請用此 Handle URI 來引用此文件：
http://tdr.lib.ntu.edu.tw/jspui/handle/123456789/74906完整後設資料紀錄
| DC 欄位 | 值 | 語言 |
|---|---|---|
| dc.contributor.advisor | 蘇宏達(Hung-Dah Su) | |
| dc.contributor.author | Ming-Lun Liu | en |
| dc.contributor.author | 劉名倫 | zh_TW |
| dc.date.accessioned | 2021-06-17T09:10:00Z | - |
| dc.date.available | 2019-10-17 | |
| dc.date.copyright | 2019-10-17 | |
| dc.date.issued | 2019 | |
| dc.date.submitted | 2019-10-02 | |
| dc.identifier.citation | 壹、中文部分：
Brooke A. Smith-Windsor著，2018，〈北約與『修昔底德的陷阱』：美、中大國競逐下的大西洋聯盟戰略〉，《國防雜誌》，33(3)：1-29。 上海社會科學院世界經濟與政治研究院編，2009，《全球金融危機下的國際秩序》，北京：時事出版社。 中國國際問題研究所譯，2007，《大棋局：美國的首要地位及其地緣戰略》。上海：上海世紀出版集團。譯自Zbigniew Brzezinski. The Grand Chessboard: American Primacy and its Geostrategic Imperatives. New York: Basic Books. 1998. 王夢奎，2005，《世界經濟格局中的中國》，北京：人民出版社。 王瑤瑛，1999，〈國際貨幣基金的制約條件執行成效與政經效應〉，《問題與研究》，38(9)期：65-91。 包淳亮譯，2018，《註定一戰？中美能否避免修昔底德陷阱》，新北市：八旗文化。譯自Graham Allison. DESTINED FOR WAR： Can America and China Escape Thucydides’ Trap? Boston: Houghton Mifflin Harcourt. 2017. 左正東、葉國俊，2011，〈金融海嘯後中國對於東亞貨幣整合的策略分析：亞元與人民幣之間的抉擇〉，《遠景季刊》，12(2)：81-128。 石巧榮，2011，〈國際貨幣競爭格局演進中的人民幣國際化前景〉，《國際金融研究》，7：34-42。 向駿主編，2006，《2050中國第一？權力轉移理論下的美中臺關係之迷思》。臺北：博揚文化。 朱鋒，2006，〈權力轉移理論：霸權性現實主義？〉，《國際政治研究（北京》，3：24–42。 何凡、張明，2005，〈國際貨幣體系不穩定中的美元霸權因素〉，《財經問題研究》，7：32-37。 吳鯤魯，2001，《亞洲區域金融中心的形成與變遷─香港和新加坡金融中心政策的政經分析》，台北：國立臺灣大學政治學系博士論文。 李威儀譯，2001，《中國-新霸權》，臺北：力緒文化。譯自Steven W. Mosher，Hegemon：China's Plan to Dominate Asia and the World. New York: Encounter Books. 2002. 李靜宜譯， 2011年，《權力大未來》，臺北：天下遠見。譯自Nye ,Joseph S. Jr. The Future of Power. New York: PublicAffairs. 2011. 李巍，2013，〈金融外交在中國的興起〉，《世界經濟與政治》，2：77-98。 林小芳，2009，〈關於美元霸權的兩個問題〉，李慎明主編，《美元霸權與經濟危機》，北京：社會科學文獻出版社。 林茂輝、段勝武與張星萍等譯，1991，《權力與相互依賴》，北京：中國人民公安大學出版社。譯自Robert Keohane and Joseph S. Nye. Power and Interdependence: World Politics in Transition. Boston: Little Brown. 1977. 花俊雄，2017，〈中美兩國可以跨越『修昔底德陷阱』－從特朗普訪華說起〉，《海峽評論》，324：25-27。 邱坤玄，2000，〈霸權穩定論與冷戰後中（共）美權力關係〉，《東亞季刊》，31（3）：1-14。 金燦榮，2015，〈中美關係與“修昔底德陷阱” 〉，《湖北大學學報》，42(3)：13-19。 門洪華，2005，《霸權之翼：美國國際制度戰略》，北京：北京大學出版社。 門洪華，2009，〈金融危機與美元霸權的變遷〉，《理論視野》，1：44-47。 阿嘎瓦拉，R.（Agarwala，Ramgopal），2004，《中國的崛起——威脅還是機遇？》，太原：山西出版社。 洪淑芬，1995，＜美元貶值對美國經濟及國際貨幣體制的影響＞，《美歐月刊》，10(8)：57-58。 胡立平等譯，2015年，《世界秩序》，北京：中信出版社。譯自Henry Kissinger. World Order. London: Penguin Books. 2015. 胡祖慶譯，1997，《國際政治體系理論解析》，台北：五南。譯自Kenneth N. Waltz. Theory of International Politics. Boston Mass: McGraw-Hill Higher Education. 1979. 胡聲平，2011，〈中國外交發展：世界霸權興起？〉，宋鎮照 (編)，《全球金融大海嘯和中國發展的政治經濟：政府政策市場經濟與社會階級之分析》，台北：海峽學術出版社。 倪世雄著，2003年，《當代國際關係理論》臺北：五南。 唐欣偉，2013，〈美國國關學界對中國之評估：以攻勢現實主義與權力轉移論為例〉，《政治科學論叢》，58：47-70。 秦亞青，2008，《霸權體系與國際衝突》，上海：上海人民出版社。 秦亞青，2009，《西方國際關係理論經典導讀》，北京：北京大學出版社。 翁明賢、吳建德與江春琦等總主編，2007，《國際關係》，臺北：五南。 高一中譯，2016，《廿一世紀的美國與中共權力轉移想定》，臺北：國防部印。譯自David P. Rapkin and William R. Thompson. Transition Scenarios: China and the United States in the Twenty-First Century. University of Chicago Press. 2013. 國防部編譯，2003，《權力轉移：二十一世紀的戰略》(Power Transitions: Strategies for the 21st Century)。臺北：國防部史政編譯室。譯自Ronald L. Tammen, Jacek Kugler, Douglas Lemke, Allan C. StamⅢ, Mark Abdollahian, Carole Alsharabti, Brian Efird and A.F.K. Organski. Power Transitions: Strategies for the 21st Century. New York: Chatham House Publishers of Seven Bridges Press. 2000. 張自學譯，1985年，《國際政治學》，臺北：幼獅。譯自Hans Morgenthau and Kenneth Thompson. Palitics among Nations. New York: McGraw-Hill. 1985. 張保民譯，1990，《權力與國際關係》，臺北：幼獅出版社。譯自Inis L. Claude, Jr. Power and International Relations. New York: Random House. 1962. 張亞中，2002，〈中共的強權之路：地緣政治與全球化的挑戰〉，《遠景季刊》，3(2)：1–42。 張小明譯，2003：無政府社會：世界政治秩序研究，北京，世界知識出版社。譯自Hedley Bull. The Anarchical Society: A Study of Order in World Politics. New York: Columbia University Press.1977:162。 張亞中與左正東主編，2011，《國際關係總論第三版》，臺北：揚智。 