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  1. NTU Theses and Dissertations Repository
  2. 管理學院
  3. 財務金融學系
請用此 Handle URI 來引用此文件: http://tdr.lib.ntu.edu.tw/jspui/handle/123456789/22821
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dc.contributor.advisor李存修(Tsun-Siou Li)
dc.contributor.authorHsin-Ying Linen
dc.contributor.author林欣瑩zh_TW
dc.date.accessioned2021-06-08T04:29:31Z-
dc.date.copyright2010-01-21
dc.date.issued2010
dc.date.submitted2010-01-19
dc.identifier.citation1.Arora, N., J. Bohn, and F. Zhu, 2005, Reduced Form vs. Structural Models of Credit Risk: A Case Study of Three Models, Journal of Investment Management, Vol. 3, No. 4, 43-67
2.Black, F., 1976, Studies of stock price volatility changes, Proceedings of the American Statistical Association, pp. 177–181 Business and Economics Statistics Section
3.Boyle, P. P., 1977, Options: A Monte Carlo Approach, Journal of Financial Economics, Vol.4, No.3, 323-338
4.Brigo, D., and F. Mercurio, 2001, Interest Rate Models – Theory and Practice, Springer Finance, 56-60
5.Crosbie, P., and J. Bohn, 2003, Modeling Default Risk – Modeling Methodology, Moody’s KMV Company White Paper
6.Duffie, D., and K. Singleton, 1999, Modeling term structures of defaultable bonds. Review of Financial Studies, 12, 687-720
7.Glosten, L., R., R. Jagannathan, and D. E. Runkle, 1993, On the Relation between the Expected Value and the Volatility of the Nominal Excess Return on Stocks, Journal of Finance, Vol.48, No.5, 1779-1801
8.Hull, J.C., and A. White, 1990, Valuing derivative securities using the explicit finite difference method, Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Vol. 25, 87-99
9.Hull, J.C., and A. White, 1995, The impact of default risk on the prices of options and other derivative securities, Journal of Banking and Finance, Vol. 19, 299-322
10.Hull, J.C., and A. White, 2000, Valuing Credit Default Swap I: No Counterparty Default Risk”, Journal of Derivatives, vol. 8(1), pp.29-40
11.Jarrow, R., and S. Turnbull, 1995, Pricing derivatives on financial securities subject to credit risk. Journal of Finance, 50, 53-86
12.Jarrow, R., D. Lando, and S. Turnbull (1997), A Markov model for the term structure of credit risk spreads. The Review of Financial Studies, Vol. 10, No. 2, 481-523
13.Jarrow, R., and P. Protter, 2004, Structural versus Reduced Form Models: A New Information Based Perspective, Journal of Investment Management, Vol. 2, No. 2, 1-10
14.Johnson, H., and R. Stulz, 1987, The pricing of options with default risk, Journal of Finance, Vol. 42, 267-280
15.Kealhofer, S., 2003a, Quantifying Credit Risk I: Default Prediction, Financial Analysts Journal, Vol. 59, No.1, 33-44
16.Kealhofer, S., 2003b, Quantifying Credit Risk II: Debt Valuation, Financial Analysts Journal, Vol. 59, No.3, 78-92
17.Klein, P., 1996, Pricing Black-Scholes options with correlated credit risk, Journal of Banking and Finance, Vol. 50, 1211-1229
18.Klein, P., and M. Inglis, 2001, Pricing vulnerable European options when the options payoff can increase the risk of financial distress, Journal of Banking and Finance, Vol. 25, 993-1012
19.Klein, P., and J. Yang, 2007, Pricing vulnerable American options, working paper, Simon Fraser University
20.Merton, R. C., 1974, On the Pricing of Corporate Debt: The Risk Structure of Interest Rates, Journal of Finance, Vol. 29, No. 2, 449-470
21.Schwert, G. W., 1989a, Business Cycles, Financial Crises and Stock Volatility, Carnegie-Rochester Conference Series on Public Policy, 31, 83-126
22.Schwert, G. W., 1989b, Why does Stock Market Volatility Change over Time, Journal of Finance, 44, 1115-1154
23.Vasicek, O. A., 1984, Credit Valuation, KMV Corporation, March
