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完整後設資料紀錄
DC 欄位 | 值 | 語言 |
---|---|---|
dc.contributor.advisor | 游景雲 | |
dc.contributor.author | Cheng-Han Kuo | en |
dc.contributor.author | 郭承翰 | zh_TW |
dc.date.accessioned | 2021-06-17T04:35:21Z | - |
dc.date.available | 2021-08-15 | |
dc.date.copyright | 2018-08-15 | |
dc.date.issued | 2018 | |
dc.date.submitted | 2018-08-09 | |
dc.identifier.citation | Chou, F. N. F., & Wu, C. W. (2013). Expected shortage based pre-release strategy for reservoir flood control. Journal of hydrology, 497, 1-14.
Draper, A. J., & Lund, J. R. (2004). Optimal hedging and carryover storage value. Journal of Water Resources Planning and Management, 130(1), 83-87. Hui, R., & Lund, J. R. (2014). Flood Storage Allocation Rules for Parallel Reservoirs. Journal of Water Resources Planning and Management, 141(5), 04014075. Hui, R., & Lund, J. R. (2015). Optimal flood pre-releases—flood hedging for a single reservoir. In World Environmental and Water Resources Congress 2015 (pp. 2192-2201). Hui, R., Lund, J., Zhao, J., & Zhao, T. (2016). Optimal pre-storm flood hedging releases for a single reservoir. Water resources management, 30(14), 5113-5129. Jain, S. K., Yoganarasimhan, G. N., & Seth, S. M. (1992). A RISK‐BASED APPROACH FOR FLOOD CONTROL OPERATION OF A MULTIPURPOSE RESERVOIR. JAWRA Journal of the American Water Resources Association, 28(6), 1037-1043. Kelman, J., Damazio, J. M., Marien, J. L., & Da Costa, J. P. (1989). The determination of flood control volumes in a multireservoir system. Water resources research, 25(3), 337-344. Loucks, Daniel P. 'Water resources systems.' Reviews of Geophysics 17.6 (1979): 1335-1351. Lund, J. R., & Guzman, J. (1999). Derived operating rules for reservoirs in series or in parallel. Journal of Water Resources Planning and Management, 125(3), 143-153. Labadie, J. (2004). 'Optimal Operation of Multireservoir Systems: State-of-the-Art Review.' J. Water Resour. Plann. Manage., 10.1061/(ASCE)0733-9496(2004) 130:2(93), 93-111. Li, X., Guo, S., Liu, P., & Chen, G. (2010). Dynamic control of flood limited water level for reservoir operation by considering inflow uncertainty. Journal of hydrology, 391(1-2), 124-132. Maass, A., Hufschmidt, M. M., Dorfman, R., Thomas, H. A., Marglin, S. A., Fair, G. M., ... & Fiering, M. B. (1962). Design of water-resource systems. Morel-Seytoux, H. J. (1999). Optimal deterministic reservoir operations in continuous time. Journal of water resources planning and management, 125(3), 126-134. Shih, J. S., & ReVelle, C. (1995). Water supply operations during drought: A discrete hedging rule. European journal of operational research, 82(1), 163-175. Shiau, J. T. (2011). Analytical optimal hedging with explicit incorporation of reservoir release and carryover storage targets. Water resources research, 47(1). Wurbs, R. A. (1993). Reservoir-system simulation and optimization models. Journal of water resources planning and management, 119(4), 455-472. Yeh, William W‐G. 'Reservoir management and operations models: A state‐of‐the‐art review.' Water resources research 21.12 (1985): 1797-1818. You, J. Y., & Cai, X. (2008). Hedging rule for reservoir operations: 1. A theoretical analysis. Water resources research, 44(1). Zhao, T., Zhao, J., Lund, J. R., & Yang, D. (2014). Optimal hedging rules for reservoir flood operation from forecast uncertainties. Journal of Water Resources Planning and Management, 140(12), 04014041. 林郁雯 (2015). 水庫排砂即時操作之研究. 碩士論文. 國立臺灣大學土木工程學研究所, 台北. 周冠汶 (2016). 運用序率動態規劃與系集入流預報於水庫枯旱供水策略擬定. 碩士論文. 國立臺灣大學土木工程學研究所, 台北. 黃怡綾 (2014). 基於入流系集預報之水庫預放水防洪調度操作. 碩士論文. 國 立臺灣大學土木工程學研究所, 台北. | |
dc.identifier.uri | http://tdr.lib.ntu.edu.tw/jspui/handle/123456789/70699 | - |
dc.description.abstract | 為了降低降雨時空分布不均對供水所造成的影響,水庫便成為了台灣相當重要的水資源來源。然而近年來,由於氣候變遷的關係;逐漸增加的豪大雨事件大大的增加了水庫操作上的風險。如何同時兼顧穩定供水和防洪操作便成了水庫操作相當重要的議題。水庫預排放操作便是一種新的操作概念,目的是希望在在洪水洪峰抵達前先釋放部分水,希望能降低洪水對下游所造成的災害。Hedging rule也擁有類似的水資源時空分配概念,然而一開始這個方法是應用在乾旱時的用水調度。兩個方法皆是希望透過水資源的時空重新分配來降低各自災害帶來的損失。