張立德，2014，〈21世紀美中權力關係檢視與展望：權力轉移理論觀點〉，《戰略與評估》，5(2)：91-118。 張春柏、陸乃聖譯，2014，《霸權興衰史: 1500至2000年的經濟變遷與軍事衝突》。臺北：五南。譯自Paul Kennedy. The Rise and Fall of the Great Powers: Economic Change and Military Conflict from 1500 to 2000. New York: Vintage Books. 1989. 張清溪、許嘉棟、劉鶯釧、吳聰敏等著，2016，《經濟學(第五版) 》，臺北：雙葉書廊。 張睿壯、劉豐譯，2012，《現實主義與國際政治》，北京：北京大學出版社。譯自Kenneth N. Waltz著，Realism and International Politics. London: Routledge. 2008. 許孝慈、陳怡仲與張晉閣等譯，2004，《全球政治經濟－掌握國際經濟秩序》，臺北：桂冠。譯自Robert Gilpin. Global Political Economy: Understanding the International Economic Order. New Jersey: Princeton University Press. 2001. 郭盛、王穎等譯，2008，《馴服美國權力：對美國首要地位的全球回應》，上海：上海世紀出版集團。譯自Stephen Walt. Taming American Power: The Global Response to U.S. Primacy. New York: W. W. Norton. 2005. 陳亮智，2009，〈尋找解釋美中戰略競爭的趨動力量：安全困境，權力平衡，或是權力轉移？〉，《中國大陸研究》，52(1)：87–128。 陳重成、唐欣偉，2005，〈中國大陸崛起對當前國際體系的衝擊〉，《遠景基金會季刊》，6（4）：101–137。 陳彪如，1996，《國際貨幣體系》，臺北：五南。 彭懷恩編著，2008，《國際關係概論》，臺北：風雲論壇。 童振源，2005，〈人民幣匯率之國際政治經濟分析〉，《問題與研究》，44(6)：133-155。 黃仁德與歐陽勛，1993，《國際金融理論與制度》，台北：三民書局。 黃志典，2011，《國際金融概論》，臺北：前程文化。 黃志典，2014，〈人民幣國際化的現況、路徑與策略分析〉，《問題與研究》，53(3)：1-36。 黃裕美譯，1997，《文明衝突與世界秩序的重建》，臺北：聯經出版事業公司。譯自Samuel P. Huntington. The Clash of Civilization and the Remaking of World Order. New York: Simon & Schuster. 1996. 楊永明著，2010，《國際關係》，臺北：前程文化。 楊宇光、楊炯譯，2004，《全球資本主義的挑戰∶21世紀的世界經濟》，臺北：桂冠。譯自Robert Gilpin. The Challenge of Global Capitalism: The World Economy in the 21st Century. Princeton Oxford: Princeton University Press. 2002. 楊宇光等譯，1994，《國際關係的政治經濟分析》，臺北：桂冠。譯自Robert Gilpin. The Political Economy of International Relations. New Jersey: Princeton University Press. 1987. 楊緒彪，2009，〈美元本位制、美元霸權與美國金融危機〉，《經濟與管理》，23(1)：62-65。 溫洽溢譯，2008，《脆弱的強權：在中國崛起的背後》，臺北：遠流。譯自Susan L. Shirk. China:Fragile Superpower: How China’s Internal Politics Could Derail Its Peaceful Rise. Oxford University Press. 2007. 廖子光，2008，《金融戰爭：中國如何突破美元霸權》，北京：中央編譯出版社。 趙文志，2006，〈中美關係中的經濟因素：以人民幣匯率為例〉，《東吳政治學報》，24：69–116。 趙文志，2011，〈國際貨幣權力理論的應用：中國匯率政策改變的原因分析〉，《問題與研究》，50(2)：143-167。 趙永祥、吳依正，2015，〈從亞投行與一帶一路看中國海外經濟版圖擴張與對台灣經濟發展之影響〉，《全球管理與經濟》，11(2)：99-118 頁。 劉文祥、楊小勇，2015，〈破解'修昔底德陷阱'魔咒 構建中美新型大國關係〉，《湖北大學學報》，42(3)：20-25。 潘忠岐譯，2004，《美國時代的終結：美國外交政策與21世紀的地緣政治》，上海：上海世紀出版集團。譯自Charles A. Kupchan. The End of the American Era: U.S. Foreign Policy and the Geopolitics of the Twenty-first Century. New York: Vintage Books. 2003. 蔡東傑譯，2002，《美國霸權的矛盾與未來》，臺北：左岸文化。譯自Nye ,Joseph S. Jr.著，The Paradox of American Power: Why the World’s only superpower can’t go it alone. Oxford: Oxford University Press. 2002. 鄭端耀，2003，〈國際關係攻勢與守勢現實主義理論爭辯之評析〉，《問題與研究》，42(2)：1-21。 魯世巍，2006，《美元霸權與國際貨幣格局》，北京：中國經濟出版社。 閻學通，2012，〈權力中心轉移與國際體系轉變〉，《當代亞太》，6：6-23。 閻學通，2013，《下一個十年：全球變局大預測》，新北：八旗文化。 顏海燕，2010，〈美元主導下的國際貨幣體系與中國匯率主權〉，《上海財經大學學報》，12(6)：48-53。 羅至美，2013，〈歐元的全球角色：機會與限制〉，《行政暨政策學報》57：91-128。 譚偉恩，2006，〈權力平衡理論之研究：現實主義的觀點〉，《國際關係學報》，22：129-165。 鐘飛騰，2010，〈霸權穩定論與國際政治經濟學研究〉，《世界經濟與政治》，4：109-22。 貮、西文部分： Allison, Graham. 2017. Destined for War: Can American and China Escape Thucydides’s Trap? New York: Houghton Mifflin Harcourt. Alvin H. Hansen and C. P. Kindleberger. 1942. “The Economic Tasks of the Postwar World. ” Foreign World 20: 466-76. Andrews, David M. et al. 2006. International Monetary Power. Ithaca, New York: Cornell University Press. Angang Hu. 2007. Economic And Social Transformation in China: Challenges And Opportunities. New York: Routledge. Arrighi, Giovanni. 1994. The Long Twentieth Century : Money, Power, and the Origins of Our Times. London ; New York: Verso. Benjamin Frankel. 1996. Realism: Restatements and Renewal. Portland: OR, Frank Cass. Bessma Momani. 2008. “Gulf Cooperation Council Oil Exporters and the Future of the Dollar.” New Political Economy 13(3):293-314. Birol A. Yeşilada, Brian Efird, and Peter Noordijk. 