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  1. NTU Theses and Dissertations Repository
  2. 電機資訊學院
  3. 電機工程學系
請用此 Handle URI 來引用此文件: http://tdr.lib.ntu.edu.tw/jspui/handle/123456789/66884
完整後設資料紀錄
DC 欄位值語言
dc.contributor.advisor魏宏宇(Hung-Yu Wei)
dc.contributor.authorPo-Yuan Suen
dc.contributor.author蘇柏元zh_TW
dc.date.accessioned2021-06-17T01:14:15Z-
dc.date.available2025-08-17
dc.date.copyright2020-08-24
dc.date.issued2020
dc.date.submitted2020-08-17
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34
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[8] Stephen Bacchi, Luke Oakden-Rayner, Toby Zerner, Timothy Kleinig, Sandy Patel, and Jim Jannes, “Deep learning natural language processing successfully predicts the cerebrovascular cause of transient ischemic attack-like presentations,” Stroke, vol. 50, no. 3, pp. 758–760, 2019.
[9] Derk L Arts, Ameen Abu-Hanna, Stephanie K Medlock, and Henk CPM van Weert, “Effectiveness and usage of a decision support system to improve stroke prevention in general practice: a cluster randomized controlled trial,” PLoS One, vol. 12, no. 2, pp. e0170974, 2017.
[10] Syed Atif Ali Shah, Irfan Uddin, Furqan Aziz, Shafiq Ahmad, Mahmoud Ahmad Al-Khasawneh, and Mohamed Sharaf, “An enhanced deep neural network for pre- dicting workplace absenteeism,” Complexity, vol. 2020, 2020.
[11] JoonNyung Heo, Jihoon G Yoon, Hyungjong Park, Young Dae Kim, Hyo Suk Nam, and Ji Hoe Heo, “Machine learning–based model for prediction of outcomes in acute stroke,” Stroke, vol. 50, no. 5, pp. 1263–1265, 2019.
[12] Yuan Xie, Bin Jiang, Enhao Gong, Ying Li, Guangming Zhu, Patrik Michel, Max Wintermark, and Greg Zaharchuk, “Use of gradient boosting machine learning to predict patient outcome in acute ischemic stroke on the basis of imaging, demo- graphic, and clinical information,” American Journal of Roentgenology, vol. 212, no. 1, pp. 44–51, 2019.
[13] Miguel Monteiro, Ana Catarina Fonseca, Ana Teresa Freitas, Teresa Pinho e Melo, Alexandre P Francisco, Jose M Ferro, and Arlindo L Oliveira, “Using machine learning to improve the prediction of functional outcome in ischemic stroke pa- tients,” IEEE/ACM transactions on computational biology and bioinformatics, vol. 15, no. 6, pp. 1953–1959, 2018.
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[23] GuolinKe,QiMeng,ThomasFinley,TaifengWang,WeiChen,WeidongMa,Qiwei Ye, and Tie-Yan Liu, “Lightgbm: A highly efficient gradient boosting decision tree,” in Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems 30, I. Guyon, U. V. Luxburg, S. Bengio, H. Wallach, R. Fergus, S. Vishwanathan, and R. Garnett, Eds., pp. 3146– 3154. Curran Associates, Inc., 2017.
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[25] GeoffreyEHinton,NitishSrivastava,AlexKrizhevsky,IlyaSutskever,andRuslanR Salakhutdinov, “Improving neural networks by preventing co-adaptation of feature detectors,” arXiv preprint arXiv:1207.0580, 2012.
[26] Nitesh V Chawla, Kevin W Bowyer, Lawrence O Hall, and W Philip Kegelmeyer, “Smote: synthetic minority over-sampling technique,” Journal of artificial intelli- gence research, vol. 16, pp. 321–357, 2002.
[27] Marco Tulio Ribeiro, Sameer Singh, and Carlos Guestrin, “” why should i trust you?” explaining the predictions of any classifier,” in Proceedings of the 22nd ACM SIGKDD international conference on knowledge discovery and data mining, 2016, pp. 1135–1144.
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[29] G Ntaios, M Faouzi, J Ferrari, W Lang, K Vemmos, and P Michel, “An integer- based score to predict functional outcome in acute ischemic stroke: the astral score,” Neurology, vol. 78, no. 24, pp. 1916–1922, 2012.
