娛樂產業與毒品犯罪的空間分析：以2008~2010年台灣毒品案件發生率為例

Abstract

本研究利用空間分析方法進行台灣毒品犯罪的分析，探討2008至2010年間娛樂產業對毒品犯罪率的影響。本研究以台灣148分局作為分析單位，利用警政署之刑案資料和五種與毒品犯罪相關的娛樂場所點資料，並整理三年內舉辦的大型戶外派對設置虛擬變數，利用傳統迴歸和空間分析模型將一級毒品犯罪和二、三級毒品犯罪分開討論，證實娛樂產業對兩類毒品犯罪的影響。 研究結果指出撞球間密度、南部的大型派對顯著影響一級和二、三級毒品犯罪，伴唱和酒店密度、東部汽車旅館密度等則對二、三級毒品犯罪影響顯著，台灣娛樂產業對毒品犯罪率的影響存在著空間異質性，且一級毒品犯罪有鄰近效應，但二、三級毒品犯罪則無。

The research aims to analyze if the rate of drug-related crime is affected by the entertainment industry between 2008 and 2010 in Taiwan. The analysis is based on the data provided by National Police Agency and the POI data of entertainment facilities. Also, the data regarding large-scale outdoor parties is considered and transferred to dummy variables. By taking the traditional and spatial analyses, this research proves that the entertainment industry has an effect on the rate of drug-related crime. The result reveals that the density of billiard rooms and huge outdoor parties in Southern Taiwan strongly affect the two kinds of drug-related crime. Besides, the destiny of clubs and motels in Eastern Taiwan strongly affect the second- and third-grade drug-related crime. There is spatial heterogeneity in drug-related crime in Taiwan. Furthermore, according to the results of the spatial analysis, neighborhood effect is significant in the first grade drug crime.