2006. “Competition among Giants: A Look at How Future Enlargement of the European Union Could Affect Global Power Transition.” International Studies Review 3:607-622. Brian Efird, Jacek Kugler, and Gaspare M. Genna. 2003. “From war to integration: generalizing the dynamic of power transition.” International Interactions 29:293-313. Bruce Bueno de Mesquita. 1975. “Measuring Systemic Polarity, ” Journal of Conflict Resolution 19(2):187-216 Bruce Bueno de Mesquita. 1978. “Systemic Polarizaton and occurrence and duration of war” Journal of Conflict Resolution 22(2):241-267 Bruce Gilley. 2011. “Middle powers during great power transitions.” International Journal 66: 245-264. Buzan Barry & Richard Little. 2000. “International Systems in World History: Remaking the Study of International Relations.” Oxford: Oxford University Press. Calleo, David, and Susan Strange.1984. “Money and World Politics.” In Paths to International Political Economy, edited by Susan Strange, 91-125. London: Allen & Unwin. Charles P. Kindleberger. 1949. “Germany and the Economic Recovery of Europe,” Proceedings of the Academy of Political Science 23(3): 288-301. Charles P. Kindleberger. 1951. “Group Behavior and International Trade.” Journal of Political Economy 59:30-47. Charles P. Kindleberger. 1954. “Review: A Monetary Economist on Power Politics.” World Politics 6:507-14. Charles P. Kindleberger. 1966. Europe and the Dollar. Cambridge: The MIT Press. Charles P. Kindlerberger and Emile Despres and Walter S. Salant. 1966. The Dollar and World Liquidity: a Minority View. Washington, Brookings Institution. Charles P. Kindleberger. 1969. “International Policies for the Coordination of Economic Growth.” Journal of International Affairs 23(2):302-14. Charles P. Kindleberger. 1970. Power and Money: The Economics of International and the Politics of International Economics. New York: Basic Books. Charles P. Kindleberger. 1972. “The Benefits of International Money.” Journal of International Economic 2:425-42. Charles P. Kindleberger. 1973[1986c]. The World in Depression, 1929-1939. Berkeley: University of California Press. Charles P. Kindleberger. 1981. “Dominance and Leadership in the International Economy: Exploitation, Public Goods and Free Riders.” International Quarterly 25(2):242-254. Charles P. Kindleberger. 1986. “International Public Good without International Government.” American Economic Review 76(1):1-13. Claude, Inis L. 1962. Power and international relations, New York: Random House. Cohen, Benjamin J. 1971. The Future of Sterling as an International Currency, New York: St. Martin's Press. Cohen, Benjamin J. 1974. “The Revolution in Atlantic Economic Relations: A BargainComes Unstuck” in Wolfram Hanrieder ed., The United States and Western Europe: Political, Economic, and Strategic Perspective (Cambridge Mass: Winthrop Publishers. Cohen, Benjamin J. 1992. “The Triad and the Unholy Trinity: Problems of International Monetary Cooperation.” In Pacific Economic Relations in the 1990s: Cooperation or Conflict? edited by Richard A. Higgott, Richard Leaver and John Ravenhill, 133-58. North Sydney: Allen & Unwin. Cohen, Benjamin J. 1997. Organizing the World's Money: The Political Economy of International Monetary Relations, The Political Economy of International Relations Series. New York: Basic Books. Cohen, Benjamin J. 1998. The Geography of Money. Ithaca: Cornell University Press. Cohen, Benjamin J. 2002. “International Finance.” In Hand Book of International Relations, edited by Thomas Risse Walter Carlsnaes, and Beth A. Simmons, 429-47. London: Sage Publications. Cohen, Benjamin J. 2006. “The Macrofoundations of Monetary Power.” In International Monetary Power, edited by David M. Andrews, 31-50. Ithaca, New York: Cornell University Press. Cohen, Benjamin J. 2006. Enlargement and the International Role of the Euro. Presented for the Conference the Euro and the Dollar. Cohen, Benjamin J. 2008. International Political Economy: An Intellectual History. Princeton, N.J.: Princeton University Press. Dani Rodrik. 