浙江省數位鄉村建設對經濟韌性的影響

Abstract

數位鄉村建設是推動鄉村振興的重要舉措。經濟韌性是經濟系統在面對各種不確定性衝擊時，保持穩定、恢復並實現可持續發展的能力。目前經濟下行壓力加大而且農業面臨著較多挑戰，加強經濟韌性至關重要。數位鄉村建設是振興鄉村的重要方式，於增強經濟韌性具有重要作用。本研究整理前人研究成果，基於韌性理論、新經濟增長理論、產業結構優化理論和可持續發展理論等經濟理論，構建了浙江省數位鄉村建設對經濟韌性影響的分析框架。本研究選取浙江省48個縣域2013—2022年共10年的面板數據，運用熵權法經濟韌性綜合指標，再將推動數位鄉村建設時間作為解釋變數進行分析；此外，導入勞動生產力和城鄉收入為中介變數，探討前兩者的中介效應。研究結果表明：數位鄉村建設對經濟韌性呈正向影響，進一步研究發現，浙江省數位鄉村建設對經濟韌性影響存在縣域異質性。這種影響通過城鄉收入差距和勞動生產力從而影響其經濟韌性。 根據實證發現，本研究提出以下建議：第一，浙江省縣域應加快數位鄉村建設，主要通過完善基礎設施、推動產業數位化轉型、提升農民數位素養等方面，進一步提高數位鄉村建設水準；第二，要提高農村勞動生產力來進一步增強經濟韌性。提高農村勞動生產力需要從技術創新驅動、產業結構優化升級以及完善基礎建設與保障體系等多方面共同進行。第三，要進一步縮小城鄉收入差距來提高經濟韌性。這需要從推動城鄉經濟共同發展、優化社會政策體系以及促進公共服務與資源均衡配置等多方面共同發力。

Digital village development has become a pivotal strategy for modernizing rural governance and advancing sustainable revitalization. Against the backdrop of global economic volatility and sector-specific pressures, economic resilience—denoting agricultural systems' capacity to maintain stability, recover from disruptions, and pursue sustainable growth amid external shocks—holds critical importance. As an essential element of rural revitalization, digital village initiatives play a central role in fortifying such resilience. This research evaluates the impact of rural digitalization on agro-economic resilience in Zhejiang Province, employing a theoretical framework integrating resilience theory, endogenous growth theory, industrial structure optimization theory, and sustainability principles. Utilizing a longitudinal dataset (2013–2022) encompassing 48 counties, we construct unified metrics for digital rural progress, urban-rural income disparity, labor productivity, and economic resilience within an integrated analytical model. Empirical results confirm that digital village construction significantly enhances agricultural economic resilience in Zhejiang. The mechanism operates primarily through narrowing the urban-rural income gap and elevating labor productivity, with pronounced regional heterogeneity observed.