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標題: | 香港居民對政黨的信任變遷研究~2001-2016年四波調查分析 A Study Of Change In Political Trust In Hong Kong's Political Party:Analysis Of Four Wave Surveys(2001-2016) |
作者: | Chen-Wei Wang 王誠緯 |
指導教授: | 陳明通(Ming-Tung Chen) |
關鍵字: | 一國兩制,港獨,雙普選,佔中運動,雨傘革命, one country,two systems,the independence of Hong Kong,dual universal suffrage,Occupy Central Campaign,Umbrella Revolution, |
出版年 : | 2020 |
學位: | 碩士 |
摘要: | 香港從1997年回歸之後,香港居民對所謂的「高度自治」有一定程度的幻想,當時中共所承諾的「一國兩制」、「高度自治」、「港人治港」並沒有太大的質疑,因此對「一國兩制」下的立法會及區議會選舉,各政黨及政治團體也積極投入,然而香港的政黨面臨多角度的複雜關係,主要面對香港居民和特區政府以及北京政府的干涉而變成了四角關係,這樣的複雜關係是否讓香港政黨偏離了原有的以民意為依歸的政治屬性,變成只為討好當權者的政治打手,還是鼓吹推動「港獨」的政治目的。 本論文所研究探討的問題就是香港居民對香港政黨的信任度,隨著1997回歸後政權的變化及政黨與四角關係的牽制,造成香港居民對政黨的信任度增加或減少,透過量化數據研究探討香港居民從2001~2016年對政黨的信任變遷研究。 分析這四個階段2001年、2007年、2012年、2016年的調查資料,並從人口學變數、社會學變數、政治學變數做相關研究發現,香港居民對政黨的信任度從2007年開始攀升達26.7%,較2001年的調查提升4.6%,2012年的調查較2007年的調查又提升了11.6%,來到最高峰的38.3%,但隨後北京政府「一國兩制」開始緊縮,「兩制」只是北京政府給予香港的「恩給」,根本沒有香港自主的空間,連原先承諾的2017年特首普選,2020年立法會全普選(簡稱「雙普選」),已變得遙遙無期,因此激發香港居民發起了「佔中運動」及「雨傘革命」。而更激進的「本土派」政治團體也焉然誕生,2016年的調查研究中民眾對政黨的信任度突驟降到26.2%,不信任更高達66.0%,可謂前所未有情況。 After the transfer of sovereignty over Hong Kong in 1997, Hong Kong residents had a certain degree of fantasy for 'a high degree of autonomy'. At that time, the 'one country, two systems', 'a high degree of autonomy' and 'Hong Kong people ruling Hong Kong' promised by mainland China were not so questioned, and therefore, political parties and groups all fully engaged in the Legislative Council and District Council elections under ' one country, two systems'. However, Hong Kong political parties were in face of a complicated relation of multi-angles which was a four-angle relation formed by the intervention the Hong Kong political parties encountered of Hong Kong residents, the region government and Beijing government. Under this kind of complicated relation, would Hong Kong political parties distract themselves from their political duty of following public opinions? Would they, for pleasing the authority, become the political tool to oppress the opponents? Or would they become advocates calling for 'the independence of Hong Kong'?This research is to discuss the trust level of Hong Kong residents over Hong Kong political parties. With the reasons, the change of regime after the transfer of sovereignty over Hong Kong in 1997 and the four-angle relation the Hong Kong political parties encountered, and the results, the increase or decline of the trust level of Hong Kong residents over political parties, this research discusses the change of the trust level of Hong Kong residents over political parties from 2001 to 2016 by analyzing those data quantitatively. By analyzing the survey data of the four stages of year 2001, 2007, 2012, and 2016, and studying the variants of demography,sociology and politology, this research reveals the trust level of Hong Kong residents over political parties reaching 26.7% starting from 2007, which increased 4.6%, compared to the 2001 survey. In 2012, the survey showed compared to 2007, the trust level increased 11.6%, and reached the top of 38.3%. Nonetheless, with the restrictions of the 'one country, two sysyems' from Beijing government, which claimed 'two systems' was nothing but 'grace' to Hong Kong from Beijing government and there was no room for Hong Kong autonomy. Furthermore, the promised universal suffrage for the Chief Executive in 2017 and the universal suffrage for the Legislative Council in 2020 ( hereinafter referred as to dual universal suffrage) seemed impossible in the future. Therefore, it triggered Hong Kong residents initiated 'Occupy Central Campaign' and ' Umbrella Revolution'. The more radical political group, 'localist group', was born as well. In the 2016 survey, it revealed that the trust level of Hong Kong people over political parties suddenly declined to 26.2% and the untrust level highly reached 66.0%, which was unprecedented. |
URI: | http://tdr.lib.ntu.edu.tw/jspui/handle/123456789/72994 |
DOI: | 10.6342/NTU202004473 |
全文授權: | 有償授權 |
顯示於系所單位: | 國家發展研究所 |
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