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http://tdr.lib.ntu.edu.tw/jspui/handle/123456789/90204完整後設資料紀錄
| DC 欄位 | 值 | 語言 |
|---|---|---|
| dc.contributor.advisor | 江淳芳 | zh_TW |
| dc.contributor.advisor | Chun-Fang Chiang | en |
| dc.contributor.author | 黃泓鈞 | zh_TW |
| dc.contributor.author | Hung-Chun Huang | en |
| dc.date.accessioned | 2023-09-22T17:50:48Z | - |
| dc.date.available | 2023-11-09 | - |
| dc.date.copyright | 2023-09-22 | - |
| dc.date.issued | 2023 | - |
| dc.date.submitted | 2023-08-11 | - |
| dc.identifier.citation | Larry M Bartels. Partisanship and voting behavior, 1952-1996. American Journal of Political Science, pages 35–50, 2000.
Larry M Bartels. Beyond the running tally: Partisan bias in political perceptions. Political behavior, 24:117–150, 2002. Jess Benhabib and Mark M Spiegel. Sentiments and economic activity: Evidence from us states. The Economic Journal, 129(618):715–733, 2019. Gordon B Dahl, Runjing Lu, and William Mullins. Partisan fertility and presidential elections. American Economic Review: Insights, 4(4):473–90, 2022. Alan S Gerber and Gregory A Huber. Partisanship and economic behavior: Do partisan differences in economic forecasts predict real economic behavior? American Political Science Review, 103(3):407–426, 2009. Daniel E Ho, Kosuke Imai, Gary King, and Elizabeth A Stuart. Matching as nonparametric preprocessing for reducing model dependence in parametric causal inference. Political analysis, 15(3):199–236, 2007. Chi Huang. Testing partisan effects on economic perceptions: A panel design approach. Journal of Electoral Studies, 25(2), 2018. Austin Horng-En Wang. The myth of polarization among Taiwanese voters: The missing middle. Journal of East Asian Studies, 19(3):275–287, 2019. Tobias Widmann. Fear, hope, and covid-19: Emotional elite rhetoric and its impact on the public during the first wave of the covid-19 pandemic. Political Psychology, 43(5): 827–850, 2022. Yiqing Xu. Generalized synthetic control method: Causal inference with interactive fixed effects models. Political Analysis, 25(1):57–76, 2017. Yiqing Xu and Licheng Liu. gsynth: Generalized Synthetic Control Method, 2022. URL https://yiqingxu.org/packages/gsynth/. R package version 1.2.1. | - |
| dc.identifier.uri | http://tdr.lib.ntu.edu.tw/jspui/handle/123456789/90204 | - |
| dc.description.abstract | 支持不同政黨的人們可能對於不同議題會有不同看法，並依照這些看法來做未來決策，比方說經濟狀況。這篇論文藉由事件分析法（event study）、合成控制（synthetic control），分析台灣2016、2020年兩屆總統大選，發現黨派生育效果（partisan fertility effect），獲勝的選民傾向生育。不過，在連任的2020年，效果並不明顯。2016年，估計的季節平均效果介於每千位女性提高0.048到0.132位小孩；2020年則為0.020。這三個數字分別佔平均的一般生育率（general fertility rate）1.27、3.93，與0.70%。 | zh_TW |
| dc.description.abstract | People with different partisan affiliations may hold contrasting opinions on various topics, such as the state of the economy, and make decisions based on their beliefs. By analyzing the presidential elections of 2016 and 2020, this paper uncovers the presence of partisan fertility effects. This is achieved by implementing the DID event study and synthetic control method. The findings suggest that individuals are more likely to conceive children following the election victory. However, when examining the re-election in 2020, the partisan effect becomes less evident. On average, the estimated quarter effects range from 0.048 to 0.132 per 1,000 women in 2016, and 0.020 in 2020. These represent 1.27%, 3.93%, and 0.70% of the average quarterly general fertility rate, respectively. | en |
| dc.description.provenance | Submitted by admin ntu (admin@lib.ntu.edu.tw) on 2023-09-22T17:50:48Z No. of bitstreams: 0 | en |
| dc.description.provenance | Made available in DSpace on 2023-09-22T17:50:48Z (GMT). No. of bitstreams: 0 | en |
| dc.description.tableofcontents | 口試委員審定書 i
摘要 iii Abstract v Contents vii List of Figures ix List of Tables xi Chapter 1 Introduction 1 Chapter 2 Related Literature 5 Chapter 3 Data and Method 7 3.1 Variable of Interests 7 3.2 Summary Statistics 9 3.3 Identification Strategy 11 3.3.1 DID Event Study 11 3.3.2 Synthetic Control 11 3.4 Matching 13 Chapter 4 Results 19 4.1 DID Event Study 19 4.2 Synthetic Control 21 Chapter 5 Conclusion and Discussion 33 References 35 Appendix A — Mechanism 37 | - |
| dc.language.iso | en | - |
| dc.subject | 政黨傾向 | zh_TW |
| dc.subject | 選舉 | zh_TW |
| dc.subject | 政權交替 | zh_TW |
| dc.subject | 生育 | zh_TW |
| dc.subject | 政治兩極化 | zh_TW |
| dc.subject | Political Polarization | en |
| dc.subject | Election | en |
| dc.subject | Economic Evaluation | en |
| dc.subject | Fertility | en |
| dc.subject | Partisanship | en |
| dc.subject | Transition of Power | en |
| dc.title | 政黨傾向對生育決策的影響：臺灣總統選舉實證 | zh_TW |
| dc.title | Partisan Fertility in Taiwan | en |
| dc.type | Thesis | - |
| dc.date.schoolyear | 111-2 | - |
| dc.description.degree | 碩士 | - |
| dc.contributor.oralexamcommittee | 王貿;樊家忠 | zh_TW |
| dc.contributor.oralexamcommittee | Mao Wang;Chia-Chung Fan | en |
| dc.subject.keyword | 政黨傾向,政權交替,生育,選舉,政治兩極化, | zh_TW |
| dc.subject.keyword | Partisanship,Fertility,Political Polarization,Election,Economic Evaluation,Transition of Power, | en |
| dc.relation.page | 39 | - |
| dc.identifier.doi | 10.6342/NTU202303002 | - |
| dc.rights.note | 同意授權(全球公開) | - |
| dc.date.accepted | 2023-08-11 | - |
| dc.contributor.author-college | 社會科學院 | - |
| dc.contributor.author-dept | 經濟學系 | - |
| 顯示於系所單位： | 經濟學系 | |
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