公部門調薪對民間薪資的帶動效果

Abstract

本文使用台灣1960至2010年間之時間序列資料，考察公部門調薪是否對民間薪資有帶動效果，以及此帶動效果的大小。實證結果顯示，公部門調薪對民間薪資確實有帶動效果，公部門調薪1%將帶動民間薪資成長約0.1%。此外，由於公部門調薪的決策與實際實施之間有時間差，帶動效果是在政策宣布時即發生，為宣布效果。實證結果亦顯示，帶動效果的強弱有時間變化；在1980年代以前較弱，在1980與1990年代最強，進入2000年又趨於減弱。

Using time series data in Taiwan over the period 1960-2010, this paper examines the existence and extent of pulling effect of raising public sector wage on the private sector wage. Our empirical results show that the pulling effect does exist, and 1% of increasing public sector wage rise will lead to an increase of private sector wage growth about 0.1%. Besides, due to the time lag between policy decision and implementation, the pulling effect performs as a preannouncement effect. The empirical results also support that the effect is smaller before early 1980s, and becomes bigger thereafter, then tends to decrease in 2000s.