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  1. NTU Theses and Dissertations Repository
  2. 生物資源暨農學院
  3. 農業經濟學系
請用此 Handle URI 來引用此文件: http://tdr.lib.ntu.edu.tw/jspui/handle/123456789/48719
完整後設資料紀錄
DC 欄位值語言
dc.contributor.advisor陳郁蕙(Yu-Hui Chen)
dc.contributor.authorMiriam Mariela Rodriguez Ruizen
dc.contributor.author若瑪蓮zh_TW
dc.date.accessioned2021-06-15T07:10:12Z-
dc.date.available2011-08-22
dc.date.copyright2011-08-22
dc.date.issued2011
dc.date.submitted2011-08-19
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dc.identifier.urihttp://tdr.lib.ntu.edu.tw/jspui/handle/123456789/48719-
dc.description.abstractPeru’s agricultural exports have shown a steady increase over the last decade, mainly fueled by increased non-traditional agricultural exports. Considering this background, the thesis explores the use of a gravity model to evaluate the determinants of export flows for ten selected agricultural commodities from Peru to its seventeen major trading partners, over a period of 15 years (1995-2009) by using panel data analysis.
The study extends the original gravity model of bilateral trade to investigate factors such as stage of economic development, consumer’s income level, exchange rate fluctuations and the impact of trade agreements on the export flows of the selected products. Estimates indicate that the size and wealth of trading partners, proxied by GDP and GNIc, does not seem to matter much for the exports of these commodities; and that distance, as a proxy of transportation costs, only matters for products with high perishable nature. The results of this study can generate insights for future research in disaggregate analysis of agricultural commodities.
en
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Previous issue date: 2011
en
dc.description.tableofcontentsMaster Thesis Certification by Oral Defense Committee……………………………………i
Acknowledgement………………………………………………………………………ii
Abstract………………………………………………………………………………………iii
Table of contents…………………………………………………….....…………iv
List of Figures………………………………………………………………....……viii
List of Tables………………………………………………………………………………ix
CHAPTER I: INTRODUCTION……………………………………………………………1
1.1: Context & Background Issues………………………………………………………1
1.2: Motivation of the Study……………………………………………………………5
1.3: Objectives of the Study………………………………………………………………5
1.3.1: General Objective………………………………………………………………5
1.3.2: Specific Objective………………………………………………………………6
1.4: Thesis Organization………………………………………………………………6
CHAPTER II: OVERVIEW OF THE PERUVIAN AGRICULTURAL SECTOR……7
2.1: Brief History of Peruvian Agriculture……………………………………………8
2.2: Agriculture in the Different Regions of Peru………………………………………9
2.2.1: Agriculture in the Coastal Region……………………………………………9
2.2.2: Agriculture in the Andean Highland Region (Sierra)…………………………11
2.2.3: Agriculture in the Amazon Basin Region (Selva)………………………………12
2.3: Agricultural Policy Review…………………………………………………………15
2.4: Economic Liberalization and Agricultural Sector…………………………………l7
2.5: Peruvian Agricultural Export Trend………………………………………………18
2.5.1: Traditional Agricultural Exports………………………………………………22
2.5.1.1: Coffee………………………………………………………………………23
2.5.2: Non-traditional Agricultural Exports……………………………………………24
2.5.2.1: Asparagus……………………………………………………………………25
2.5.2.2: Capsicum (Pepper)…………………………………………………………27
2.5.2.3: Artichokes…………………………………………………………………28
2.5.2.4: Mango………………………………………………………………………30
2.5.2.5: Grape………………………………………………………………………31
2.5.2.6: Avocado……………………………………………………………………32
2.5.2.7: Banana………………………………………………………………………33
2.5.2.8: Mandarin……………………………………………………………………34
2.5.2.9: Cocoa………………………………………………………………………35
2.6: Major Trading Partners………………………………………………………………37
2.7: Regional Trade Blocs and Preferential Tariffs………………………………………38
2.7.1: Andean Community of Nations…………………………………………………38
2.7.2: Asia-Pacific Cooperation………………………………………………………39
2.7.3: Generalized System of Preferences……………………………………………...41
CHAPTER III: LITERATURE REVIEW……………………………………………………42
3.1: Beginning of the Gravity Model……………………………………………………42
3.2: Literature on Gravity Model………………………………………………………43
3.3: Gravity Model and Selected Empirical Applications………………………………45
3.3.1: Gravity Model Estimation Procedures…………………………………………45
3.3.2: Variable Selection……………………………………………………………47
3.4: Gravity Model and Econometric Tools……………………………………………49
3.4.1: Panel Data………………………………………………………………………49
3.5: The Gravity Model Specification for Exports………………………………………50
CHAPTER IV: MODEL DERIVATION AND EMPIRICAL ANALYSIS……….………52
4.1: Development of a Commodity Specific Gravity Model……………………52
4.2: Empirical Methods for Peruvian Agricultural Exports Analysis…………………57
4.2.1: Variables…………………………………………………………………………58
4.2.2: Data………………………………………………………………………………61
CHAPTER V: RESULTS………………………………………………………………66
5.1: Model Estimation Results…………………………………………………………66
5.1.1: Coffee………………………..…………………………………………………67
5.1.2: Asparagus………………………………………………………………………69
5.1.3: Capsicum (Pepper)………………………………………………………………71
5.1.4: Artichokes………………………………………………………………………72
5.1.5: Mango……………………………………………………………………………73
5.1.6: Grapes……………………………………………………………………………74
5.1.7: Avocado…………………………………………………………………………75
5.1.8: Banana……………………………………………………………………………76
5.1.9: Mandarin…………………………………………………………………………76
5.1.10: Cocoa……………………………………………………………………………78
5.2: Limitation of the Data………………………………………………………………79
5.3: Discussion……………………………………………………………………………90
5.3.1: Distance………………………………………………………………………90
5.3.2: Economic Size vs. Crop Size…………………………………………………91
5.3.3: Bilateral Exchange Rate…………………………………………………………94
5.3.4: Trading Blocs and Generalized System Preference…………………………95
CHAPTER VI: SUMMARY AND CONCLUSIONS…………………………………………96
6.1: Peruvian Agricultural Exports Analysis……………………………………………96
6.2: The Model……………………………………………………………………………97
6.3: Direction of Future Studies……………………………………………………………99
References………………………………………………………………………………100
dc.language.isoen
dc.subject農業出口zh_TW
dc.subject秘魯zh_TW
dc.subjectPeruen
dc.subjectdeterminants of tradeen
dc.subjectgravity modelen
dc.subjectnon-traditional agricultural exportsen
dc.title影響秘魯農業出口的關鍵因素zh_TW
dc.titleDeterminants of Peruvian Agricultural Exports: A Gravity Model Approachen
dc.typeThesis
dc.date.schoolyear99-2
dc.description.degree碩士
dc.contributor.coadvisor詹滿色(Man-Ser Jan),李俊鴻(Chung-Hung Lee)
dc.contributor.oralexamcommittee#VALUE!
dc.subject.keyword秘魯,農業出口,zh_TW
dc.subject.keywordPeru,non-traditional agricultural exports,gravity model,determinants of trade,en
dc.relation.page114
dc.rights.note有償授權
dc.date.accepted2011-08-19
dc.contributor.author-college生物資源暨農學院zh_TW
dc.contributor.author-dept農業經濟學研究所zh_TW
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