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| ???org.dspace.app.webui.jsptag.ItemTag.dcfield??? | Value | Language |
|---|---|---|
| dc.contributor.advisor | 陳郁蕙(Yu-Hui Chen) | |
| dc.contributor.author | Hugo Michael Sanic Jacobo | en |
| dc.contributor.author | 薩尼克 | zh_TW |
| dc.date.accessioned | 2021-06-17T04:51:11Z | - |
| dc.date.available | 2018-08-02 | |
| dc.date.copyright | 2018-08-02 | |
| dc.date.issued | 2018 | |
| dc.date.submitted | 2018-07-30 | |
| dc.identifier.citation | Abrahamson, P. (2007). Free trade and social citizenship: Prospects and possibilities of the central american free trade agreement (cafta-dr). Global Social Policy, 7 (3), 339-357.
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Understanding the bene ts of regional integration to trade: The application of a gravity model to the case of central america. Marques, J. S. (n.d.). El salvador poverty and social impact analysis on cafta: A partial equilibrium estimate of the treaty's. Marvel, H. P., & Ray, E. J. (1983). The kennedy round: Evidence on the regulation of international trade in the united states. The American Economic Review, 73 (1), 190-197. McCreery, D. (1994). Rural guatemala, 1760-1940. Stanford University Press. Melitz, M. J. (2003). The impact of trade on intra-industry reallocations and aggregate industry productivity. Econometrica, 71 (6), 1695-1725. Mellor, J. W. (2003). Cafta, agriculture, and poverty reduction in guatemala-. Moreno Coello, G. (2012). Alcaldes mayores y subdelegados frente a la siembra clandestina de tabaco: Papantla, 1765-1806. Am erica Latina en la historia economica, 19 (3), 206-234. Morley, S. A., & Pi~neiro, V. (2008). The impact of cafta on growth and poverty in four countries in central america: Evidence from a cge analysis. Mundial, B. (2005). Dr-cafta: Challenges and opportunities for central america. Washington, DC. Pineiro, M. (2009). La institucionalidad agropecuaria en am erica latina: estado actual y nuevos desaf os (No. E10-1510). FAO. Portner, C. C. (2003). Expected impacts of cafta in guatemala. Department of Economics, University of Washington. Processed. Ray, E. J. (1981). Tari and nontari barriers to trade in the united states and abroad. The Review of Economics and Statistics, 161-168. Rennhack, R., & O erdal, E. (2004). The macroeconomy of central america. Springer. Robert, M. (2006). Trade institutions for the americas: An intricate web of arrangements. Governing the Americas: Assessing Multilateral Institutions. Montreal: Lynne Rienner. Rodlauer, M., Schipke, A., et al. (2005). Central america; global integration and regional cooperation (Tech. Rep.). International Monetary Fund. Rodrik, D., et al. (1994). What does the political economy literature on trade policy (not) tell us that we ought to know? (Tech. Rep.). CEPR Discussion Papers. Romero, R. E. (2007). Los empleados de la renta del tabaco durante los siglos xvii y xviii: el iman del privilegio. Hispania, 