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| DC 欄位 | 值 | 語言 |
|---|---|---|
| dc.contributor.advisor | 李宗穎 | zh_TW |
| dc.contributor.advisor | Chung-Ying Lee | en |
| dc.contributor.author | 周潤明 | zh_TW |
| dc.contributor.author | Jun-Ming Chou | en |
| dc.date.accessioned | 2025-07-03T16:06:30Z | - |
| dc.date.available | 2025-07-04 | - |
| dc.date.copyright | 2025-07-03 | - |
| dc.date.issued | 2025 | - |
| dc.date.submitted | 2025-01-21 | - |
| dc.identifier.citation | 行政院主計總處 (2023)。111年工業及服務業受僱員工全年總薪資中位數及分布統計結果。https://www.dgbas.gov.tw/News_Content.aspx?n=3602&s=232651
行政院全球資訊網 (2023)。財政部青年安心成家購屋優惠貸款精進方案。https://www.ey.gov.tw/File/AD7318DB924D5C39?A=C 李祖福 (2022)。使用民間大數據租屋資料估算消費者物價指數。國立臺灣大學經濟學研究所碩士論文，台北市。https://hdl.handle.net/11296/56tm46 徐芷婕 (2024)。新青安房貸打趴租金?北市2區小宅租不如買。非凡新聞。https://news.ustv.com.tw/newsdetail/20240415A089 徐義平 (2024)。房貸利息逼近社宅租金 新青安帶動「租不如買」。自由時報。https://ec.ltn.com.tw/article/paper/1647825 郭祐誠 (2022)。高房價對跨世代間居住安排之影響。住宅學報，31(1)，63-80。 張詠菡 (2018)。影響臺灣青年人口居住型態之價值觀因素。住宅學報，27(2)，1-37。 游智文 (2024)。該買房還租房？十大「租不如買」區曝光，一半在這縣市。經濟日報。https://www.cw.com.tw/article/5129800 薛立敏、曾喜彭、謝鈺偉 (2007)。台灣地區近年來遷移行為變化之影響因素分析－家戶遷移決策與遷移地點選擇之聯合估計。人口學刊，(34)，69-107。 Ashenfelter, O.C., Hosken, D.S., & Weinberg, M.C. (2013). The price effects of a large merger of manufacturers: A case study of Maytag-Whirlpool. American Economic Journal: Economic Policy, 5(1), 239-61. Baicker, K., & Svoronos, T. (2019). Testing the validity of the single interrupted time series design.(NBER working paper series No.26080). Cambridge, MA: National Bureau of Economic Research. Blijie, H.P. (2004). Residential location choice: The influence of migration and commuting distance. In Colloquium Vervoersplanologisch Speurwerk (Eds.), Proceedings of the 31st Colloquium Vervoersplanologisch Speurwerk: Innovation: from inspiration to realization (pp.95-115). Colloquium Vervoersplanologie Speurwerk. https://www.cvs-congres.nl/cvspdfdocs/cvs0495.pdf Chen, Y.L. (2020). Housing prices never fall: The development of housing finance in Taiwan. Housing Policy Debate, 30(4), 623-639. Chu, S.Y. (2016). Macroeconomic policies and housing market in Taiwan. International Review of Economics & Finance, 58, 404-421. Coleman, A., & Scobie, G.M. (2009). A simple model of housing rental and ownership with policy simulations. (Motu working paper 09-08). Motu Economic and Public Policy Research. Daminger, A. (2021). Subsidies to homeownership and central city rent. (BGPE working paper No.210). Bavarian Graduate Program in Economics. Deurloo, M.C., Clark, W.A.V., & Dieleman, F.M. (1990). Choice of residential environment in the Randstad. Urban Studies, 27(3), 335-351. Feng, S.T., Peng, C.W., Yang, C.H., & Chen, P.W. (2021). Non-linear relationships between house size and price. International Journal of Strategic Property Management, 25(3), 240-253. Pinilla, J. & Negrin, M. (2021). Non-parametric generalized additive models as a tool for evaluating policy interventions. Mathematics, 9(4), 299. Tan, Jolene. (2023). The trifecta of adulthood: Housing, partnering and childbearing trajectories. Advances in life course research, 58, 100577. Yu, C.M., & Chen, P.F. (2018). House prices, mortgage rate, and policy: Megadata analysis in Taipei. Sustainability, 10(4), 926. | - |
| dc.identifier.uri | http://tdr.lib.ntu.edu.tw/jspui/handle/123456789/97583 | - |
