101561 | - |
| dc.description.abstract | 都市擴張的過程中，交通建設對於人口分布帶來什麼影響？其影響是否因空間區位與土地供給政策而有所差異？本研究使用北北基桃都會區 1,514 個村里 1998--2024 年的追蹤資料（Panel Data），以雙向固定效果模型（Two-Way Fixed Effects）與長期差分模型（Long Difference），分析公路與軌道建設對人口分布的影響。
結果顯示，公路每增加 1 條可及路線，核心區人口顯著減少 2.16%；捷運/輕軌則顯著增加 1.93%。在次核心區，交通建設必須搭配重劃區才能發揮正向效果：公路從 -1.69% 轉為 +3.19%，捷運/輕軌從 -1.46% 轉為 +6.40%。長期差分模型顯示公路具有完整的郊區化效果——核心區人口減少 17.19%，同時邊緣區人口增加 8.77%；軌道雖短期即呈現正向效果，但長期效果遞減甚至轉負。 本研究貢獻有二：一是首次在都會區內比較公路、城際軌道與都會軌道的異質性效果；二是以微觀尺度捕捉交通與土地供給的交互作用及時間動態。研究結果顯示交通建設與土地供給政策配合的必要性。 | zh_TW |
| dc.description.abstract | This study examines how transportation infrastructure affects population distribution within a metropolitan area, using panel data from 1,514 villages in Northern Taiwan (1998--2024). Employing two-way fixed effects and long-difference models, we find that highways reduce core-area population (-2.16%) while metro rail increases it (+1.93%). In sub-core areas, transportation effects depend on land supply: without redevelopment zones, both highways and metro show negative effects; with redevelopment, effects turn positive. Long-run analysis reveals complete suburbanization from highways (core -17.19%, fringe +8.77%), while rail effects diminish over time. The findings highlight the necessity of coordinating transportation with land supply policies. | en |
| dc.description.provenance | Submitted by admin ntu (admin@lib.ntu.edu.tw) on 2026-02-11T16:22:20Z No. of bitstreams: 0 | en |
| dc.description.provenance | Made available in DSpace on 2026-02-11T16:22:20Z (GMT). No. of bitstreams: 0 | en |
| dc.description.tableofcontents | 口試委員審定書 ........................... ii
致謝 ....................................... v 摘要 ....................................... vii Abstract ................................... ix 目次 ....................................... xi 圖次 ....................................... xv 表次 ....................................... xvii 第一章 緒論 ............................... 1 第二章 文獻與理論框架 ......................... 3 2.1 理論框架：單核心城市模型 ................. 3 2.2 實證文獻回顧 ........................... 4 第三章 研究背景 ............................. 7 3.1 北北基桃都會區的形成 ..................... 7 3.2 北北基桃交通建設 ......................... 8 3.2.1 公路系統發展 ......................... 9 3.2.2 軌道系統發展 ........................ 10 3.3 土地供給政策與重劃區 .................... 11 3.3.1 台灣都市土地供給的制度背景 .......... 11 3.3.2 北北基桃主要重劃區概況 .............. 13 第四章 資料與變數 ........................... 15 4.1 資料來源 ............................... 15 4.1.1 人口與村里界資料 ..................... 15 4.1.2 其他資料來源 ......................... 16 4.2 變數定義 ............................... 18 4.2.1 都會區範圍界定 ....................... 18 4.2.2 區域劃分定義 ......................... 18 4.2.3 交通建設可及性 ....................... 20 4.2.4 重劃區變數與控制變數 ................. 21 4.3 敘述統計 ............................... 22 第五章 實證策略 ............................. 25 5.1 主要估計方法：雙向固定效果模型 .......... 25 5.2 假說設定 ............................... 26 5.3 運具與空間異質性模型 .................... 27 5.4 重劃區政策交互模型 ...................... 27 5.5 長期差分模型：時間動態分析 .............. 28 5.6 長期差分模型：重劃區政策交互 ............ 30 第六章 實證結果 ............................. 31 6.1 運具與空間異質性 ........................ 31 6.2 政策交互作用 ............................ 34 6.3 時間動態 ................................ 37 6.4 本章小結 ................................ 39 第七章 結論 ................................. 41 參考文獻 ................................... 43 附錄 A --- 實證結果補充 ..................... 45 A.1 回歸係數表 ............................. 45 A.2 長期差分模型重劃區交互結果 ............. 48 A.3 邊際效果計算方法與相關係數矩陣 ......... 48 附錄 B --- 特徵回歸與空間聚類 ................ 53 B.1 特徵回歸流程 ............................ 53 B.2 HDBSCAN 空間聚類演算法 .................. 54 附錄 C --- 事件研究法 ........................ 57 C.1 決定長期差分模型時間段切點 ............. 58 C.2 內生性初步檢定 .......................... 58 | - |
| dc.language.iso | zh_TW | - |
| dc.subject | 都市擴張 | - |
| dc.subject | 交通建設 | - |
| dc.subject | 人口分布 | - |
| dc.subject | 土地供給政策 | - |
| dc.subject | 雙向固定效果模型 | - |
| dc.subject | Urban Sprawl | - |
| dc.subject | Transportation Infrastructure | - |
| dc.subject | Population Distribution | - |
| dc.subject | Land Supply Policy | - |
| dc.subject | Two-Way Fixed Effects | - |
| dc.title | 交通建設如何影響都會區人口分布：北北基桃實證研究 | zh_TW |
| dc.title | How Does Transportation Infrastructure Affect Population Distribution in Metropolitan Areas? Evidence from Northern Taiwan | en |
| dc.type | Thesis | - |
| dc.date.schoolyear | 114-1 | - |
| dc.description.degree | 碩士 | - |
| dc.contributor.coadvisor | 李宗穎 | zh_TW |
| dc.contributor.coadvisor | Chung-Ying Lee | en |
| dc.contributor.oralexamcommittee | 楊子霆;黃柏鈞 | zh_TW |
| dc.contributor.oralexamcommittee | Tzu-Ting Yang;Po-Chun Huang | en |
| dc.subject.keyword | 都市擴張,交通建設人口分布土地供給政策雙向固定效果模型 | zh_TW |
| dc.subject.keyword | Urban Sprawl,Transportation InfrastructurePopulation DistributionLand Supply PolicyTwo-Way Fixed Effects | en |
| dc.relation.page | 61 | - |
| dc.identifier.doi | 10.6342/NTU202600296 | - |
| dc.rights.note | 同意授權(全球公開) | - |
| dc.date.accepted | 2026-01-28 | - |
| dc.contributor.author-college | 社會科學院 | - |
| dc.contributor.author-dept | 經濟學系 | - |
| dc.date.embargo-lift | 2026-02-12 | - |
| Appears in Collections: | 經濟學系 | |
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| File | Size | Format | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ntu-114-1.pdf | 4.81 MB | Adobe PDF | View/Open |
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