1998. “Why do More Open Economies Have Bigger Governments?” Journal of Political Economy 106(5):997-1032. Daniel S. Geller. 1992. “Power Transition and Conflict Initiation.” Conflict Management and Peace Science 12(1):1-16. David A. Lake. 1993. “Leadership, Hegemony, and the International Economy - Naked Emperor or Tattered Monarch with Potential.” International Studies Quarterly 37(4):459-89. David M. Lampton. 2008. The Three Faces of Chinese Power: Might, Money, and Minds. California: University of California Press. David Rapkin and William R. Thompson. 2003.” Power Transition, Challenge and the (Re)emergence of China.” International Interactions. 29(4):315-342. Donald Kagan. 2003. The Peloponnesian War. New York: Viking Press. Dong Sun Lee. 2008. Power Shifts, Strategy and War – Declining States and International Conflict. New York: Routledge. Douglas Lemke and William Reed. 1996. “Regime types and status quo evaluations: Power transition theory and the democratic peace.” International Interactions: Empirical and Theoretical Research in International Relations 22(2):143-164. Douglas Lemke and William Reed. 1998. “power is not satisfaction”, journal of conflict resolution 42(4):511-516. Douglas Lemke.1997. “The Continuation of History: Power Transition Theory and the End of the Cold War.” Journal of Peace Research 34:23-36. E. H. Carr. 2001. The Twenty Years' Crisis: 1919–1939. New York: Perennial. Feng, Yi, Jacek Kugler, and Paul Zak. 2000. “The Politics of Fertility and Economic Development” International Studies Quarterly 44(2):667-694. G. John Ikenberry. 2008. “The Rise of China and the Future of the West – Can the Liberal System Survive?” Foreign Affairs 87(1):23-37. Geoffrey Garret and Deborah Mitchell. 2001. “Globalization, government spending and taxation in the OECD” European Journal of Political Research 39(2):145-177. Geoffrey Garret. 2001. “Globalization and Government Spending around the World” Studies in Comparative International Development 35(4):3-29. Henk W. Houweling and Jan G. Siccama. 1991. “Power Transitions and Critical Points as Predictors of Great Power War” Journal of Conflict Resolution 35(4):642-658. Immanuel Wallerstein. 1984. “The three instances of hegemony in the history of the capitalist world-economy.” In, The politics of the world-economy: The states, the movements, and the civilizations. London: Cambridge University Press. Immanuel Wallerstein. 2003. The decline of American power: the U.S. in a chaotic world. New York: The New Press. Immanuel Wallerstein. 2011. The Modern World-System II: Mercantilism and the Consolidation of the European World-Economy. California: Academic Press. Indra de Soysa, John R. Oneal, & Youn-Hee Park. 1997. “Testing Power-Transition Theory Using Alternative Measures of National Capabilities,” The Journal of Conflict Resolution 41(4):509-528. Jack S. Levy. 2004. “What Do Great Powers Balance Against and When.” in T. V. Paul, James J. Wirtz and Michel Fortmann eds., Balance of Power: Theory and Practice in the 21st Century, California: Stanford University Press. James E. Dougherty and Robert L. Pfaltzgraff Jr. 2000. Contending Theories of International Relations: A Comprehensive Survey (5th Edition). New York: Pearson Press. James Steinberg, & Michael E. O`Hanlon. 