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  1. NTU Theses and Dissertations Repository
  2. 管理學院
  3. 財務金融學系
請用此 Handle URI 來引用此文件: http://tdr.lib.ntu.edu.tw/jspui/handle/123456789/47971
完整後設資料紀錄
DC 欄位值語言
dc.contributor.advisor王耀輝
dc.contributor.authorDian-Xuan Kaoen
dc.contributor.author高典萱zh_TW
dc.date.accessioned2021-06-15T06:43:43Z-
dc.date.available2018-03-24
dc.date.copyright2012-02-08
dc.date.issued2011
dc.date.submitted2011-07-04
dc.identifier.citationAmin, K., and C. Lee. 1997. Option trading, price discovery, and earnings news dissemination. Contemporary Accounting Research, 14, 153-92.
Anthony, J.H., 1988. The interrelation of stock and options market trading-volume data. Journal of Finance, 43, 949-964.
Bartram, S., & G. Bodnar, 2009. No place to hide: The global crisis in equity markets in 2008/2009. Journal of International Money and Finance, 28(8), 1246-92.
Black, F., 1975. Fact and fantasy in the use of options. Financial Analysts Journal, 31, 36-41.
Cao, C., Z. Chen and J. M. Griffin, 2005. Informational content of option volume prior to takeovers. Journal of Business, 78, 1073-109.
Chan, K., Y. P. Chung, and H. Johnson, 1993. Why option price lag stock prices: a trading-based explanation. Journal of Finance, 48, 1957-1967.
Chan, K., Y. P. Chung, and W. M. Fong, 2002. The informational role of stock and option volume. Review of Financial Studies, 15, 1049-1075.
Chung, S., W. Tsai, Y. Wang, and P. Weng, 2010. The information content of the S&P 500 index and VIX options on the dynamics of the S&P 500 index. Journal of Futures Markets, Forthcoming.
Easley, D., M. O’Hara and P. S. Srinivas, 1998. Option volume and stock prices: Evidence on where informed traders trade. Journal of Finance, 53, 431-465.
Granger, C. W. J., 1969. Investigating causal relations by econometric models and cross-spectral models. Econometrica, 37, 424-438.
Granger, C. W. J., and P. Newbold, 1977. Forecasting Economic Time Series. Academic Press, New York.
Jones, C., G. Kaul, and M. Lipson, 1994. Transactions, volume and volatility. Review of Financial Studies, 7, 631-651.
Lee, C. M. C., and M. J. Ready, 1991. Inferring trade direction from intraday data. Journal of Finance, 46, 733-746.
Lee, J., and C. H. Yi, 2001. Trade size and information-motivated trading in the options and stock markets. Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, 36, 485-501.
Manaster, S. and R.J. Rendleman, 1982. Option prices as predictors of equilibrium stock prices. Journal of Finance, 37, 1043-1057.
Pan, J., and A. M. Poteshman, 2006. The information in option volume for future stock prices. Review of Financial Studies, 19, 871-908.
Srivastava S., 2003. Information Content of Trading Volume and Open Interest – An Empirical Study of Stock Option Market in India. NSE (India) Research Paper.
Stephan, J.A., and R.E. Whaley, 1990. Intraday price change and trading volume relations in the stock and stock option markets. Journal of Finance, 45, 191-220.
Stoll, H.R. and R.E. Whaley, 1990. The Dynamics of Stock Index and Stock Index Future
Return. Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, 25(4), 441-468.
Vijh, A., 1990. Liquidity of the CBOE equity options. Journal of Finance, 45, 1157-79.
