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  1. NTU Theses and Dissertations Repository
  2. 生物資源暨農學院
  3. 農業經濟學系
請用此 Handle URI 來引用此文件: http://tdr.lib.ntu.edu.tw/jspui/handle/123456789/98959
完整後設資料紀錄
DC 欄位值語言
dc.contributor.advisor楊豐安zh_TW
dc.contributor.advisorFeng-An Yangen
dc.contributor.author王俊欽zh_TW
dc.contributor.authorChun-Chin Wangen
dc.date.accessioned2025-08-20T16:26:25Z-
dc.date.available2025-08-21-
dc.date.copyright2025-08-20-
dc.date.issued2025-
dc.date.submitted2025-08-10-
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Cotti, C., & Tefft, N. (2011). Decomposing the relationship between macroeconomic conditions and fatal car crashes during the great recession: alcohol-and non-alcohol-related accidents. The BE Journal of Economic Analysis & Policy, 11(1).
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Vandoros, S., Avendano, M., & Kawachi, I. (2018). The short-term impact of economic uncertainty on motor vehicle collisions. Preventive Medicine, 111, 87-93.
Wang, H., Zhang, J., Wang, L., & Liu, S. (2014). Emotion and investment returns: Situation and personality as moderators in a stock market. Social Behavior and Personality: An International Journal, 42(4), 561-569.
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黃振烜 (2013),駕駛違規與交通事故之關聯分析,國立交通大學管理學院運輸物流學程碩士論文。
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dc.identifier.urihttp://tdr.lib.ntu.edu.tw/jspui/handle/123456789/98959-
dc.description.abstract經濟市場受到負面衝擊時,可能會促使風險趨避行為增加,例如減少交通違規等會造成財物損失的行為。本研究估計臺灣證交所編制之加權股價報酬指數與2011至2019年各鄉鎮市區交通違規數量之間的關聯性,結果發現當期交易日股市報酬每下降1個百分點,臺灣各鄉鎮市區交通違規數量會減少0.3%,而且這種影響是非線性的。一系列的穩健性檢定、證偽檢定也支持本研究對於此關聯性的解釋。此外,我們對交通違規案件中各種不同群體進行異質性分析,結果顯示股市表現與違規停車、闖紅燈、違規爭道等類別之交通違規有顯著的關聯性,而與營業用車駕駛人所參與之交通違規案件無關。且此影響與年紀越大、可支配所得越低之群體的關聯性較大。本研究結果顯示,臺灣股市報酬對於駕駛人降低風險承擔能力的行為具有立即性影響,且此關聯性只存在於股市表現較差的期間。zh_TW
dc.description.abstractIn response to negative economic shocks, risk-averse behaviors may increase, subsequently reducing incidents like traffic violations that lead to property damage. This study estimates the relationship between the TAIEX (Taiwan Stock Exchange Capitalization Weighted Stock Index) Total Return Index and the quantity of traffic violations across townships and districts in Taiwan from 2011 to 2019. We find that for each one percent reduction in stock market returns on the same trading day is associated with a 0.3% decrease in the number of traffic violations, and this effect is asymmetric. A series of robustness checks and falsification tests also support the interpretation of this relationship. Additionally, our analysis of heterogeneity among different groups within traffic violations reveals that stock market performance is related to specific categories of violations such as illegal parking, running red lights, and lane violations, but not to traffic violation cases involving commercial vehicle drivers. Moreover, this impact is more strongly associated with older individuals and those with lower disposable incomes. The results demonstrate that stock market returns have an immediate effect on reducing risk-taking behaviors among drivers in Taiwan, and this relationship only exists during periods of poor stock market performance.en
dc.description.provenanceSubmitted by admin ntu (admin@lib.ntu.edu.tw) on 2025-08-20T16:26:25Z
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dc.description.tableofcontents目次

口試委員會審定書 i
謝辭 ii
摘要 iii
Abstract iv
目次 v
圖次 vii
表次 viii
章節一 緒論 1
1.1 研究動機 1
1.2 研究目的 7
1.3 研究流程 8
章節二 文獻回顧 9
2.1股市波動對心理狀態與情緒影響 9
2.2 駕駛行為相關決定因素 10
2.3 總體經濟環境對道路交通影響 10
2.4 其他相關文獻 11
章節三 資料說明 13
3.1 臺灣交通違規資料 13
3.2 臺灣股市加權股價報酬指數與其他解釋變數 14
3.3 其他控制變數 14
3.4 資料處理 15
3.5 敘述統計 18
章節四 研究方法 19
4.1 固定效果模型 19
章節五 研究結果 21
5.1 固定效果模型迴歸結果 21
5.2 穩健性檢定(Robustness Check) 24
5.3 證偽檢定(Falsification Test) 32
5.4異質性分析 36
5.4.1 不同時間範圍之異質性分析 36
5.4.2 違規類型之異質性分析 37
5.4.3 車輛種類之異質性分析 38
5.4.4 人口特徵之異質性分析 39
5.4.5地區與收入之異質性分析 40
5.5其他模型設定 47
5.5.1 臺灣股市漲跌幅限制 47
5.5.2 其他控制變數 47
章節六 結論 50
6.1 討論與結論 50
6.2 研究限制 52
附錄 59
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dc.language.isozh_TW-
dc.subject交通違規zh_TW
dc.subject異質性zh_TW
dc.subject固定效果zh_TW
dc.subject股票市場zh_TW
dc.subjectStock Marketen
dc.subjectHeterogeneityen
dc.subjectFixed Effectsen
dc.subjectTraffic Violationsen
dc.title臺灣每日股市報酬與交通違規數量之關聯性分析zh_TW
dc.titleThe Association of Daily Stock Market Return Rate with Traffic Violations in Taiwanen
dc.typeThesis-
dc.date.schoolyear113-2-
dc.description.degree碩士-
dc.contributor.coadvisor胡明哲zh_TW
dc.contributor.coadvisorMing-Che Huen
dc.contributor.oralexamcommittee石曜合;區俊傑zh_TW
dc.contributor.oralexamcommitteeYau-Huo Shr;Chon-Kit Aoen
dc.subject.keyword股票市場,交通違規,固定效果,異質性,zh_TW
dc.subject.keywordStock Market,Traffic Violations,Fixed Effects,Heterogeneity,en
dc.relation.page62-
dc.identifier.doi10.6342/NTU202503438-
dc.rights.note未授權-
dc.date.accepted2025-08-13-
dc.contributor.author-college生物資源暨農學院-
dc.contributor.author-dept農業經濟學系-
dc.date.embargo-liftN/A-
顯示於系所單位:農業經濟學系

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