2014. Strategic reassurance and resolve: U.S - China relations in the twenty-first century. New Jersey: Princeton University Press. Joseph E. Stigliz.1999. “Knowledge as a Global Public Goods”, in Inge Kaul, Isabelle Grunberg and Marc Stern, eds., Global Public Goods: International Cooperation in the 21th Century, New York: Oxford University Press. Joseph S. Nye, Jr. 1990. Bound to Lead: The Changing Nature of American Power.New York: Basic Book. Kenneth N. Waltz.1964. The Stability of a Bipolar World. Deadalus 93(3):88-909. Kenneth N. Waltz.1967. International Structure, National Force, and the Balance of World Power. Journal of International Affairs 21(2):215-231. Kenneth N. Waltz. 1979. Theory of International Politics. Boston, Mass: McGraw-Hill Higher Education. Kenneth N. Waltz. 2001[1959]. Man, the State, and War: A Theoretic al Analysis. New York: Columbia University Press. Martin Wolf. 2004. “Globalization and Global Economic Governance.” Oxford Review of Economic Policy. 20(1):72-84. Mazen Labban. 2010. “Oil in Parallax: Scarcity, Markets, and the Financialization of Accumulation.” Geoforum. 41(4):541-552. Michael C. Webb, Stephen D. Krasner. 1989. “Hegemonic Stability Theory: An Empirical Assessment”, Review of International Studies 15(2):183-198. Michael Pillsbury. 2015. The hundred-year marathon: China's secret strategy to replace America as the global superpower. New York: Henry Holt and Company. Morgenthau, Hans J. 1946. Scientific man vs. power politics. Chicago：The University of Chicago. Morgenthau, Hans J. 1988. “The National Interest of the United States” American Political Science Review 46:961. Morgenthau, Hans J. 2006. Politics Among Nations：The Struggle for Power and Peace. Seventh edition. Boston, Mass.: McGraw-Hill Higher Education. Ngaire Woods. 2003. “The United States and the International Financial Institutions: Power and Influence Within the World Bank and the IMF” Foot, S. Neil MacFarlane, and Michael Mastanduno eds., US Hegemony and International Organizations: The United States and Multilateral Institutions, Oxford: Oxford University Press. Nye, J. S. 2015. Is the American century over? Malden Mass: Polity Press. Organski, A.F.K.1958.World Politics. New York: Knopf Press. Organski, A.F.K. 1968. World Politics. Chicago: University of Chicago Press. Organski, A.F.K. and Jacek Kugler. 1977. “The Costs of Major Wars: The Phoenix Factor.” The American Political Science Review 71(4):1347-1366. Organski, A.F.K. and Jacek Kugler. 1980. The War Ledger. Chicago: The University of Chicago. Organski, A.F.K. and Jacek Kugler. 1989. “The Power Transition: A Retrospective and Prospective Evaluation.” In Handbook of war studies, eds. Manus I. Midlarsky. Boston: Unwin Hyman:171-194. Organski, A.F.K. and Jacek Kugler. 2008. “The End of Hegemony?” International Interactions: Empirical and Theoretical Research in International Relations 15(2):113-128. Oystein Noreng. 1999. “The Euro and the Oil Market: New Challenges to the Industry.” Journal of Energy Finance and Development 4(1):29-68. Paul Kennedy. 1987, The Rise and Fall of The Great Power－Economic Change and Military Conflict from 1500 to 2000. New York: Random House, Inc. Paul M. Evans(ed.). 1994. “Studying Asia Pacific Security: The Future of Research, Training and Dialogue Activities”, Toronto: Joint Center for Asia Pacific Studies:38. Paul Schroeder.1994. “Historical Reality vs. Neorealist Theory” International Security, 19(1):108-148. Paul Schroeder. 2004. Systems, Stability, and Statecraft: Essay on the International History of Modern Europe, New York: Palgrave Macmillan. Phillip Y. Lipscy. 2015. “Explaining Institutional Change: Policy Areas, Outside Options, and the Bretton Woods Institutions” American Journal of Political Science 59(2）:341–356. Randall L. Schweller. 