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完整後設資料紀錄
DC 欄位 | 值 | 語言 |
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dc.contributor.advisor | 雷立芬 | |
dc.contributor.author | Hsueh-Tsen Chao | en |
dc.contributor.author | 趙雪岑 | zh_TW |
dc.date.accessioned | 2021-06-08T01:42:36Z | - |
dc.date.copyright | 2016-08-25 | |
dc.date.issued | 2016 | |
dc.date.submitted | 2016-08-18 | |
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dc.identifier.uri | http://tdr.lib.ntu.edu.tw/jspui/handle/123456789/19022 | - |
dc.description.abstract | 近年來世界政府公債總額不斷攀升,引起許多經濟學家擔憂全球債務泡沫,使政府公債對於經濟成長的影響在近年引起全球高度關注,而實證文獻大多證實其兩者之間存在一非線性關係,不論其結論為何,大多傾向於支持高公債水準下會帶來負面經濟影響。
本研究以 2000 至 2014 年間 OECD 34 個樣本國家為觀測對象,利用資料分群方法探討公債比對經濟成長的影響,並讓數據說話找出其最適群集,過去研究較少用此方法進行討論,但跨國縱橫資料當中常存在異質性問題,故本研究採 Lin & Ng(2012)所提出,針對異質性資料所適用的分群方法,讓數據自己找出最適當分群。 研究結果顯示,OECD 國家當中,政府公債占 GDP 比值對於經濟成長的關係皆為負向。利用分群方法得出四組,其中有一組效果為 0,其餘皆為負向關係。研究結果顯示在已開發國家當中,政府公債上升已經無法刺激經濟。與近年諸多實證分析的結果相同。 | zh_TW |
dc.description.abstract | The impact of increasing government debt on growth depends highly on its function and objective. Debt may improve welfare and enhance growth by stimulating consumption; however, an irresponsible increase in debt level may also destroy the foundation of an economy. Currently, most of the empirical literatures have proposed the existence of a nonlinear relationship between debt and economic growth: moreover, an extremely high level of debt to GDP ratio is suggested to be an undesirable factor for long-term development.
This research applies clustering methods to investigate the link between government debt-to-GDP ratio and growth of real GDP per capita in 34 OECD countries over the period from 2000 to 2014. Different sorts of groups are categorized by Cluster Analysis. The empirical results reveal the negative relation between the government debt to GDP ratio and the economic growth in OECD countries: more specifically, three out of four groups categorized by clustering methods hold the negative relation while the impact of the remaining group is neutral. The research suggests that the increase in government bonds may not be a good way to stimulate the economy in developed countries: this implication conform with many recent researches on government debt. | en |
dc.description.provenance | Made available in DSpace on 2021-06-08T01:42:36Z (GMT). No. of bitstreams: 1 ntu-105-R03627026-1.pdf: 1545875 bytes, checksum: 889e7e2dc0185df245646a324ad6f0a7 (MD5) Previous issue date: 2016 | en |
dc.description.tableofcontents | 目錄
謝辭 ............................................................................................................... 1 摘要 ............................................................................................................... 2 Abstract ......................................................................................................... 3 第一章 緒論 ................................................................................................. 8 第一節 研究背景與動機 ...................................................................... 8 第二節 研究目的 .................................................................................. 9 第二章 主要國家或地區政府公債變化與文獻回顧 ............................... 11 第一節 主要國家或地區政府公債變化分析 .................................... 11 第二節 文獻回顧 ................................................................................ 14 第三章 理論模型與實證方法 ................................................................... 18 第一節 理論模型 ................................................................................ 18 第二節 計量方法 ................................................................................ 22 第四章 樣本資料來源與基本統計量分析 ............................................... 32 第一節 資料來源 ................................................................................ 32 第二節 基本統計量分析 .................................................................... 36 第五章 實證結果與分析 ........................................................................... 40 第一節 分組實證結果 ........................................................................ 40 第二節 PSEUDO 分群法與 CK-means 分群法之比較 ................... 42 第三節 分群方法之管道分析 ............................................................ 46 第四節 組內國家分析 ........................................................................ 49 第六章 結論 ............................................................................................... 54 參考文獻 ..................................................................................................... 56 附錄 ............................................................................................................. 60 | |
dc.language.iso | zh-TW | |
dc.title | 政府債務對於經濟成長之群集分析 | zh_TW |
dc.title | Cluster Analysis on Government Debt to Economic Growth | en |
dc.type | Thesis | |
dc.date.schoolyear | 104-2 | |
dc.description.degree | 碩士 | |
dc.contributor.coadvisor | 林常青 | |
dc.contributor.oralexamcommittee | 官俊榮,劉鋼,鄭漢亮 | |
dc.subject.keyword | 公債比,經濟成長,資料分群法,政府公債,追蹤資料, | zh_TW |
dc.subject.keyword | Debt to GDP ratio,economic growth,cluster analysis,government debt,panel data, | en |
dc.relation.page | 67 | |
dc.identifier.doi | 10.6342/NTU201603030 | |
dc.rights.note | 未授權 | |
dc.date.accepted | 2016-08-18 | |
dc.contributor.author-college | 生物資源暨農學院 | zh_TW |
dc.contributor.author-dept | 農業經濟學研究所 | zh_TW |
顯示於系所單位: | 農業經濟學系 |
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