Whaley, R. E., 2009. Understanding the VIX. Journal of Portfolio Management, 3, 98-105
dc.identifier.urihttp://tdr.lib.ntu.edu.tw/jspui/handle/123456789/47971-
dc.description.abstract本文旨在探討VIX選擇權交易量(trading volume)、現金交易量(dollar volume)及交易筆數(number of transaction)對未來VIX指數變動的預測能力。首先以Lee and Ready (1991)的演算法區分VIX選擇權的買賣單,從而將上述之解釋變數分為隱含資訊及未隱含資訊二類,並比較其預測能力。此外,由於樣本期間包含2008年的金融海嘯期間,本文亦檢驗在該期間VIX選擇權之交易量、現金交易量及交易筆數對未來VIX指數變動的預測能力。又因價外(out-of-the-money)選擇權具有較高財務槓桿,交易人可能會選擇操作VIX價外選擇權,故本文亦對VIX價外選擇權的預測能力進行探討。實證結果發現,VIX選擇權的交易筆數對未來VIX指數變動的預測能力最佳。此外,不論解釋變數為交易量、現金交易量或是交易筆數,隱含資訊類的變數對VIX指數未來變動的預測能力較未隱含資訊類的變數佳。zh_TW
dc.description.abstractThe purpose of this research was to empirically investigate the information role of VIX options variables, namely trading volume, dollar volume, and number of transaction, with regard to the prediction of future VIX index change. Firstly, we use the Lee and Ready (1990) algorithm to classify VIX option trades into buyer- or seller-initiated in order to construct information based variables and compare the significance of them with standard-definition variables. Besides, since the sample period covers financial crisis period, we also examined the difference of predictability in financial crisis period. In addition, we investigated whether out-of-the-money VIX option provided more information in prediction of future VIX index change. We found that number of transaction of VIX option is the most informative in predicting future VIX index. Furthermore, information-based variables provide more information than standard-definition variables, especially in financial crisis period.en
dc.description.provenanceMade available in DSpace on 2021-06-15T06:43:43Z (GMT). No. of bitstreams: 1
ntu-100-R98723034-1.pdf: 877226 bytes, checksum: 6bbcd741d3bf80b8767af7e6b23fe56c (MD5)
Previous issue date: 2011
en
dc.description.tableofcontents致謝 i
中文摘要 ii
Abstract iii
Table of Contents iv
List of Tables vi
List of Figures vii
1. Introduction 1
2. Literature Review 5
3. Data and Methodology 8
3.1 Data 8
3.2 Methodology 14
3.2.1 Trade Classification 14
3.2.2 Regression model in full sample period and financial crisis period 15
3.2.3 Regression model in full sample period with dummy variable 16
3.2.4 Implementation issues 16
4. Empirical Results and Discussion 18
4.1 Regression analysis based on option volume 20
4.1.1 Trading volume of all options 20
4.1.2 Trading volume of OTM option 25
4.2 Regression analysis based on option dollar volume 29
4.2.1 Dollar volume of all option 29
4.2.2 Dollar volume of OTM option 32
4.3 Regression analysis based on option number of transaction 37
4.3.1 Number of transaction of all option 37
4.3.2 Number of transaction of OTM option 42
4.4 Comparative analysis of volume based variables 47
4.5 Robustness Test 48
4.5.1 Analysis using option with at least 6 trades per day 48
4.5.2 Analysis controlling for volume intraday patterns 49
5. Conclusions 54
References 56
Appendix A 58
Appendix B 67
dc.language.isoen
dc.subjectVIX選擇權zh_TW
dc.subject交易量zh_TW
dc.subject現金交易量zh_TW
dc.subject交易筆數zh_TW
dc.subject金融海嘯期間zh_TW
dc.subjectVIX optionen
dc.subjectfinancial crisis perioden
dc.subjectnumber of transactionen
dc.subjectdollar volumeen
dc.subjecttrading volumeen
dc.titleVIX選擇權交易量與未來VIX指數變動之關係zh_TW
dc.titleInformational Content of VIX Option Volume on future VIX indexen
dc.typeThesis
dc.date.schoolyear99-2
dc.description.degree碩士
dc.contributor.oralexamcommittee張森林,石百達
dc.subject.keywordVIX選擇權,交易量,現金交易量,交易筆數,金融海嘯期間,zh_TW
dc.subject.keywordVIX option,trading volume,dollar volume,number of transaction,financial crisis period,en
dc.relation.page75
dc.rights.note有償授權
dc.date.accepted2011-07-05
dc.contributor.author-college管理學院zh_TW
dc.contributor.author-dept財務金融學研究所zh_TW
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