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| DC 欄位 | 值 | 語言 |
|---|---|---|
| dc.contributor.advisor | 周雍強 | |
| dc.contributor.author | Yorng-Feng Chen | en |
| dc.contributor.author | 陳永豐 | zh_TW |
| dc.date.accessioned | 2021-06-13T04:21:53Z | - |
| dc.date.available | 2006-07-28 | |
| dc.date.copyright | 2006-07-28 | |
| dc.date.issued | 2006 | |
| dc.date.submitted | 2006-07-24 | |
| dc.identifier.citation | 參考文獻
[1]Ahmed, Shabbir,“Semiconductor Tool Planning via Multi-stage Stochastic Programming,” Proc. of 2002 Int. Conference on Modeling and Analysis of Semiconductor Manufacturing, Tempe, Arizona, U.S.A., 153-175, Apr. 2002. [2]Anonymous, Industrial Economic Modeling User Guide, Version 5.01, Sematech International, 2002. [3]Barahona, Francisco, Stuart Bermon, Oktay Gunluk, and Sarah Hood, “Robust Capacity Planning in Semiconductor Manufacturing,” Naval Research Logistics, Volume 52, Issue 5, Pages 459 – 468, 2005. [4]Benavides, Dario L James R. Duley, and Blake E. Johnson, “ As Good as It Gets: Optimal Fab Design and Deployment,” IEEE Transactions on Semiconductor Manufacturing, Vol. 12, No.3, 281-287, 1999. [5]Chang, P. L., M. G. Huang and Y. C. Chou, “A Customer-driven Capacity Exchange Mechanism for Semiconductor foundry,” Proc. of 2002 Int. Conference on Modeling and Analysis of semiconductor Manufacturing, 145-147, 2002. [6]Chou, Yon-Chun and Yi-Yu Liang, “A Literature Review on Capacity Planning in the Semiconductor Industry,” Proc. of 2002 MXIC Conference on Semiconductor Manufacturing, Hsinchu, Taiwan, Nov. 2002. [7]Chou, Yon-Chun and Jin-Zhong Lin, “Integrating Multiple Granularity Levels of Capacity Planning in Semiconductor Manufacturing.” Proc. of 2002 Int. Conference on Modeling and Analysis of Semiconductor Manufacturing, Tempe, Arizona, U. S. A., Apr. 2002. [8]Chung, S. H., H. I. Lee, C. M. Lai, N. C. Kuo and J. R. Chen, “The Construction of an Order Exchange Evaluation Mechanism for Wafer Fabs.” Proc. of 2002 Int. Conference on Modeling and Analysis of semiconductor Manufacturing, 182-187, 2002. [9]Christie, M. E. Robert and David Wu, “Semiconductor Capacity Planning: Stochastic Modeling and Computational Studies,” IIE Transactions, Vol. 34, 131-143, 2002. [10]Cheng, C.T and Y. C. Chou (2004), “Adapting the Capacity Expansion Strategy under Uncertain Industrial Environment,” NTU GIIE. [11]Emanuel Melachrinoudis, E., Min, H., and Messac, A. (2000),” The Relocation of a Manufacturing/Distribution Facility from Supply Chain Perspectives: A Physical Programming Approach”. [12]Cheng, C.T and Y. C. Chou, “Option-based Capacity Planning for Semiconductor Manufacturing,” Semiconductor Manufacturing, 2003 IEEE International Symposium on, 77-80, 2003. [13]Hood, Sarah Jean, Stuart Bermon, and Francisco Barahona, “Capacity Planning Under Demand Uncertainty for Semiconductor Manufacturing”, Semiconductor Manufacturing, IEEE Transactions, Volume 16, Issue: 2, 2003. [14]Huh, Woonghee Tim and Robin O. Roundy, “A Continuous-Time Strategic Capacity Planning Model”, Naval Research Logistics, Volume 52, Issue 4 , Pages 329 – 343, 2005. [15]Iwata, Yoshio, Kouichi Taji and Hiroyuki Tamura, “Multi-objective capacity planning for agile semiconductor manufacturing”, Taylor & Francis, Volume 14, Number 3 / 2003, Pages 244 – 254, 2003. [16]Karabuk, Suleyman and S. David Wu, “Coordinating Strategic Capacity Planning in the Semiconductor Industry,” Technical Report 99T-11, Dept of IMSE, Lehigh University, 2001. [17]Swaminathan, J. M. “Tool Capacity Planning for Semiconductor Fabrication Facilities under Demand Uncertainty,” European Journal of Operations Research. Vol.120, 545-558, 2000. [18]Vel_asquez, R. and Melo, M.T. (2004),” Solving a large-scale dynamic facility location problem with variable neighborhood and token ring search. [19]張忠謀，(1999/11/29)，創新是科技公司的存亡關鍵，校園巡迴講座. [20]顧瑩華，(2000)，日韓IC產業的發展歷程，經濟情勢暨評論季刊-第六卷第三期. [21]黃俐瑀，(2004)，半導體製造之先進製程產能的建置時點模型，台大工業工程研究所. [22]台灣積體電路公司網站 http://www.tsmc.com [23]聯華電子公司網站 http://www.umc.com [24]張守鈞，(1993)，個體經濟理論與應用，全英出版社 [25]許世洲，(2003)，fabless公司的外包產能規劃，Journal of the Chinese Institute of Industrial Engineers, Vol. 20, No. 6, pp. 575-598 [26]林麗娟，(1999)，國際技術合作策略與技術學習模式，經濟部之經濟情勢暨評論季刊之第五卷第一期， http://www.moea.gov.tw/~ecobook/season/sag/sag25.htm | |
