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請用此 Handle URI 來引用此文件: http://tdr.lib.ntu.edu.tw/jspui/handle/123456789/93810
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dc.contributor.advisor吳親恩zh_TW
dc.contributor.advisorChin-En Wuen
dc.contributor.author林邵允zh_TW
dc.contributor.authorShao-Yun Linen
dc.date.accessioned2024-08-08T16:20:22Z-
dc.date.available2024-08-09-
dc.date.copyright2024-08-08-
dc.date.issued2024-
dc.date.submitted2024-07-25-
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dc.identifier.urihttp://tdr.lib.ntu.edu.tw/jspui/handle/123456789/93810-
dc.description.abstract本文是一個有關荷蘭病與資源詛咒的研究,旨在探討資源豐富國家製造業的發展情況。針對此問題,本文在進行一系列宏觀與微觀的經驗研究後,得出了兩個有趣的發現。其一,雖然過去研究荷蘭病的文獻多主張自然資源會排擠製造業出口,使資源豐富國家投資製造業與人力資本的誘因降低,並因此阻礙這些國家製造業的長期發展。但本文發現自然資源儘管會排擠製造業出口,但同時也會增加國家的投資能力,是故自然資源不僅不會使製造業投資下降,反而還會使投資提升,這點在實證研究中也獲得應證。也因此,投資減少並不是這些資源豐富國家製造業長期發展不振的主因,真正主要導致這些國家製造業難以發展的原因,其實是因為自然資源容易引發激烈的尋租行為,使得國家對製造業與人力資本的投資往往受尋租的影響而效率不彰。在這種情況下,資源豐富的國家儘管會投資更多資源發展製造業,但這些投資多半無助於讓製造業有效發展。其二,本文發現資源豐富國家若想擺脫尋租的掣肘,金融深化事實上是箇中關鍵,金融深化有助於降低尋租行為與其影響,這麼一來,資源豐富國家普遍受尋租影響的製造業也將因此在金融深化後獲得改善,這點在實證研究中同樣也獲得了應證。zh_TW
dc.description.abstractThis paper is a research about the Dutch disease and the resource curse, which aims to explore manufacturing development in resource-rich countries. In addressing this issue, the paper conducts a series of quantitative and qualitative studies and arrives at two interesting findings. First, although past literature on Dutch disease often suggests that natural resources crowd out manufacturing exports, reducing the incentives for resource-rich countries to invest in manufacturing and human capital, thus hindering their long-term manufacturing development, this paper finds that while natural resources may crowd out manufacturing exports, they also increase the country's investment capacity. Consequently, natural resources not only do not reduce manufacturing investment but even improve it. This point is also supported by empirical evidence. Thus, this paper suggests that the stagnation of manufacturing growth in resource-rich countries is not because of lacking investment. The main reason these countries find it difficult to develop manufacturing is that natural resources easily trigger acute rent-seeking behavior, causing national investments in manufacturing and human capital to be inefficient due to the influence of rent-seeking. In such a situation, although resource-rich countries may invest more resources in developing manufacturing, these investments often do not effectively foster manufacturing growth. Second, the paper finds that financial deepening is crucial for resource-rich countries to break free from the constraints of rent-seeking. Financial deepening helps reduce rent-seeking behavior and its effects, thereby improving the manufacturing sector, which is often affected by rent-seeking, in resource-rich countries after financial deepening. This point is also supported by empirical evidence.en
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dc.description.tableofcontents口試委員會審定書………………………………………………………………i
謝辭………………………………………………………………………………ii
