請用此 Handle URI 來引用此文件:
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| DC 欄位 | 值 | 語言 |
|---|---|---|
| dc.contributor.advisor | 蔡政文 | |
| dc.contributor.author | Der-Yang Chia | en |
| dc.contributor.author | 賈德揚 | zh_TW |
| dc.date.accessioned | 2021-06-08T04:29:37Z | - |
| dc.date.copyright | 2010-01-20 | |
| dc.date.issued | 2010 | |
| dc.date.submitted | 2010-01-17 | |
| dc.identifier.citation | 參考文獻
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Kuzio, Taras, 2008/7/17. “Ukraine: Beyond the Orange Revolution,” Open Democracy, http://www.opendemocracy.net/article/ukraine-beyond-the-orange-coalition. Landru, Nicolas, 2007/5/30. “Georgia: The Evacuation of the Russian Military Base at Akhalkalaki Comes to a Close,” Caucaz Europenews, http://www.caucaz.com/ home_eng/breve_contenu.php?id=314. Maksymiuk, Jan, 2005/11/15. “Ukraine: Government Faces Uphill Battle In Achieving NATO Aspirations,” Radio Free Europe Radio Liberty, http://www.rferl.org/ content/article/1062966.html. Pavliuk, Oleksandr, 2000/6. “Enlargement and Ukraine’s Relations with Other Central and Eastern European Countries,” Final Report of 1998-2000 NATO-EAPC Fellowship at EastWest Institute, Kyiv Centre, June 2000. Pifer, Steven, 2009/3. “Engaging Ukraine in 2009.” Foreign Policy at Brookings. Policy Paper Number 13, March 2009. http://www.brookings.edu/~/media/Files/rc/papers/ 2009/03_ukraine_pifer/03_ukraine_pifer.pdf. 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| dc.identifier.uri | http://tdr.lib.ntu.edu.tw/jspui/handle/123456789/22824 | - |
| dc.description.abstract | 烏克蘭從古至今皆處於政治中心的邊陲地帶。烏克蘭在1991年重獲獨立後,一方面仍然受到俄羅斯的影響,另一方面也受到歐盟和北約的引力,烏克蘭的外交走向儼然成為西方國家和俄國之間的競技場,在2004年的橙色革命達到最高點。2004年之前的庫其馬政府有意推動烏克蘭入盟,但礙於與俄國關係和政治理念,最後仍無息而終。橙色革命後,新上任的尤先科政府將入盟北約定為國策,但卻不徹底執行入盟所必須的改革,使北約無意也無力通過烏克蘭的會員行動計畫案。同時面對俄國壓力和烏克蘭內部凝結力的缺乏,使得尤先科政府的外交政策與其選舉承諾不符。
本文主旨在於說明烏克蘭在2008年申請入盟北約失敗的過程。烏克蘭申請會員行動計畫失敗的主因可分為內在和外在因素,前者包括人民對入盟北約的反對、政局不穩和改革失敗;外在因素則以俄國和西歐國家的反對為主,使烏克蘭無法在2008年的布加勒斯特高峰會上獲得MAP資格。 本文最終將檢討烏克蘭入盟失敗的主因,以及未來讓烏克蘭加入北約的必要條件。烏克蘭必須在達成國內共識和與俄國改善關係,同時西方與俄國重新交好的情況下,方能再度叩關北約大門。 | zh_TW |
| dc.description.abstract | Ukraine, formerly the Ukrainian SSR, declared independence in 1991 but has yet to achieve integration with either the CIS or the EU. The author considers recent developments concerning its efforts to join the NATO alliance to be crucial in deciding the country’s future and the geopolitics of Eastern Europe and beyond. This thesis seeks to assess the conception and implementation of Ukrainian policy and the ultimate failure to obtain a NATO Membership Action Plan in 2008.