| dc.description.abstract | 為了減輕年輕人的購屋負擔，政府於2023年8月1日推出「青年安心成家購屋優惠貸款精進方案」(新青安)。由於新青安大幅降低購屋成本，因此社群媒體時常出現租屋不如買屋的報導，令人不禁關注此政策對租屋市場可能帶來的影響。本文利用新青安實施前後台北市、新北市、桃園市的預售屋買賣及房屋租賃實價登錄資料，並使用中斷時間序列模型分析不同預售屋每坪均價水準的行政區，每坪租金與租屋量在政策實施前後的變化。結果顯示，新青安的實施導致每坪租金下跌2.86%。在預售屋每坪均價低於30萬元的行政區，每坪租金跌幅達到3.47%，租屋量在新青安實施後每月平均下降2.16%。至於預售屋每坪均價在60萬元以上的行政區，每坪租金與租屋量則無顯著變化。 | zh_TW |
| dc.description.abstract | To alleviate the housing burden on young people, the government officially launched the "Enhanced Preferential Housing Loan Program for Youth" (New Ching-An) on August 1, 2023. With New Ching-An substantially reducing the cost of homeownership, discussions on social media frequently emphasize the advantages of buying over renting. This naturally raises concerns about the potential impact of this policy on the rental market. This study utilizes actual transaction data on pre-sale housing and housing rentals in Taipei City, New Taipei City, and Taoyuan City before and after the implementation of New Ching-An. An interrupted time series model is applied to analyze the changes in rental prices per ping and rental volume across districts with different levels of average price per ping for pre-sale housing. The results show that the implementation of New Ching-An led to a 2.86% decrease in rental price per ping. In districts where the average price per ping of pre-sale housing is below NT$300,000, the rental price per ping decreased by 3.47% and rental volume dropped by 2.16% per month on average after the policy started. In contrast, in districts where the average price per ping of pre-sale housing exceeds NT$600,000, there was no significant changes in the rental prices per ping and rental volume. | en |
| dc.description.provenance | Submitted by admin ntu (admin@lib.ntu.edu.tw) on 2025-07-03T16:06:30Z No. of bitstreams: 0 | en |
| dc.description.provenance | Made available in DSpace on 2025-07-03T16:06:30Z (GMT). No. of bitstreams: 0 | en |
| dc.description.tableofcontents | 口試委員審定書 I
摘要 II Abstract III 目次 IV 圖次 V 表次 VI 1 緒論 1 2 新青安政策 3 3 資料來源 6 3.1 房屋租賃之實價登錄資料 6 3.2 預售屋買賣之實價登錄資料 7 4 實證分析 8 4.1 調整後每坪租金 8 4.2 中斷時間序列模型 13 4.3 租屋量 16 5 結論 18 參考文獻 19 附錄 21 | - |
| dc.language.iso | zh_TW | - |
| dc.subject | 租金 | zh_TW |
| dc.subject | 中斷時間序列模型 | zh_TW |
| dc.subject | 新青安 | zh_TW |
| dc.subject | 青年安心成家購屋優惠貸款精進方案 | zh_TW |
| dc.subject | Rental Prices | en |
| dc.subject | Enhanced Preferential Housing Loan Program for Youth | en |
| dc.subject | New Ching-An | en |
| dc.subject | Interrupted Time Series Model | en |
| dc.title | 租客變屋主?房貸補貼與租屋市場 | zh_TW |
| dc.title | Renters to Homeowners? Housing Loan Subsidies and Rental Market | en |
| dc.type | Thesis | - |
| dc.date.schoolyear | 113-1 | - |
| dc.description.degree | 碩士 | - |
| dc.contributor.oralexamcommittee | 許文泰;楊豐安 | zh_TW |
| dc.contributor.oralexamcommittee | Wen-Tai Hsu;Feng-An Yang | en |
| dc.subject.keyword | 青年安心成家購屋優惠貸款精進方案,新青安,中斷時間序列模型,租金, | zh_TW |
| dc.subject.keyword | Enhanced Preferential Housing Loan Program for Youth,New Ching-An,Interrupted Time Series Model,Rental Prices, | en |
| dc.relation.page | 27 | - |
| dc.identifier.doi | 10.6342/NTU202500242 | - |
| dc.rights.note | 同意授權(限校園內公開) | - |
| dc.date.accepted | 2025-01-22 | - |
| dc.contributor.author-college | 社會科學院 | - |
| dc.contributor.author-dept | 經濟學系 | - |
| dc.date.embargo-lift | 2025-07-04 | - |
| 顯示於系所單位： | 經濟學系 | |
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