摘要………………………………………………………………………………iii
Abstract…………………………………………………………………………iv
第一章 前言………………………………………………………………………1
第一節 研究背景與目的…………………………………………………………………1
第二節 研究問題與章節安排……………………………………………………………4
第二章 文獻與理論探討…………………………………………………………6
第一節 資源詛咒與荷蘭病………………………………………………………………6
第二節 自然資源與投資效率…………………………………………………………11
第三節 金融深化的影響………………………………………………………………19
第四節 理論與假設…………………………………………………………………….23
第三章 研究設計…………………………………………………………………27
第一節 操作變數………………………………………………………………………27
第二節 資料分析範圍與資料性質……………………………………………………36
第三節 分析方法………………………………………………………………………37
第四章 實證結果…………………………………………………………………40
第一節 敘述統計………………………………………………………………………40
第二節 迴歸分析結果…………………………………………………………………42
第三節 小結……………………………………………………………………………49
第五章 穩健性檢測………………………………………………………………50
第一節 內生性問題……………………………………………………………………50
第二節 長期效果………………………………………………………………………54
第三節 變數穩健性檢測………………………………………………………………56
第四節 其他分析方法…………………………………………………………………61
第五節 小結……………………………………………………………………………64
第六章 針對資源豐富國家的實際案例分析…………………………………65
第一節 馬來西亞………………………………………………………………………66
第二節 印尼……………………………………………………………………………69
第三節 哥斯大黎加……………………………………………………………………72
第四節 牙買加…………………………………………………………………………73
第五節 綜合比較………………………………………………………………………75
第六節 理論、研究假設與小結………………………………………………………77
第七章 結論………………………………………………………………………79
第一節 研究結論與探討………………………………………………………………79
第一節 研究限制與改進………………………………………………………………81
參考資料…………………………………………………………………………83
附錄………………………………………………………………………………87
表A.1、資本形成的自相關檢定:Wooldridge檢定…………………………………87
表A.2、製造業出口的自相關檢定:Wooldridge檢定………………………………88
表A.3、影響製造業出口的因素(尚未納入交乘項)………………………………89
表A.4、影響資本形成的因素(延2期)……………………………………………90
表A.5、影響製造業出口的因素(延2期)…………………………………………91
表A.6、影響資本形成的因素(延3期)……………………………………………92
表A.7、影響製造業出口的因素(延3期)…………………………………………93
表A.8、影響固定資本形成的因素……………………………………………………94
表A.9、影響製造業貿易的因素………………………………………………………95
表A.10、金融制度廣度:影響資本形成的因素……………………………………96
表A.11、金融制度廣度:影響製造業出口的因素…………………………………97
表A.12、金融制度效率:影響資本形成的因素……………………………………98
表A.13、金融制度效率:影響製造業出口的因素…………………………………99
表 A.14、拆分樣本的結果(納入人均GDP平方)………………………………100
表A.15、拆分樣本的結果(納入通貨膨脹率)……………………………………101
表A.16、拆分樣本的結果(納入GATT/WTO成員)……………………………102
表 A.17、馬來西亞/印尼/哥斯大黎加/牙買加四國比較 ……………………………103
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dc.language.isozh_TW-
dc.subject荷蘭病zh_TW
dc.subject資源詛咒zh_TW
dc.subject製造業發展zh_TW
dc.subject金融深化zh_TW
dc.subject尋租zh_TW
dc.subjectresource curseen
dc.subjectthe Dutch diseaseen
dc.subjectmanufacturing developmenten
dc.subjectfinancial deepeningen
dc.subjectrent-seekingen
dc.title自然資源、金融深化與製造業發展zh_TW
dc.titleNatural Resources, Financial Deepening and Manufacturing Developmenten
dc.typeThesis-
dc.date.schoolyear112-2-
dc.description.degree碩士-
dc.contributor.coadvisor李鳳玉zh_TW
dc.contributor.coadvisorFeng-Yu Leeen
dc.contributor.oralexamcommittee吳文欽;王奕婷zh_TW
dc.contributor.oralexamcommitteeWen-Chin Wu;Yi-Ting Wangen
dc.subject.keyword資源詛咒,荷蘭病,尋租,金融深化,製造業發展,zh_TW
dc.subject.keywordresource curse,the Dutch disease,rent-seeking,financial deepening,manufacturing development,en
dc.relation.page103-
dc.identifier.doi10.6342/NTU202402293-
dc.rights.note同意授權(全球公開)-
dc.date.accepted2024-07-27-
dc.contributor.author-college社會科學院-
dc.contributor.author-dept政治學系-
顯示於系所單位:政治學系

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