[30] Tsong-Hai Lee, Chien-Hung Chang, Yeu-Jhy Chang, Ku-Chou Chang, Jacky Chung, Chang Gung Medical System Stroke Registry Group, et al., “Establish- ment of electronic chart-based stroke registry system in a medical system in taiwan,” Journal of the Formosan Medical Association, vol. 110, no. 8, pp. 543–547, 2011.
dc.identifier.urihttp://tdr.lib.ntu.edu.tw/jspui/handle/123456789/66884-
dc.description.abstract腦血管疾病在台灣是主要的死亡原因之一,及時準確的結果預測在治療決策重要作用,在本篇論文中,我們建立機器學習模型並進行驗證和分析,以預測出院時的雷氏量表分數及惡化。以ROC曲線下面積(AUC)評估,隨機森林在兩個目標中均表現最佳,在對於病房中惡化(目標不平衡)的預測模型訓練中,我們進行重新採樣的實驗。整體而言,我們觀察到,過去中風的量表,包含:雷氏量表、NIHSS、巴氏量表,是預測的關鍵,同時也指出添加更多預測因子,可以略微增加模型的AUC,最後,本篇論文也示範了以SHAP及LIME解釋模型重要因子,並確認模型的可靠性。zh_TW
dc.description.abstractCerebrovascular disease is a leading cause of death in Taiwan. Timely and accurate outcome prediction plays an important role in guiding treatment decision. In this work we focus on the ML development, validation and model analysis for predicting mRS at discharge and deterioration. Random forest performs the best in both target evaluated with Area Under the ROC Curve(AUC). For deterioration during ward, which target is imbalanced, experiment with re-sampling is also included. We observe that by features obtained by assessment like mRS, NIHSS, BI are key for predicting. We conclude that not only the random forest could be the best model to use for prediction, but also point out adding more features, like blood test result, can slightly increase AUC of models. Interpretation for prediction is also described in this work.en
dc.description.provenanceMade available in DSpace on 2021-06-17T01:14:15Z (GMT). No. of bitstreams: 1
U0001-1608202023044800.pdf: 2245302 bytes, checksum: 80daee61b7fcc2f4c9d59f0940f91751 (MD5)
Previous issue date: 2020
en
dc.description.tableofcontents中文摘要....................................... i
英文摘要....................................... ii
1 Introduction.................................... 1
1.1 Motivation.................................. 1
1.2 RelatedWork ................................ 2
1.3 Research Direction ............................. 3
1.4 Contribution................................. 3
1.5 Chapter Arrangement............................ 4
2 Background Knowledge.............................. 5
2.1 Unsupervised clustering and Visualization . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5
2.1.1 t-SNE................................ 5
2.2 Machine Learning Models ......................... 5
2.2.1 Support Vector Machine ...................... 5
2.2.2 Random Forest ........................... 6
2.2.3 LightGBM ............................. 7
2.2.4 Deep Neural Network ....................... 7
2.3 Resampling and SMOTE .......................... 9
2.4 Feature Importance ............................. 9
2.4.1 LIME................................ 10
2.4.2 SHAP................................ 10
2.5 Stroke Related Index ............................ 11
3 Experiment for Predicting DischargemRS .................... 13
3.1 DataDescription .............................. 13
3.1.1 DataSource............................. 13
3.1.2 Unsupervised clustering ...................... 14
3.2 Method ................................... 15
3.2.1 Binary, Multi-classification, and Regression models . . . . . . . . 16
3.2.2 Experiment for Data Volume.................... 17
3.3 Results.................................... 17
3.3.1 Experiment for Data Volume.................... 17
3.3.2 Group by different bin of data ................... 19
3.4 Model Analysis ............................... 21
3.4.1 Experiment for features....................... 21
3.4.2 Feature importance......................... 21
3.4.3 Explanation for samples ...................... 23
3.5 Chapter Conclusion............................. 24
4 Experiment for Predicting Deterioration ..................... 27
4.1 Data Description .............................. 27
4.2 Data Resampling .............................. 28
4.3 Results.................................... 30
4.4 Feature Importance ............................. 30
4.5 Chapter Conclusion............................. 31
5 Conclusion and Future Works........................... 33
5.1 Contribution and Discussion ........................ 33
5.2 FutureWorks ................................ 33
Reference....................................... 34
Appendix ....................................... 39
1 Features...................................... 39
dc.language.isoen
dc.subject中風預測zh_TW
dc.subject雷氏量表zh_TW
dc.subject機器學習zh_TW
dc.subject重新抽樣zh_TW
dc.subject預測因子zh_TW
dc.subjectPredictoren
dc.subjectStroke Predictionen
dc.subjectmRSen
dc.subjectMachine Learningen
dc.subjectRe-samplingen
dc.title基於機器學習的中風患者離院時之修改過的雷氏量表及惡化預測zh_TW
dc.titleMachine Learning Based Discharge-mRS and Deterioration Prediction for Stroke Patientsen
dc.typeThesis
dc.date.schoolyear108-2
dc.description.degree碩士
dc.contributor.oralexamcommittee林澤(Che Lin),柯拉飛(Rafael Kaliski),王志宇(Chih-Yu Wang),林忠緯(Chung-Wei Lin)
dc.subject.keyword中風預測,雷氏量表,機器學習,重新抽樣,預測因子,zh_TW
dc.subject.keywordStroke Prediction,mRS,Machine Learning,Re-sampling,Predictor,en
dc.relation.page41
dc.identifier.doi10.6342/NTU202003633
dc.rights.note有償授權
dc.date.accepted2020-08-17
dc.contributor.author-college電機資訊學院zh_TW
dc.contributor.author-dept電機工程學研究所zh_TW
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