67 (227), 1025-1040. Salazar-Xirinachs, J. M. (2002). Proliferation of sub-regional trade agreements in the americas: an assessment of key analytical and policy issues. Journal of Asian Economics, 13 (2), 181-212. Schweng, L. D. (1957). Study of the economic aspects of corn production in guatemala. Soriano, T. H., & de Otto, M. J. T. (1997). La vieja f abrica de tabacos de valencia. Cuadernos de geograf a(61), 77-96. Stotsky, M. J. G., & WoldeMariam, M. A. (2002). Central american tax reform: Trends and possibilities (No. 2-227). International Monetary Fund. Taylor, J. E., Naude, A. Y., & Jesurun-Clements, N. (2010). Does agricultural trade liberalization reduce rural welfare in less developed countries? the case of cafta. Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy, 32 (1), 95-116. Tinbergen, J. (1962). An analysis of world trade ows. Shaping the world economy,1-117. Van Etten, J., & Fuentes, M. R. (2004). La crisis del maiz en guatemala: las importaciones de maiz y la agricultura familiar. Anuario de estudios Cen-troamericanos, 51-66. Van Oss, A. C. (1982). El r egimen autosu ciente de espa~na en centroam erica. Mesoam erica, 3 (3), 67-89. Von Braun, J., & Immink, M. D. (1990). Cultivos de hortalizas (no tradicionales) para exportaci on por peque~nos agricultores en guatemala. impactos sobre su ingreso familiar y seguridad alimentaria. Cuadernos de Econom a, 27 (81), 291-308. Wagner, R. (2001). Historia del caf e de guatemala. Villegas Asociados. Yeboah, O.-A., Shaik, S., Allen, A., Ofori-Boadu, V., et al. (2007). Trade effects of the central american free trade agreement. In American agricultural economics association annual meeting. portland, oregon. | |
| dc.identifier.uri | http://tdr.lib.ntu.edu.tw/jspui/handle/123456789/71065 | - |
| dc.description.abstract | 瓜地馬拉座落於中美洲，並且世界最大消費市場美國亦座落在同一個大陸上。藉由得天獨厚的地理環境，瓜地馬拉獲得了許多的優勢並面對著挑戰，美國為瓜地馬拉之最大貿易夥伴。在2016年時，糖、香蕉以及咖啡等三種主要產品占了瓜地馬拉約22%的出口值，其中的31%出口是美國，26%銷售到中美洲，9.4%銷售至歐盟，12.3%銷售至亞洲，4.4%銷售到墨西哥，3.3%銷售至加勒比海地區，2.5%銷售至南美洲。目前瓜地馬拉與五個國家及地區簽署了自由貿易協定，其中中美洲自由貿易協定為最重要的一個協定。
中美洲自由貿易協定的成員國包含：美國、哥斯大黎加、多明尼加、薩爾瓦多、宏都拉斯以及尼加拉瓜。美國國會已於2005年7月批准該項協定並且於同年的8月2日正式生效。本研究透過拉格朗日多項式插值的方式搜集了瓜地馬拉中央銀行於2002至2016年間的資料並且本研究透過這些資料來分析中美洲自由貿易協定對於瓜地馬拉糖、香蕉以及咖啡之貿易的影響。 | zh_TW |
| dc.description.abstract | Guatemala is located in Central America and in the same continent as the world's largest market, USA. Having a privileged geographic location, it comes with challenges and benefitts. The United States is Guatemala's primary trading partner in both imports and exports. Just for 2016 the three-major commodities sugar, banana, and coffee counted 22% of total export. Guatemala's export market destinations are as follow 31% goes to the United States of America, 26% to Central America, 9.4% to the European Union (EU), 12.3% goes to Asia, 4.4% goes to Mexico, 3.3% to the Caribbean, and 2.5% to South America. Guatemala has ve Free Trade Agreements with foreign countries, in which DR-CAFTA is the most important one.