1998. Deadly Imbalance: Tripolarity and Hitler's strategy of world conquest. New York: Columbia University Press. Randall L. Schweller. 2006. Unanswered Threats: Political Constraints on Balance of Power. Princeton and Oxford: Princeton University Press. Reşat Bayer. 2010. “Peaceful transitions and democracy.” Journal of Peace Research 47: 535. Richard Rosecrance. 2002. “Is there a Balance of Power?” in John A. Vasquez and Elman eds., Realism and the Balancing of Power: A New Debate, Upper Saddle River. NJ: Prentice Hall. Robert Gilpin. 1971. “The Politics of Transnational Economic Relations.” International Organization,25(3):398-419. Robert Gilpin. 1975. U.S. Power and the Multinational Corporation: The Political Economy of Foreign Direct Investmen. New York: Basic Books. Robert Gilpin. 1981. War and Change in World Politics. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press. Robert Gilpin. 1987. The Political Economy of International Relations. New Jersey: Princeton University Press. Robert Gilpin. and Jean M. Gilpin. 2001. Global Political Economy: Understanding the International Economic Order. New Jersey: Princeton University Press. Robert Gilpin. 2002. The Challenge of Global Capitalism: The World Economy in the 21st Century. Princeton Oxford: Princeton University Press. Robert Kagan and William Kristol. 2000. Present Dangers: Crisis and Opportunity in America’s Foreign and Defense Policy. New York: Encounter Books Press. Robert Keohane and Joseph Nye. 1977. Power and Interdependence: World Politics in Transition. Boston: Little Brown. Robert Keohane. 1980. “The Theory of Hegemonic Stability and Changes in International Economic Regimes, 1967-1977.” ACIS working paper 22. Robert Keohane. 1984. After Hegemony: Cooperation and Discord in the World Political Economy. New Jersey: Princeton University Press. Robert Keohane. 1986. Neorealism and Its Critics. New York: Columbia University Press. Robert Keohane and Joseph S. Nye. 2001. Power and Interdependence. Boston: Longman. Robert Lucas. 1988. “On the Mechanics of Economic Development”, Journal of Monetary Economics 21:3-32. Ronald L. Jepperson, Alexander Wendt, Peter J. Katzenstein.1996. The culture of national security: norms and identity in world politics. NY: Columbia University Press. Shimshon Bichler amd Jonathan Nitzan. 2004. “Dominant Capital and the New Wars.” Journal of World-Systems Research 10（2）: 255-327. Soyoung Kim, Jong-Wha Lee, Cyn-Young Park. 2009. “Emerging Asia: Decoupling or Recoupling” ADB Working Paper Series on Regional Economic Integration, Asian Development Bank, No.31. Stephen D. Krasner. 1976. “State Power and Structure of International Trade.” World Politics 28(3):317-47. Stephen M. Walt. 1985. “Alliance Formation and the Balance of World Power.” International Security 9(4):3-43. Stephen M. Walt.1987. The Origins of Alliances. Ithaca: Cornell University Press. Stephen M. Walt. 2005. Taming American Power: The Global Response to U.S. Primacy. New York: W. W. Norton. Stephen M. Walt. 2009. “Alliances in a Unipolar World.” World Politics 61(1): 86-120. Steve Chan. 2003. “Power,Satisfaction and Popularity A Poisson Analysis of UN Security Council Vetoes” Cooperation and Conflict 38:339-359. Steve Chan. 2004. “Can't get no satisfaction? The recognition of revisionist states” International Relations of the Asia-Pacific 207-238. Steve Chan. 2004. “Exploring Puzzles in Power Transition Theory: Implications for Sino-American Relations” Security Studies 13(3):103-141. Steve Chan.2005. “Is Ther a Power Transition between the U.S. and China? The Different Faces of National Power.” Asian Survey 45(5):687-701. T. V. Paul, (2004). “The Enduring Axioms of Balance of Power Theory and Their Contemporary Relevance” in T. V. Paul, James J. Wirtz and Michel Fortmann eds., Balance of Power: Theory and Practice in the 21st Century, California: Stanford University Press. Tammen Ronald L.et al. 2000. Power transitions: strategies for the 21st century. New York: Chatham House Publishers of Seven Bridge Press. Tammen Ronald L. and Jacek Kugler. 