本研究期望結合Hedging rule的概念從理論的角度分析水庫的預排放操作操作策略。根據質量守恆及卡羅需-庫恩-塔克最佳化(Karesh-Kuhn-Tucker Optimality (KKT)),我們建立了一個和兩個入流的預放流操作模型。此外,在此模型架構下加入入流不確定亦可觀察與分析對水庫預放流操作所造成的影響。本研究目的是希望在同時考慮入流變異性和不確定性的條件下,能提供一個較佳的水庫預排放操作策略,有效的降低洪水帶來的災害損失。 | zh_TW |
dc.description.abstract | Reservoirs plays an important role in water supply to mitigate the impact of uneven distribution in spatiotemporal scale. In recent years, more and more extreme rainfall or storm events have been observed which make the operation of reservoir more and more difficult. A new concept, reservoir pre-release is proposed to alleviate the flood loss by releasing water before the flood peak arrives. Similar idea, hedging rules, has been well discussed in drought management. These two operational concept are similar, both reduce the magnitude of loss by temporal allocation of water. For this concern, this study wants to focus on the theoretical analysis of pre-release operation with the concept of hedging rule. We develop two- and three-period conceptual model based on mass conservation and Karesh-Kuhn-Tucker Optimality (KKT) scheme. With this framework, the inflow uncertainty can be further investigated its influence in reservoir operation. For this results, we will be able to understand the operation concept with variation of inflow. This study expects to provide a better suggestion to determine the prerelease volume for reservoir operator with the consideration of inflow variation and uncertainty, and we would be able reduce the risk and loss of flooding by better operation. | en |
dc.description.provenance | Made available in DSpace on 2021-06-17T04:35:21Z (GMT). No. of bitstreams: 1 ntu-107-R05521304-1.pdf: 5754236 bytes, checksum: 85d664c882a84cc38b1f790dff0b1dc6 (MD5) Previous issue date: 2018 | en |
dc.description.tableofcontents | 口試委員會審定書 i
誌謝 ii 中文摘要 iii ABSTRACT iv CONTENTS v LIST OF TABLES xii Chapter 1 Introduction 1 1.1 Background 1 1.2 Purpose 3 Chapter 2 Literature Review 7 2.1 Reservoir operation 7 2.2 Hedging Rule 9 2.3 Flood control prerelease operation 11 Chapter 3 Methodology 14 3.1 The conceptual model 14 3.2 Two-period model 15 3.2.1 Objective function and constraints 16 3.2.2 The theoretical analysis of pre-release operation 17 3.3 Three-period model 19 3.3.1 Objective function and constraints 19 3.3.2 The theoretical analysis of pre-release operation 20 3.4 Inflow simulation 24 3.5 The influence of inflow uncertainty 27 3.6 Discussions 46 3.6.1 Deterministic model 46 3.6.2 Stochastic model 49 Chapter 4 Case Study 51 4.1 Background of Shihmen Reservoir 51 4.2 Typhoon Soudelor 52 4.3 Typhoon Matmo 58 Chapter 5 Conclusion and Recommendation 64 5.1 Conclusions 64 5.2 Recommendations 66 REFERENCES 67 Appendix 69 A. The results of the damage caused by release in higher power 70 B. The derived process of two-period deterministic model 72 C. The detail of two-period stochastic model under three possible inflows 75 D. The detail of three-period stochastic model under three possible inflows 77 | |
dc.language.iso | en | |
dc.title | 水庫預放流操作的理論解析 | zh_TW |
dc.title | Theoretical Model of Prerelease Operation Under Inflow Variation and Uncertainty | en |
dc.type | Thesis | |
dc.date.schoolyear | 106-2 | |
dc.description.degree | 碩士 | |
dc.contributor.oralexamcommittee | 孫建平,胡明哲,何智超 | |
dc.subject.keyword | 水庫操作,不確定性,最佳化, | zh_TW |
dc.subject.keyword | Water resources,Reservoir operation,Optimality, | en |
dc.relation.page | 79 | |
dc.identifier.doi | 10.6342/NTU201802771 | |
dc.rights.note | 有償授權 | |
dc.date.accepted | 2018-08-09 | |
dc.contributor.author-college | 工學院 | zh_TW |
dc.contributor.author-dept | 土木工程學研究所 | zh_TW |
顯示於系所單位: | 土木工程學系 |
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