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  1. NTU Theses and Dissertations Repository
  2. 管理學院
  3. 財務金融學系
Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://tdr.lib.ntu.edu.tw/jspui/handle/123456789/38897
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???org.dspace.app.webui.jsptag.ItemTag.dcfield???ValueLanguage
dc.contributor.advisor李存修
dc.contributor.authorLai Yen-Ruen
dc.contributor.author賴彥汝zh_TW
dc.date.accessioned2021-06-13T16:51:20Z-
dc.date.available2007-07-04
dc.date.copyright2005-07-04
dc.date.issued2005
dc.date.submitted2005-06-22
dc.identifier.citation1. Cox, J.C., Ingersoll, J.E. and S.A. Ross(1985.a),”An Intertemporal General Equilibrium Model of Asset Prices.”, Econometric, Vol.53,p.p. 363-384.
2. Cox, J.C., Ingersoll, J.E. and S.A. Ross(1985.b),”Theory of the Term Structure of Interest Rate.”, Econometric, Vol.53,p.p.385-407.
3. McCulloch, J.H.(1971),” Measure the Term Structure of Interest Rates.”, Journal of Business, p.p. 19-31.
4. McCulloch, J.H.(1975),”The Tax-Adjusted Yield Curve. ”, Journal of Finance, Vol.31, p.p. 881-830.
5. Nelson,Charles R and Andrew F. Siegel(1987) ”Parsimonious Modeling of Yield Curves”,The Journal of Business,Vol.60,No.4, p.p. 473-P.489.
6. Papageorgiou,Nicolas. and Frank,S.Skinner.(2002) “Predicting the Direction of Interest Rate Movements.” The Journal of Fixed Income, p.p.87-95
7. Shea,Gary S.(1984) ”Pitfalls in Smoothing Interest Rate Term Structure Data:Equilibrium Models and Spline Approximations.” Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis .p.p.253- 269.
8. Shea, Gary S.(1985). ”Interest Rate Term Structure Estimation with Exponential Splines: A Note.” The Journal of Finance. p.p..319-325.
9. Vasicek, O.(1977),” An equilibrium Characterization of the Term Structure.”, Journal of Financial Economics, Vol.5, p.p.177-188
10. Vasicek ,Oldrich A. and H.Gifford Fong.(1982) ”Term Structure Modeling Using Exponential Splines.” The Journal of Finance, p.p..339-P.349..
11. 賴曉璐(1996),『政府公債殖利率曲線形狀與免疫策略的選擇』,國立台灣大學財務金融所碩士論文。
12. 陳書瀚(1997),『利率期限結構共同因子數與其性質之研究』,國立台灣大學財務金融研究所未出版論文。
13. 沈中華(1998),『影響台灣貨幣市場利率的三因子』,貨幣市場雙月刊,第12期,P.4-7。
14. 張千雲(2003),『利率期限結構估計模型之實證研究』,管理學報。
15. 楊孟波(2002),『利率期限結構變動下之債券投資組合免疫策略』,國立高雄第一科技大學財務管理所碩士論文。
16. 鍾韻琳(2003),『流動性不足限制下利率期限結構之估計』,國立高雄第一科技大學財務管理所碩士論文。
17. 粘逸尊(2004),『以邏輯迴歸模型建立之戰略性資產配置擇時交易策 略』,國立台灣大學財務金融研究所未出版之碩士論文。
dc.identifier.urihttp://tdr.lib.ntu.edu.tw/jspui/handle/123456789/38897-
dc.description.abstract本研究以Nelson & Siegel為模型,利用高斯牛頓法迭代求解,估計台灣公債殖利率曲線。實證結果發現,此模型可捕捉市場上殖利率期限結構之形狀:正斜率帶駝峰狀,負斜率帶凹谷狀,以及單調遞增。此篇研究更是以台灣公債為資料,建構台灣公債交易之策略,以此探討台灣公債市場是否存有套利機會,並發現Nelson & Siegel模型可有效地估計台灣公債利率期限結構,並可視為債券交易策略背後之可靠工具。zh_TW
dc.description.abstractThis paper uses Nelson & Siegel model, the parsimonious model to fit the term structure in Taiwan bond market. We use the Newton-Gaussian method to estimate parameters of the yield curves. During the observation period, the estimated yield curve had various shapes. Nelson & Siegel model could describe the shapes of yield curves: monotonic, humped and S-shaped and is consistent with the real market. In addition, this paper will develop some trading strategies to examine whether Nelson & Siegel model could be a powerful tool to estimate the term structure interest rate in Taiwan bond marketen
dc.description.provenanceMade available in DSpace on 2021-06-13T16:51:20Z (GMT). No. of bitstreams: 1
ntu-94-R92723058-1.pdf: 394700 bytes, checksum: 02c6e38b6996b7b3a016aebbbef4713b (MD5)
Previous issue date: 2005
en
dc.description.tableofcontents1.Introduction……………………………………………………..1
1.1 Research Structure ………………………………………….4
2.Literature Review……………………………………………...5
3.Methodology……………………………………………………..9
3.1 ModelConstruction………………………………..........9
3.2 Gaussian-Newton Method………………………………………11
3.2.1 nonlinear regression………………………………………11
3.2.2 recursive method…………………………………………….12
4. Empirical results……………………………………………...15
4.1 Data sources……………………………………………….....15
4.2 Term structure estimation……………………………..…..15
4.3 Strategies return……………………………………………20
5.Conclusions……………………………………………………….30
Appendix A……………………………………………………………31
Appendix B……………………………………………………………33
References…………………………………..……………………40
dc.language.isoen
dc.title利率期限結構之估計與債券交易策略zh_TW
dc.titleTerm Structure Fitting and Bond Trading Strategyen
dc.typeThesis
dc.date.schoolyear93-2
dc.description.degree碩士
dc.contributor.oralexamcommittee蔡錦堂,顏錫銘
dc.subject.keyword利率期限結構,高斯牛頓法,債券交易策略,zh_TW
dc.subject.keywordYield Curve,Bond Strategy,Newton-Gaussian method,en
dc.relation.page41
dc.rights.note有償授權
dc.date.accepted2005-06-23
dc.contributor.author-college管理學院zh_TW
dc.contributor.author-dept財務金融學研究所zh_TW
Appears in Collections:財務金融學系

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