| dc.identifier.uri | http://tdr.lib.ntu.edu.tw/jspui/handle/123456789/33012 | - |
| dc.description.abstract | 半導體製造產業具有需求不確定、產能投資成本高、技術更迭快等特性，導致競爭激烈、經營風險高，產業景氣循環現象非常劇烈，產能供給與需求經常發生失衡，產能投資的決策不僅決定經營獲利，也會影響廠商的長期競爭力，因此產能投資是廠商的重要決策，而用於產能規劃的方法有很多，而其中實質選擇權法適用於不確定性很高的環境，故本文針對半導體製造產業，為廠商分析如何將實質選擇權法應用於產能規劃上。首先以產業數據分析半導體製造的成本、需求與營收趨勢，討論不確定需求、高產能成本對產業結構的影響。其次，以營收為產能擴充的績效指標，經由實驗設計與統計方法，找出目前廠商面臨到的不確定性環境下最適切的實質選擇權使用方法，並分析影響產能規劃績效的不確定性因素與影響程度，來協助廠商進行產能決策。 | zh_TW |
| dc.description.abstract | The semiconductor manufacturing industry can be prominently characterized by intense competition, high capacity investment cost, rapid technology advancement and uncertain demand. Process technologies and demand are the two major sources of uncertainties so that the balance between demand and supply is hard to achieve. Because of high capacity investment cost, any mistake in capacity strategy will damage the corporation’s long-term competitiveness. There are many methods for capacity strategy planning, such as stochastic programming, optimal control, and real option method. The real option method is suitable for high uncertain industries. Hence, this thesis focuses on how a company can apply the real option method to its capacity planning, and industry data of average selling price and manufacturing costs are utilized in the analysis. This paper first describes the competition state of the industry by presenting the trends of average selling price, materials and labor cost, operating expenses, and capacity cost of representative firms in the industry. In the second part, capacity planning is analyzed by using experimental design and statistical methods under various scenarios to find a best way for application of the real option method. | en |
| dc.description.provenance | Made available in DSpace on 2021-06-13T04:21:53Z (GMT). No. of bitstreams: 1 ntu-95-R92546015-1.pdf: 1346811 bytes, checksum: d2bbc663fad53239dc58af00d191a20e (MD5) Previous issue date: 2006 | en |
| dc.description.tableofcontents | 摘要I
ABSTRACTII 目錄III 圖目錄V 表目錄VII 1緒論1 1.1背景1 1.2問題描述7 1.3研究目的9 1.4研究構想10 1.5論文結構11 2文獻回顧12 2.1產能規劃之類別12 2.2不確定產能環境的產能擴充策略14 2.3實質選擇權產能擴充策略下的等候價值15 2.4統計分析方法24 2.4.1變異數分析25 2.4.2中位數檢定法25 2.4.3迴歸分析法26 3情境變數趨勢分析與實驗設計27 3.1參數趨勢27 3.2平均售價趨勢35 3.3需求參數趨勢38 3.4廠商間之營運趨勢比較41 3.4.1成本與平均售價比較41 3.4.2需求參數比較42 4產能軌跡規劃模組簡介44 4.1系統背景44 4.2內部資料45 4.3模組計算過程46 4.4模組使用說明54 5模擬結果分析58 5.1績效指標58 5.2等候有價期間之設定探討59 5.3績效分析61 5.3.1總營業純益61 5.3.2固定資產報酬率64 6結論與貢獻66 6.1總結66 6.2未來研究建議66 參考文獻68 附錄71 | |
| dc.language.iso | zh-TW | |
| dc.subject | 實質選擇權法 | zh_TW |
| dc.subject | 半導體製造 | zh_TW |
| dc.subject | 產能規劃 | zh_TW |
| dc.subject | Real Option Method | en |
| dc.subject | Capacity Planning | en |
| dc.subject | Semiconductor Manufacturing | en |
| dc.title | 半導體製造之產能規劃的實質選擇權法之應用 | zh_TW |
| dc.title | An Application of the Real Option Method to Capacity Planning of Semiconductor Manufacturing | en |
| dc.type | Thesis | |
| dc.date.schoolyear | 94-2 | |
| dc.description.degree | 碩士 | |
| dc.contributor.oralexamcommittee | 林惠玲,謝淑華,賴鴻輝 | |
| dc.subject.keyword | 半導體製造,實質選擇權法,產能規劃, | zh_TW |
| dc.subject.keyword | Semiconductor Manufacturing,Real Option Method,Capacity Planning, | en |
| dc.relation.page | 73 | |
| dc.rights.note | 有償授權 | |
| dc.date.accepted | 2006-07-24 | |
| dc.contributor.author-college | 工學院 | zh_TW |
| dc.contributor.author-dept | 工業工程學研究所 | zh_TW |
| 顯示於系所單位： | 工業工程學研究所 | |
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