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| DC 欄位 | 值 | 語言 |
|---|---|---|
| dc.contributor.advisor | 謝尚賢(Hsieh, Shang – Hsien) | |
| dc.contributor.author | "Viet-Hung, Vuong" | en |
| dc.contributor.author | 王曰興 | zh_TW |
| dc.date.accessioned | 2021-06-15T05:08:59Z | - |
| dc.date.available | 2010-07-30 | |
| dc.date.copyright | 2010-07-30 | |
| dc.date.issued | 2010 | |
| dc.date.submitted | 2010-07-23 | |
| dc.identifier.citation | REFERENCES
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Assesing the threat to life from dam failure. Water Resources Bulletin 24(6): 1303-1209. Bui, Q. N. (2003). Occurences and damange of construction project. National Scientific Meeting, Nha Trang, Vietnam. Caltrans (2003). Project risk management handbook. California Department of Transportation (Caltrans), Office of Project Management Process Improvement, Sacramento. 65p DeKey, M.L., and McCleleand, D.M. (1993). Predicting loss of life in case of dam failure and flash flood. Risk Analysis 13(2): 193-205. Ericson, C.A. (2005). Hazard Analysis Techniques for System Safety. John Wiley & Sons, Hoboken, New Jersey. 528 p. Fell, R., Bowles, D.S., Anderson, L.R., and Bell, G. (2000). The status of methods for estimation of the probalility of failure of dams for use in quantitative risk assessment International Commision on Large Dams 20th congress, 2000, Bejing, China. Foster, M., Fell, R. and Spannagle, M. (2000). The statistics of embankment dam failures and accidents. Canadian Geotechnical Journal 37(5): 1000-1024. Graham, W.J. (1999). A procedure for estimating loss of life caused by dam failure. Dam safety office, USBR (U. S Department of Interior Bureau of Reclamation). DSO-99-46. 44 p. Hartfort, D.N.D. (1999). Emerging principle and practice in dam risk management. International Workshop on Risk Analysis in Dam Safety Assessment. Water Resources Publications, LLC, Taipei, Taiwan. 209 p. Heidstra, N.N., Law G.J, Verma, N.S., Grass, J.D., and Von Thun J.L. (2000). Use of failure modes and effects analyses in periodic dam safety assessment reviews. CDA Annual Confference ' Section 2 Dam safety', Regina, Canada: 7. Hill, P., Bowles, D.S., Jordan, P., and Nathan, R., (2003). Estimating overall risk of dam failure: Practical consideration in combining failure probabilities. ANCOLD Risk Workshop Launceston,Tasmania, Australia. p 10. Hill, P.I., Bowles D.S., Nathan, R., and Herweyen, R. (2001). On the are of event tree modeling for portfolio risk analyses. NZSCOLD/ANCOLD 2001 Conferrence on Dams, November 3-9, Auckland New Zealand. Isukapalli, S.S. (1999). Uncertainty analysis of transport-transformation models. Chemical and Biochemical Engineering. New Brunswick, New Jersey, Rutgers, The State University of New Jersey. Doctoral Dissertation. Kerr, A., Read G., and Kaye, J. (1998). Reservoir management with risk aversion. 33rd Annual Conference of the Operational Research Society of New Zealand (ORSNZ). Univeristy of of Auckland New Zealand. Lee, J.S. (2002). Uncertainty analysis in dam safety risk assessment. Civil and Evironment Engineering. Logan, Utah State Univeristy. Doctoral Dissertation. 220 p. Lee, J.S. (2003). Uncertainty in the predicted number of the life loss due to the dam breach floods. KSCE Journal of Civil Engineering 7. 11p. McCleleand, D.M. and Bowles, D.S. (1999). Life loss estimation: what can we learn from case histories?. Australian Commitee on Large Dam (ANCOLD) Annual Meeting Jindabyne, New South Wales, Australia. McCrea, J.H., Bhat P.D., Smith, G.F., and Anderson, L.R. (2000). Application of failure modes and effects analysis (FMEA) at a pump generating station dyke. CDA Annual Cofference 'Section 2 dam safety', Regina, Canada. 7 p. Modarres, M. (2006). Risk analysisin engineering: Technique, tool and trends. CRC Press, Tailor & Francis Group, Boca Raton. 432 p Project Management Institute (2004). A Guide to the project management body of knowledge (PMBOK guide). Project Management Institute, Inc, New Town Square Pennsylvania. 398 p Slunga, E. (2001). Concept and bases of risk analysis for dam with an example application on Kyrkosjarvi dam. RESCAM (Development of Reuse Actions Based on Dam Break Flood Analysis), P.O. Box Helsinki, Finland. 32 p. Suokas, J. and Rouhiainen, V. (1993). Quality management of safety and risk analysis, Elsevier Science Publishers B.V,Riverport Lane, Maryland Heights, USA. 296 p Sutton, I.S. (1992). Process reliability and risk management. Van Nostrand Reinhold, New York, USA. 277 p Thomson, J.R. (1987). Engineering safety assessment. Longman Scientific & Technical, Harlow, Essex, England. 221 p USBR. (U. S. Department of Interior Bureau of Reclamation) (1999). Dam safety risk analysis methedology. Denver, Colorado, Technical Service Centre. 48 p. USBR (U. S. Department of Interior Bureau of Reclamation) (2003). Guidelines for achieving public protection in dam safety decision making, Dam Safety Office. 19 p. Vick, S.G. (2000) Engineering application of dam safety risk analysis. Proceedings of the 20th International Congress on Large Dams, International Commission on Large Dams, Paris, France: 325-335. Zhang, L.M., Xu Y., and Jia, J.S., (2009). Analysis of earth failure: A data base approach. Georisk: Assessment and management of risk for engineered systems and geohazards 3: 16 p. | |