dc.identifier.urihttp://tdr.lib.ntu.edu.tw/jspui/handle/123456789/22821-
dc.description.abstract鑒於日益惡化之信用市場狀況,在無交易對手風險假設下進行之結構型金融商品評價,其理論價格將與市場實際價格產生歧異,致使評價的結果缺乏參考性與可信度。本文將以股權連動債為例,分別採用CIR模型與GJR-GARCH模型配適無風險利率和標的股價變異數之未來路徑,並根據商品報酬函數繁複多元之特色選用數值模擬法進行評價。此外,亦另建一外生性信用風險貼水評價模型,衍伸結構型信用風險模型(KMV)之核心概念,以美式二元賣權的形式量化發行人信用風險貼水,估算考量發行人信用風險下連動債之真實價值。zh_TW
dc.description.abstractIt is inappropriate to ignore counterparty risk when pricing structured products especially after the financial tsunami occurred in 2008. Motivated by these circumstances, we developed an exogenous model embedded the concept of Moody’s KMV model for evaluating the issuer’s credit risk premium under the framework of American binary put option, which is applicable to any kind of financial derivatives, and we select equity-linked structured notes for illustrator. The CIR model and GJR-GARCH model are employed in forecasting risk-free rate and variance paths for evaluating a proper fair price by using numerical methods. Fair price under issuer’s credit risk can then be estimated by deducting the premium from the default-free price.en
dc.description.provenanceMade available in DSpace on 2021-06-08T04:29:31Z (GMT). No. of bitstreams: 1
ntu-99-R96723022-1.pdf: 1204657 bytes, checksum: 65454df8396235c18e83e1e2e5a02dad (MD5)
Previous issue date: 2010
en
dc.description.tableofcontents口試委員會審定書 ....................................... i
誌謝 ................................................... ii
摘要 ................................................... iii
Abstract ............................................... iv
Figure Contents ........................................ vi
Table Contents ............................................... vii
I Introduction ......................................... 1
II Literature Review ................................... 8
III Model Setting ...................................... 15
1. Equity-linked notes under default-free condition .... 15
2. Premium for the issuer’s default risk .............. 23
IV Numerical Method .................................... 30
1. Crude Monte-Carlo method ............................ 30
2. Monte-Carlo method with Variance Reduction Technique 32
3. Quasi Monte-Carlo methods ........................... 33
V Numerical Example .................................... 36
1. Terms and conditions ................................ 36
2. Parameters Estimation ............................... 38
3. Simulation Result ................................... 41
VI Comparative Static Analysis ......................... 45
1. Product base ........................................ 45
2. Issuer base ......................................... 56
VII Conclusion ......................................... 63
Reference .............................................. 65
Appendix I ............................................. 67
dc.language.isoen
dc.subject信用風險zh_TW
dc.subjectGJR-GARCH模型zh_TW
dc.subjectCIR模型zh_TW
dc.subject連動債zh_TW
dc.subject違約zh_TW
dc.subjectDefaulten
dc.subjectGJR-GARCH modelen
dc.subjectCIR modelen
dc.subjectStructured Notesen
dc.subjectCredit Risken
dc.title考量發行人信用風險下結構型金融商品評價-以股價連動債為例zh_TW
dc.titleStructured Note Evaluation under Issuer's Credit Risk Concerneden
dc.typeThesis
dc.date.schoolyear98-1
dc.description.degree碩士
dc.contributor.coadvisor王耀輝(Yaw-Huei Wang)
dc.contributor.oralexamcommittee廖咸興,石百達
dc.subject.keyword違約,信用風險,連動債,CIR模型,GJR-GARCH模型,zh_TW
dc.subject.keywordDefault,Credit Risk,Structured Notes,CIR model,GJR-GARCH model,en
dc.relation.page68
dc.rights.note未授權
dc.date.accepted2010-01-19
dc.contributor.author-college管理學院zh_TW
dc.contributor.author-dept財務金融學研究所zh_TW
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