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  1. NTU Theses and Dissertations Repository
  2. 管理學院
  3. 國際企業學系
請用此 Handle URI 來引用此文件: http://tdr.lib.ntu.edu.tw/jspui/handle/123456789/62332
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dc.contributor.advisor洪茂蔚(Mao-Wei Hung)
dc.contributor.authorJingjing Renen
dc.contributor.author任晶晶zh_TW
dc.date.accessioned2021-06-16T13:41:41Z-
dc.date.available2018-07-19
dc.date.copyright2013-07-19
dc.date.issued2013
dc.date.submitted2013-07-12
dc.identifier.citation[1] Antoniou, A., and Holmes, P. (1995): “Futures Trading, Information and Spot Price Volatility: Evidence for the FTSE-100 Stock Index Futures Contract Using GARCH,” Journal of Banking and Finance, 19:117–129.
[2] Antoniou, A., Holmes, P. and Priestley, R. (1998): “The Effects of Stock Index Futures Trading on Stock Index Volatility: An Analysis of The Asymmetric Response of Volatility to News,” Journal of Futures Markets, 18:151–166.
[3] Black, F. (1976): “Studies in Stock Price Volatility Changes,” Proceedings of the 1976 Business Meeting of the Business and Economic Statistics Section, American Statistical Association, pp. 117–181.
[4] Black, F. (1986): “Noise,” Journal of Finance, 41:529–543.
[5] Bollerslev, T. (1986): “Generalised Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity,” Journal of Econometrics, 33:307–327.
[6] Bollerslev, T., Chou, R. Y., and Kroner, K. F. (1992): “ARCH Modeling in Finance: A Review of the Theory and Empirical Evidence,” Journal of Econometrics, 52:5–59.
[7] Braun, P. A., Nelson, D. B., and Sunier, A. M. (1991): “Good News, Bad News, Volatility and Betas,” CRSP Working Paper No. 297.
[8] Christie, A. (1982) “The Stochastic Behavior of Common Stock Variance: Value, Leverage and Interest Rate Effects,” Journal of Financial Economics, 10:407–432.
[9] Cox, C. C. (1976): “Futures Trading and Market Information,” Journal of Political Economy, 84:1215–1237.
[10] De Long, J. B., Shleifer, A., Summers, L. H., and Waldman, R. J. (1990): “Noise Trader Risk in Financial Markets,” Journal of Political Economy, 98:703–738.
[11] Edwards, F. R. (1988a): “Does Futures Trading Increase Stock Market Volatility?,” Financial Analysts Journal, 44:63–69.
[12] Edwards, F. R. (1988b): “Futures Trading and Cash Market Volatility: Stock Index and Interest Rate Futures,” Journal of Futures Markets, 8:421–439.
[13] Engle, R. F. (1982): “Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity with Estimates of the Variance of United Kingdom Inflation,” Econometrica, 50:987–1008.
[14] Engle, R. F., and Ng, V. K. (1993): “Measuring and Testing the Impact of News on Volatility,” Journal of Finance, 48:1749–1778.
[15] Fama, E. F. (1965): “The Behavior of Stock Market Prices,” Journal of Business, 38:34–105.
[16] Figlewski, S. (1981): “Futures Trading and Volatility in the GNMA Market,” Journal of Finance, 36:445–456.
[17] French, K., Schwert, G. W., and Stambaugh, R. (1987): “Expected Stock Returns and Volatility,” Journal of Financial Economics, 19:3–29.
[18] Geweke, J. (1986): “Modeling the persistence of conditional variances: A comment”, Econometric Review, 5:57-61.
[19] Glosten, L., Jagannathan, R., and Runkle, D. (1989) “Relationship between the Expected Value and the Volatility of the Nominal Excess Return on Stocks,” Working Paper, Department of Finance, Columbia University.
[20] Koutmos, G., and Tucker M. (1996): “Temporal Relationships and Dynamic Interactions between Spot and Futures Stock Markets,” Journal of Futures Markets, 16:55–69.
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[25] Mihoj, A. (1987): “A multiplicative parameterization of ARCH models,” Working paper, Department of Statistics, University of Copenhagen.
[26] Moriarty, E. J., and Tosini, P. A. (1985): “Futures Trading and the Price Volatility of GNMA Certificates—Further Evidence,” Journal of Futures Markets, 5:633–641.
[27] Nelson, D. B. (1989): “Modeling Stock Market Volatility Changes,” Proceedings of the 1986 Business Meeting of the Business and Economic Statistics Section, American Statistical Association, pp. 93–98.
[28] Nelson, D. B. (1990): “Conditional Heteroskedasticity in Asset Returns: A New Approach,” Econometrica, 59:347–370.