| dc.identifier.uri | http://tdr.lib.ntu.edu.tw/jspui/handle/123456789/46437 | - |
| dc.description.abstract | In Vietnam, embankment dams have been developed for over 60 years. Therefore, the safety concerns of aging dams are one of the challenges, which the hydraulic field faces at this time and in the near future. There are two approaches to dam safety, namely, standard based and risk based approaches. Although risk assessment is standard practice for dam safety, this term is relatively new to hydraulic engineers in Vietnam. The procedure of risk assessment is presented in this M.S. Thesis, which consists of qualitative and quantitative assessments and consequences estimation. Suoi Mo dam is used as a case study for applying risk assessment in Vietnam because it has similar dimension and characteristics such as height, reservoir capacity and structure to approximately 300 of 500 large dams in Vietnam. Several methods can be used in each process of risk assessment. For qualitative assessment, failure modes & effects analysis (FMEA) is the state of practice method that is used in identifying initial failure. Historical performance and event tree analysis are used to analyze quantitative risks, and then the flood severity method developed by Graham (1999) is applied to estimate the possible loss of lives. The probability of the loss of lives during each failure mode for Suoi Mo dam provides important information for the decision maker in coming up with the solutions for unexpected situations. A lack of useful data is one of the barriers to successful application of the actual solutions, causing the reliability of the assessment results to be decreased. | en |
| dc.description.provenance | Made available in DSpace on 2021-06-15T05:08:59Z (GMT). No. of bitstreams: 1 ntu-99-R97521720-1.pdf: 947463 bytes, checksum: 4d0c42fa5d5a379720141ff5d3c006ff (MD5) Previous issue date: 2010 | en |
| dc.description.tableofcontents | Table of Contents
ABSTRACT i ACKNOWLEDGMENT ii LIST OF TABLES v LIST OF FIGURES vi LIST OF ABBREVIATIONS vii CHAPTER I: INTRODUCTION 1 1.1 Background 1 1.2 Research Objective 2 1.3 Limitations and scope 3 1.4 Suoi Mo Dam – A Case study 4 CHAPTER II: LITERATURE REVIEW 10 2.1 Overview risk management 10 2.1.1 Definitions 10 2.1.2 Risk Management Process 10 2.1.3 Qualitative Risk Management 13 2.1.4 Quantitative Risk Management 13 2.2 Risk assessment for dam safety 15 2.2.1 Failure modes identification approaches (qualitative approaches) 22 2.2.2 Quantitative risk assessment 25 2.2.3 Consequence assessments 27 2.3.4 Risk evaluation 29 CHAPTER III: METHEDOLOGY - 30 - 3.1 Qualitative method - 30 - 3.1.1 Failure modes and effects analysis (FMEA) - 30 - 3.1.2 Event tree analysis - 32 - 3.2 Quantitative method - 34 - 3.1.1 Probability Estimation Technique - 34 - 3.2.2 Loss of life - 36 - 3.2.3 Risk evaluation 42 CHAPTER 4: RISK ASSESSMENT 45 4.1 Failure mode and effective analysis 45 4.2 Estimation of probability of failure 52 4.2.1 Event tree analysis 52 4.2.2 Historic performance 58 4.3 Consequence estimation (Flood severity method) 61 4.4 ` Dam safety decision making 68 CHAPTER 5: CONCLUSION 70 REFERENCES 73 APPENDIX A 76 Records of distribution for probability estimation 76 APPENDIX B 87 Detail Statistics of failure and accident 87 | |
| dc.language.iso | en | |
| dc.subject | 定量分析 | zh_TW |
| dc.subject | 越南壩 | zh_TW |
| dc.subject | 定性分析 | zh_TW |
| dc.subject | 風險評估 | zh_TW |
| dc.subject | qualitative analysis | en |
| dc.subject | risk assessment | en |
| dc.subject | Vietnamese Dam | en |
| dc.subject | quantitative analysis | en |
| dc.title | 壩的風險評估之越南案例研究 | zh_TW |
| dc.title | Risk Assessment for Vietnamese Dam
– Suoi Mo A Case Study | en |
| dc.type | Thesis | |
| dc.date.schoolyear | 98-2 | |
| dc.description.degree | 碩士 | |
| dc.contributor.oralexamcommittee | 陳柏翰(Chen, Po - Han),郭斯傑(Guo, Sy - Jye) | |
| dc.subject.keyword | 風險評估,越南壩,定性分析,定量分析, | zh_TW |
| dc.subject.keyword | risk assessment,Vietnamese Dam,qualitative analysis,quantitative analysis, | en |
| dc.relation.page | 92 | |
| dc.rights.note | 有償授權 | |
| dc.date.accepted | 2010-07-26 | |
| dc.contributor.author-college | 工學院 | zh_TW |
| dc.contributor.author-dept | 土木工程學研究所 | zh_TW |
| 顯示於系所單位： | 土木工程學系 | |
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