2006. “Power Transition and China-US Conflicts.” Chinese Journal of International Politics 1:35-55. Timothy J. Mckeown. 1983. “Hegemonic Stability Theory and 19th-Century Tariff Levels in Europe.” International Organization 37(1):73-91. Woosang Kim. 1991. “Alliance Transitions and Great War.” American Journal of Political Science 35(4):833-850. Yongping Feng. 2006. “The Peaceful Transition of Power from the UK to the US.” Chinese Journal of International Politics 1（1）:83-108. Yu-Shan Wu. 2011. “Power Shift, Strategic Triangle, and Alliances in East Asia.” Issues & Studies 47(4):1-42. | |
| dc.identifier.uri | http://tdr.lib.ntu.edu.tw/jspui/handle/123456789/74906 | - |
| dc.description.abstract | 學者Nye(1990)曾言：國力是國家的硬實力（Hard power），同時也是國家的軟實力（Soft power）與巧實力（Smart power）的綜合運用展現，其與國家發展相輔相成。目前國際政治、經濟暨金融等產官學界最熱門的話題，即為中美貿易戰及人民幣和美元關係的競合，中國是否可如同美國和平取代英國霸權的途徑般取代美國？人民幣是否可在短期內為亞洲強勢貨幣或成為亞元？亦或在未來取代美元成為人民幣霸權？為維護美元霸權帶給美國人民龐大的利益，卡特總統（James Earl “Jimmy” Carter, Jr.，1924-）曾說：「任何企圖掌控波斯灣地區的外來勢力，都會被視為對美國國家利益的嚴重威脅，而美國將會以任何必要的手段排除這種威脅，其中包括軍事行動。」。美國前國務卿季辛吉博士（Henry A. Kissinger，1923-）亦把糧食、石油及地緣政治作為美國外交政策的核心利益。他的一句名言被人們廣泛引用：「如果你控制了石油，你就控制了所有國家；如果你控制了糧食，你就控制了所有的人；如果你控制了貨幣，你就控制了全世界。」。
本文由國際政治經濟學（IPE）及國際關係之現實主義三大理論途徑的思考觀點出發，探討21世紀人民幣崛起對美元霸權可能之影響。歐洲中央銀行（ECB）所建構決定國際貨幣地位的經濟性指標可分為4項參數指標，分別為：經濟規模與對外開放程度、金融市場發展與整合、貨幣價值穩定性、使用慣性與網絡外部性等。本文採用歐洲中央銀行所建構上述之4項指標做為本文主要章節架構，並以簡單凱因斯（Keynes）數學函數模型，即GDP=C+I+G+(X-M)，來瞭解、實證並討論人民幣堀起對美元霸權可能影響，最後於結論歸納分析及預測，其符合現實主義下之何種理論途徑。 因此，本研究問題如右：1.依據現實主義之權力平衡論、霸權穩定論及權力轉移論等不同路徑，人民幣有挑戰或取代美元霸權的可能嗎？2.若是，21世紀人民幣堀起與美元霸權，可能為何種理論模型？ 經由上述各章節分析討論後，研究發現3點重要結論。分別如下： 1.就權力平衡論而言，因目前中美兩國實力仍差距甚遠，可預見之20年內，在亞太區域中之人民幣和美元存在競爭性共存(Competitive Coexistence)，雙方可能維持權力均勢之格局。 2.就霸權穩定論而言，在全球化下之格局中，人民幣與美元間，仍呈現以美國為首之霸權穩定關係。 3.就權力轉移論與貨幣霸權而論，人民幣與美元之競合關係，因兩者間經濟量體間仍有若干差距之存在，雖在尖端高新產業結構有出現修昔底德陷阱的可能性，但在短期內仍暫時不會出現修昔底德陷阱，亦不會出現貨幣間權力轉移之情狀。 | zh_TW |
| dc.description.abstract | Nye(1990)once said that national power is not only the Hard power of a country, but also the comprehensive application and demonstration of its Soft power and Smart power, which complement each other with national development. At present, the hottest topics in the international political, economic and financial circles are the trade war between China and the United States and the competition and cooperation between the RMB and the dollar. Can China replace the United States in the same way that the United States peacefully replaces the British hegemony? Can the RMB be a strong Asian currency or a Asian currency in the short term? Or will it replace the dollar as the hegemon of the renminbi in the future? To bring the people of the United States dollar hegemony huge interests, President Carter (James Earl 'Jimmy' Carter, Jr., 1924 -), once said: 'any attempt to control alien forces of the Persian gulf region, serious threat to the United States would be considered the interests of the state, while the United States will be to any necessary means to eliminate the threat, including military action.' . Former secretary of state Dr. Henry Alfred Kissinger (1923-) also regarded food, oil and geopolitics as the core interests of American foreign policy. 'If you control oil, you control all countries; if you control food, you control all people; if you control money, you control the world. .