The DR-CAFTA included the following countries: the United States, Costa Rica, Dominican Republic, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, and Nicaragua. The U.S. Congress approved the CAFTA-DR in July 2005, and it was signed it into law on August 2, 2005. A Lagrange polynomials interpolation and the data collected by Banco central de Guatemala (Central Bank) from 2002 until 2016 will be analyzed in this research to evaluate the impact of DR-CAFTA on the major commodities, sugar, banana and coffee in Guatemala. | en |
| dc.description.provenance | Made available in DSpace on 2021-06-17T04:51:11Z (GMT). No. of bitstreams: 1 ntu-107-R05627028-1.pdf: 9909492 bytes, checksum: 906660e194b666e34e3e292111c98e1f (MD5) Previous issue date: 2018 | en |
| dc.description.tableofcontents | Certification . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2
1 Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13 1.1 Objective of the study . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 15 1.1.1 General Objectives . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 15 1.1.2 Specic Objectives . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16 1.1.3 Research Structure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16 2 FTAs . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 18 2.1 Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 18 2.2 Background for DR-CAFTA . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 22 2.3 DR-CAFTA Trade and Rules . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 25 3 The production of major commodities in Guatemala . . . . . . . 27 3.1 Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 27 3.2 Banana . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 36 3.2.1 Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 36 3.2.2 Production . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 38 3.2.3 Trade . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 42 3.3 Coffee . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 47 3.3.1 Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 47 3.3.2 Production . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 47 3.3.2.1 Cultivation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 48 3.3.3 Trade . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 53 3.4 Sugar . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 62 3.4.1 Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 62 3.4.2 Production . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 64 3.4.3 Trade . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 65 3.5 Beans . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 76 3.5.1 Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 76 3.5.2 Production . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 77 3.5.3 Trade . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 81 4 Literature Review . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 86 4.1 Empirial evidence of the Impact of DR-CAFTA . . . . . . . . . . . 86 4.2 Gravitational Base Approach . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 89 4.3 CGE Model . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 92 4.4 Lagrange Interpolation Model . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 93 5 Methodology . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 95 5.1 Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 95 5.2 Generalities . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 95 5.3 Banana . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 99 5.3.1 Equality of variations . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 99 5.3.2 Main hypothesis testing . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 99 5.4 Beans . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 102 5.4.1 Equality of variations . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 102 5.4.2 Main hypothesis testing . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 102 5.5 Coffee . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 105 5.5.1 Equality of variations . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 105 5.5.2 Main hypothesis testing . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 105 5.6 Sugar . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 108 5.6.1 Equality of variations . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 108 5.6.2 Main hypothesis testing . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 108 5.7 Conclusions about the statistical analysis . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 111 5.8 Data modeling . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 111 5.8.1 Lagrange Polynomial Interpolation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 114 5.8.2 Examples . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 115 5.9 Implementation of the regression models . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 116 5.10 Graphics . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 116 5.11 Variables Before vs. After the implementation of the Free-trade agreement . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 119 5.12 Seasonal Eects . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 122 5.12.1 The k-period moving averages . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 122 5.12.2 Centered moving averages . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 122 5.12.3 Monthly-irregular relatives . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 122 5.12.4 Monthly indexes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 123 5.12.5 Deseasionlized data . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 123 6 Conclusions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .168 6.1 Research objectives . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 168 6.2 Results . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 169 6.3 Summary . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 170 6.4 Recommendations . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 170 6.5 Further Research . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 170 7 List of acronyms . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .171 A Models . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .175 A.1 Model programming . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 175 A.2 Lagrange polynomial programming . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 179 A.3 Banana exports . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 182 A.3.1 Beans exports . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 183 A.3.2 Coffee exports . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 184 A.3.3 Sugar exports . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 185 References . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .186 | |
| dc.language.iso | en | |
| dc.title | DR-CAFTA 對瓜地馬拉主要作物產業之衝擊 | zh_TW |
| dc.title | The Impacts of DR-CAFTA on the Major Crop Industries in Guatemala | en |
| dc.type | Thesis | |
| dc.date.schoolyear | 106-2 | |
| dc.description.degree | 碩士 | |
| dc.contributor.oralexamcommittee | 胡明哲(Ming-Che Hu),詹滿色(Man-ser Jan) | |
| dc.subject.keyword | 對瓜地馬拉主要作物, | zh_TW |
| dc.subject.keyword | CAFTA-DR Guatemala, | en |
| dc.relation.page | 190 | |
| dc.identifier.doi | 10.6342/NTU201802183 | |
| dc.rights.note | 有償授權 | |
| dc.date.accepted | 2018-07-31 | |
| dc.contributor.author-college | 生物資源暨農學院 | zh_TW |
| dc.contributor.author-dept | 農業經濟學研究所 | zh_TW |
| Appears in Collections: | 農業經濟學系 | |
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