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  1. NTU Theses and Dissertations Repository
  2. 社會科學院
  3. 國家發展研究所
請用此 Handle URI 來引用此文件: http://tdr.lib.ntu.edu.tw/jspui/handle/123456789/96313
完整後設資料紀錄
DC 欄位值語言
dc.contributor.advisor黃建實zh_TW
dc.contributor.advisorChien-Shih Huangen
dc.contributor.author陳宴蓁zh_TW
dc.contributor.authorYen-Chen Chenen
dc.date.accessioned2024-12-24T16:18:17Z-
dc.date.available2024-12-25-
dc.date.copyright2024-12-24-
dc.date.issued2024-
dc.date.submitted2024-12-10-
dc.identifier.citation壹、 中文
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行政法人國家災害防救科技中心(2016)。〈台灣地區短延時強降雨事件氣候特性分析〉,《國家災害防救科技中心災害防救電子報》(132):1-16。
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林國明(2016)。〈誰來審議? 台灣民眾對審議民主的支持程度和參與意願〉。《台灣社會學》31:43-97。
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唐士哲、曾毓青、李香潔、洪硯儒、朱家賢(2015)。〈民意的中介及其阻絕:九合一選舉中電視政論的表現〉,《傳播文化與政治》(1):75-100。
張學聖、徐敏純(2021)。〈堤防效應下之水災風險變遷與風險認知研究〉,《都市與計劃》48(2):107-132。
陳柏蒼、李秉乾、楊龍士、陳昶憲、連惠邦、葉昭憲、雷祖強、馬彥彬、李瑞陽(2016)。《災害管理與實務》。台北:五南圖書出版股份有限公司。
傅祖壇、林億明(2014)。〈健康風險認知,減重需求與其願付價值〉,《經濟研究》50(1):69-99。
傅澤偉、林曼莉(2008)。〈投資偏好與風險認知對於投資人投資組合的影響〉,《中華管理學報》9(3):97-108。
黃源協、劉素珍、莊俐昕、林信廷(2010)。〈社區社會資本與社區發展關聯性之研究〉,《公共行政學報》34:29-75。
溫福星(2012)。〈階層多變項線性模式與其新應用:多群體階層線性模式〉,《測驗學刊》59(2):157-186。
溫福星、邱皓政(2019)。〈多層次模型方法論:階層線性模式的關鍵議題與試解〉,《台大管理論叢》19(2):263-294。
鄭鈞元(2016)。〈工作動機與主觀幸福感對教保服務人員創意教學表現之影響:階層線性模式分析〉,《幼兒教保研究》(16):1-25。
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dc.identifier.urihttp://tdr.lib.ntu.edu.tw/jspui/handle/123456789/96313-
dc.description.abstract面對氣候變遷對地球生態系統所造成的負面影響,各國已陸續制定應對氣候變遷的政策措施與法規。然而,政策目標的實現需依賴公民社會的積極參與。民眾是否願意支持減緩氣候變遷的政策行動,主要取決於他們是否能清楚理解氣候變遷所帶來的威脅與影響。不同於過去文獻多數分別探討社會脈絡與個人社會心理因素對氣候風險感知的影響,本研究選擇同時考量兩者對氣候風險感知的影響。在整合Van der Linden(2015)的氣候風險感知模型與林宗弘等人(2019)的分析架構後,本文試圖提出研究假設,主張社會資本、災害事件經驗及未來時間導向與台灣民眾對氣候變遷的風險認知之間存在關聯。其中,結合型社會資本更能調節災害事件經驗與個人氣候風險感知之間的關係。
本研究選用了2020年《台灣社會變遷基本調查》與官方統計的災害風險資料,經過階層線性模型分析(hierarchical linear modeling)後發現,連結型社會資本、自陳災害經驗與未來時間導向是影響民眾氣候風險感知的重要因素。具體而言,當民眾曾參與環保連署、請願或抗議遊行,認為極端天氣對其所居住的社區有較大影響時,或對行為的未來後果表示更為關注或擔憂時,他們會認為氣候變遷對台灣或全球帶來較多負面影響。此外,當民眾居住在極端降雨較為頻繁的地區,或認為極端天氣對其社區造成的影響較小,且與社區成員有更多交流互動時,也會使他們認為氣候變遷對台灣或全球會帶來較為不利的影響。
zh_TW
dc.description.abstractWhy do certain Taiwanese individuals perceive a heightened risk of climate change while others do not? Previous studies have independently investigated the effects of both social context and psychological factors on the public’s risk perception of climate change. However, few studies have focused on the potential joint influence of these two sets of factors on public’s risk perception. This thesis aims to fill in this gap by integrating together as its analytical framework. The hypothesis of this thesis is that social capital, disasters experiences, and future time orientation may be associated with public’s risk perception of climate change.
Utilizing survey data from the Taiwan Social Change Survey (TSCS) 2020 and official statistics on disaster risk from the government of R.O.C., the author conducted hierarchical linear modeling analysis. The results indicate that individuals with higher levels of linking social capital, report more severe disasters experiences, and higher levels of future time orientation are more concerned about the negative impacts of climate change on Taiwan and the world. Additionally, residents in high-risk areas with more extreme rain events or reporting less severe disasters experiences, who also have more interactions with community members, would exhibit heightened concern about climate change.
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dc.description.provenanceSubmitted by admin ntu (admin@lib.ntu.edu.tw) on 2024-12-24T16:18:17Z
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dc.description.tableofcontents目次
摘要 I
Abstract II
目次 III
表次 V
圖次 VI
第一章 緒 論 1
第一節 研究動機與問題意識 1
第二節 研究目的與主要的研究問題 3
第二章 文獻回顧 5
第一節 風險感知 5
第二節 社會資本 13
第三節 災害事件經驗 29
第四節 未來時間導向 39
第三章 研究設計 50
第一節 研究架構 50
第二節 資料來源 55
第三節 概念界定、操作性定義與測量 57
第四節 分析工具 64
第四章 資料處理與分析 68
第一節 描述性統計與信度分析 68
第二節 相關性分析 81
第三節 階層線性模型分析 84
第四節 交互作用 89
第五章 結果與討論 97
第一節 研究發現與討論 97
第二節 研究限制與未來研究方向 101
第三節 政策建議 103
參考文獻 105
附 錄 124
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dc.language.isozh_TW-
dc.title察覺氣候變遷正在發生?台灣民眾的災害事件經驗、社會資本、時間導向與氣候風險感知zh_TW
dc.titleUnderstanding natural hazards experiences, social capital, future time orientation, and climate change in Taiwanen
dc.typeThesis-
dc.date.schoolyear113-1-
dc.description.degree碩士-
dc.contributor.oralexamcommittee吳偉寧;鄧志松zh_TW
dc.contributor.oralexamcommitteeWei-Ning Wu;Chih-Sung Tengen
dc.subject.keyword風險感知,氣候變遷,災害事件,社會資本,zh_TW
dc.subject.keywordclimate change,risk perception,natural disaster,social capital,en
dc.relation.page127-
dc.identifier.doi10.6342/NTU202404687-
dc.rights.note同意授權(全球公開)-
dc.date.accepted2024-12-10-
dc.contributor.author-college社會科學院-
dc.contributor.author-dept國家發展研究所-
顯示於系所單位:國家發展研究所

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