Based on the three theoretical approaches of international political economy (IPE) and realism in international relations, this paper discusses the possible influence of the rise of the RMB on the US dollar hegemony in the 21st century. The economic indicators established by the European Central Bank (ECB) that determine the status of international currency can be divided into four parameter indicators: economic scale and degree of openness to the outside world, development and integration of financial market, stability of monetary value, inertia of use and network externality, etc. Constructed by the European central bank have four indicators as the main section of the architecture, and with a simple Keynes mathematical function model, namely GDP = C + I + G + (X - M), to understand, the empirical and discuss the Yuan to US dollar hegemony may affect , inductive analysis and prediction, to conclude this paper its way under what theory conforms to the realism. Therefore, the research questions are as follows: 1. Is it possible for the RMB to challenge or replace the hegemony of the US dollar according to different paths such as the power balance theory of realism, hegemonic stability and power transfer theory? 2. If so, what is the theoretical model of the rise of the RMB and the hegemony of the US dollar in the 21st century? After the analysis and discussion of the above chapters, three important conclusions are found. They are as follows: 1. As for the balance of power theory, the current strength in China and the United States is still far short of the foreseeable within 20 years, in the Asia Pacific domain of RMB and US dollar has Competitive Coexistence, the two sides may be the pattern of maintaining the balance of power. 2. As far as hegemonic stability is concerned, in the context of globalization, there is still a hegemonic and stable relationship between the RMB and the us dollar, led by the us. 3 from the viewpoint of power transfer theory and monetary hegemony, co-opetition relationships between RMB and US dollar, because there are still some gap between the economic quantity body between the existence of, although in cutting-edge high-tech industrial structure has the possibility of thucydides trap, but still in the short term there will not be temporarily thucydides trap, also won't appear between monetary power transfer situation. | en |
| dc.description.provenance | Made available in DSpace on 2021-06-17T09:10:00Z (GMT). No. of bitstreams: 1 ntu-108-P06322018-1.pdf: 3804422 bytes, checksum: c0d57b1bd972ef8b6a94af3f3ec77652 (MD5) Previous issue date: 2019 | en |
| dc.description.tableofcontents | 目錄
第一章 緒論.............................................1 第一節 問題意識........................................1 第二節 主要國際銀行交易清算系統..........................6 第三節 美元堀起與發展..................................11 第四節 研究問題與架構..................................16 第五節 研究方法、範圍與限制.............................20 第二章 理論基礎與文獻回顧................................22 第一節 權力平衡論與霸權穩定論...........................23 第二節 修昔底德陷阱(Thucydides's trap) 與權力轉移論.....40 第三章 美元的霸權結構....................................51 第一節 經濟規模與對外開放程度...........................51 第二節 金融市場發展與整合..............................59 第三節 貨幣價值穩定性.................................64 第四節 使用慣性與網絡外部性............................73 第四章 人民幣對美國霸權可能的挑戰.........................79 第一節 經濟規模與對外開放程度..........................79 第二節 金融市場發展與整合.............................86 第三節 貨幣價值穩定性................................88 第四節 使用慣性與網絡外部性...........................100 第五章 結論.........................................107 參考文獻.............................................134 | |
| dc.language.iso | zh-TW | |
| dc.title | 21世紀人民幣崛起對美元霸權可能之影響 | zh_TW |
| dc.title | The possible influence of the rise of RMB on U.S. Dollar hegemony in the 21st century | en |
| dc.type | Thesis | |
| dc.date.schoolyear | 108-1 | |
| dc.description.degree | 碩士 | |
| dc.contributor.oralexamcommittee | 林建甫(Chien-Fu Jeff Lin),羅至美(Chih-Mei Luo) | |
| dc.subject.keyword | 中美貿易戰,人民幣,美元,美元霸權,貨幣霸權,權力平衡論,霸權穩定論,修昔底德陷阱,權力轉移論, | zh_TW |
| dc.subject.keyword | China–United States trade war,RMB,US dollar,US dollar hegemony,currency hegemony,power balance theory,hegemonic stability theory,thucydides trap,power transfer theory, | en |
| dc.relation.page | 144 | |
| dc.identifier.doi | 10.6342/NTU201904169 | |
| dc.rights.note | 有償授權 | |
| dc.date.accepted | 2019-10-02 | |
| dc.contributor.author-college | 社會科學院 | zh_TW |
| dc.contributor.author-dept | 政治學研究所 | zh_TW |
| 顯示於系所單位： | 政治學系 | |
文件中的檔案：
| 檔案 | 大小 | 格式 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ntu-108-1.pdf 目前未授權公開取用 | 3.72 MB | Adobe PDF |
系統中的文件，除了特別指名其著作權條款之外，均受到著作權保護，並且保留所有的權利。