Since the end of the Cold War, NATO has been transforming itself from a purely defensive alliance to a regional security organization that operates “out of area” and promotes western ideas such as democracy and market economy. NATO operations in conflict areas such as Kosovo and Afghanistan and its enlargement since the incorporation of the former GDR have challenged relations between Moscow and Washington as well as Paris and Berlin. The Ukrainian bid for membership in NATO not only strained relations between Russia and the US, but also divided NATO as most Western European countries blocked its application in Bucharest in 2008. What caused the failure was not only Ukraine’s position as an ill-prepared country with considerable political and economic problems, but also its security environment and its position as the bulwark between NATO and Russia. The author will attempt to analyze the reasons behind the failed 2008 bid and assess the future possibilities of Ukrainian membership in NATO. | en |
| dc.description.provenance | Made available in DSpace on 2021-06-08T04:29:37Z (GMT). No. of bitstreams: 1 ntu-99-R95322030-1.pdf: 2030358 bytes, checksum: 630a9b13b0602a1340c0f3062bb34489 (MD5) Previous issue date: 2010 | en |
| dc.description.tableofcontents | 謝辭…………………………………………………………………………………..Ⅰ
中文摘要…………………………………………………………………………….III 英文摘要…………………………………………………………………………….IV 目錄…………………………………………………………………………………...V 第一章 緒論.................................................................................................................1 第一節 研究動機及目的.....................................................................................1 第二節 研究途徑與方法.....................................................................................5 第三節 研究範圍.................................................................................................7 第四節 理論.........................................................................................................7 壹、現實主義與冷戰的結束.......................................................................8 貳、從古典現實到結構現實主義...............................................................9 參、新現實主義的核心命題......................................................................11 肆、攻勢現實主義與守勢現實主義..........................................................12 伍、權力平衡與威脅平衡..........................................................................14 陸、其他理論的解釋..................................................................................15 第五節 資料來源................................................................................................16 第六節 章節安排................................................................................................17 第二章庫其馬政府的北約政策.................................................................................21 第一節 初期:北約牌........................................................................................22 壹、與俄國的關係......................................................................................22 貳、與北約關係:延續克拉夫丘克的政策..............................................23 第二節 中期:從孤立到決定入盟....................................................................25 第三節 後期:合作與關係惡化........................................................................26 第四節 影響因素................................................................................................29 壹、內在因素..............................................................................................29 貳、外在因素..............................................................................................31 一、俄羅斯..........................................................................................32 二、北約東擴的影響..........................................................................38 三、歐盟的影響..................................................................................39 庫其馬的挑戰......................................................................................................42 第三章 尤先科政府的北約政策..............................................................................45 第一節 尤先科政府的北約政策.......................................................................46 壹、前期:蜜月期間.................................................................................46 貳、中期:亞努科維奇任總理時期.........................................................48 參、後期:從失敗到失去興趣.................................................................50 第二節 影響因素...............................................................................................51 壹、內在因素.............................................................................................51 一、對西方的期望.............................................................................51 二、橙色政府的崩潰.........................................................................52 貳、外在因素.............................................................................................52 一、俄國.............................................................................................52 二、北約、歐盟.................................................................................76 三、美國的政策.................................................................................58 四、波蘭.............................................................................................59 尤先科政府的失敗.............................................................................................61 第四章 尤先科政府申請加入北約過程.................................................................63 第一節 表明立場及申請 ................................................................................64 壹、表明立場............................................................................................64 貳、申請....................................................................................................65 第二節 北約處理過程......................................................................................67 壹、北約東擴的政策................................................................................68 貳、布加勒斯特高峰會與外長級會議....................................................72 第三節 美國的政策..........................................................................................77 壹、美國的北約政策................................................................................77 貳、對烏克蘭入盟的政策........................................................................80 參、布希政府在2008年的政策..............................................................81 第四節 喬治亞戰爭對烏克蘭的影響..............................................................82 壹、戰爭背景............................................................................................83 貳、戰爭過程和對烏克蘭的影響............................................................85 申請結果............................................................................................................88 第五章 烏克蘭加入北約失敗的因素.....................................................................89 第一節 內在因素..............................................................................................89 壹、民意支持度低....................................................................................89 貳、內政問題............................................................................................90 參、橙色革命的失敗................................................................................92 第二節 外在因素..............................................................................................94 壹、俄國....................................................................................................95 貳、北約內部反對..................................................................................104 大國政治下的權力平衡..................................................................................112 第六章 評估與展望...............................................................................................113 第一節 事實評估............................................................................................113 壹、2008年的失敗.................................................................................113 貳、美國政府態度的轉變......................................................................115 參、烏克蘭與其他北約新會員國之不同..............................................116 第二節 理論評估............................................................................................117 第三節 展望....................................................................................................120 壹、北約前兩波東擴的經驗..................................................................120 貳、烏克蘭歐洲大西洋整合的希望......................................................122 參、各國未來政策預測..........................................................................123 第七章 結論...........................................................................................................127 總結.................................................................................................................127 國際結構的重要性.........................................................................................131 對北約未來東擴的效應.................................................................................132 結語.................................................................................................................134 參考文獻..................................................................................................................135 | |
| dc.language.iso | zh-TW | |
| dc.subject | 烏克蘭 | zh_TW |
| dc.subject | 北約 | zh_TW |
| dc.subject | 北約東擴 | zh_TW |
| dc.subject | 俄羅斯 | zh_TW |
| dc.subject | 地緣政治 | zh_TW |
| dc.subject | Geopolitics | en |
| dc.subject | NATO | en |
| dc.subject | NATO Enlargement | en |
| dc.subject | Russia | en |
| dc.subject | Ukraine | en |
| dc.title | 烏克蘭加入北約的問題研究(1994-2009) | zh_TW |
| dc.title | Ukraine's NATO Aspirations (1994-2009) | en |
| dc.type | Thesis | |
| dc.date.schoolyear | 98-1 | |
| dc.description.degree | 碩士 | |
| dc.contributor.oralexamcommittee | 陳世民,戴萬欽 | |
| dc.subject.keyword | 北約,烏克蘭,北約東擴,俄羅斯,地緣政治, | zh_TW |
| dc.subject.keyword | NATO,Ukraine,NATO Enlargement,Russia,Geopolitics, | en |
| dc.relation.page | 150 | |
| dc.rights.note | 未授權 | |
| dc.date.accepted | 2010-01-18 | |
| dc.contributor.author-college | 社會科學院 | zh_TW |
| dc.contributor.author-dept | 政治學研究所 | zh_TW |
| 顯示於系所單位: | 政治學系 | |
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|---|---|---|---|
| ntu-99-1.pdf 未授權公開取用 | 1.98 MB | Adobe PDF |
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