[29] Pagan, A. R., and Schwert, G. W. (1990): “Alternative Models for Conditional Stock Volatility,” Journal of Econometrics, 45:267–290.
[30] Pantula, S. G. (1986): “Modeling the persistence of conditional variances: A comment,” Econometric Review, 5:71-74.
[31] Pavel, C., and McElravey, J. N. (1990): “Globalization in the Financial Services Industry,” Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago Economic Perspectives, 14:3–18.
[32] Porterba, T. M., and Summers, L. H. (1986): “The Persistence of Volatility and Stock Market Fluctuations,” American Economic Review, 76:1142–1151.
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[38] Zakoian, J. (1990): “Threshold heteroskedasticity model,” Unpublished manuscript, INSEE
dc.identifier.urihttp://tdr.lib.ntu.edu.tw/jspui/handle/123456789/62332-
dc.description.abstract自1982年美國市場引進股票指數期貨以來,愈來愈多的國家在股票市場中引進了期貨交易。但股票指數期貨交易的引進是否會對現貨市場產生衝擊與影響?如果有又會是什麽樣的影響?本研究參考Antoniou, Holmes與Priestley(1998)的研究,以中國股票市場為例,探討股票指數期貨的引進對現貨市場報酬率的波動率的影響,并通過對股票指數期貨引進前後波動率對新資訊的不對稱反應程度研究,探討股票指數期貨是如何改變現貨市場的動態機制以降低其不對稱程度的。研究結果顯示股票指數期貨的引進會降低現貨市場報酬率的波動率及波動率對新資訊反應的不對稱性,但關於波動率對新資訊反應的不對稱性是從現貨市場轉移到了期貨市場還是徹底消除,不同的市場給出了不同的解答。zh_TW
dc.description.abstractSince the introduction of stock index futures trading in U.S in 1982, more and more countries introduced stock index futures into their financial markets. Whether the introduction of stock index futures trading had significant impacts on stock market and what kind of impacts are is the questions we concern.
Based on the Antoniou, Holmes & Priestley (1998), this study uses the data in Chinese market to examine the impacts on stock index volatility after the introduction of stock index futures trading. By comparing the results of the asymmetric response of volatility to news in prefutures and postfutures sub-periods, we discuss how the introduction of stock index futures trading changes the market dynamics as to reduce the asymmetries.
The results suggest that the introduction of stock index futures trading will reduce the level of stock market volatility and the level of stock market volatility asymmetries over a 3-year period, but different markets provide different consequences of whether the asymmetries is transferred from spot market to futures market.
en
dc.description.provenanceMade available in DSpace on 2021-06-16T13:41:41Z (GMT). No. of bitstreams: 1
ntu-102-R00724062-1.pdf: 3269989 bytes, checksum: 8d422c1ff6904001466d06e917b909f3 (MD5)
Previous issue date: 2013
en
dc.description.tableofcontents口試委員會審定書 #
誌謝 i
中文摘要 ii
ABSTRACT iii
目錄 iv
圖目錄 vi
表目錄 vii
第一章 緒論 1
第一節 研究動機與背景 1
第二節 研究目的 5
第三節 研究架構 6
第二章 文獻探討 8
第一節 波動率對新資訊的不對稱反應 8
第二節 相關模型的演變 12
第三章 研究方法 18
第一節 模型的選擇 18
第二節 研究步驟及方法 19
第三節 報酬率資料的修正 20
第四章 實證分析 22
第一節 資料選取 22
第二節 股票指數期货交易的引進對股票指数波动率的影响 24
第三節 股票指數期貨的引進對現貨市場不對稱性的影響及不對稱性的轉移 30
第五章 結論與建議 41
參考文獻 43
dc.language.isozh-TW
dc.subject股票指數zh_TW
dc.subject股票指數期貨zh_TW
dc.subject波動率對新資訊的不對稱反應zh_TW
dc.subjectvolatilityen
dc.subjectstock indexen
dc.subjectasymmetric response of volatility to newsen
dc.subjectstock index futuresen
dc.title股票指數期貨交易的引進對股票指數波動率的影響——以中國市場為例zh_TW
dc.titleThe Effects of Stock Index Futures Trading on Stock Index Volatility——An Empirical Analysis of Chinese Marketen
dc.typeThesis
dc.date.schoolyear101-2
dc.description.degree碩士
dc.contributor.oralexamcommittee邱琦倫,潘慈暉,許惠珠,張秀雲
dc.subject.keyword股票指數期貨,股票指數,波動率對新資訊的不對稱反應,zh_TW
dc.subject.keywordstock index futures,stock index,volatility,asymmetric response of volatility to news,en
dc.relation.page46
dc.rights.note有償授權
dc.date.accepted2013-07-12
dc.contributor.author-college管理學院zh_TW
dc.contributor.author-dept國際企業學研究所zh_TW
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