請用此 Handle URI 來引用此文件：
http://tdr.lib.ntu.edu.tw/jspui/handle/123456789/75561完整後設資料紀錄
| DC 欄位 | 值 | 語言 |
|---|---|---|
| dc.contributor.author | 郭堯斌 | zh_TW |
| dc.date.accessioned | 2021-07-01T08:13:53Z | - |
| dc.date.available | 2021-07-01T08:13:53Z | - |
| dc.date.issued | 1986 | - |
| dc.identifier.citation | 一、 中文書目
王振鵠。圖書選擇法。三版。臺北：臺灣學生書局，民69年。 何光國。「流通系統自動化：一個實例的簡介」。國立中央圖書館館刊。15卷1，2期（民71年12月），頁42-45。 何光國。「論館藏控制」。中國圖書館學會會報。35期（民72年12月），頁107-111。 何光國。「圖書館事業的檢討與展望」。圖書館學刊（輔仁大學）。13期（民73年12月），頁35-40。 呂明珠。「輔仁大學人文科學圖書館：流通統計的分析」。圖書館學刊（輔仁大學）13期（民73年12月），頁57-72。 宋建成。「合作及電腦化的流通服務」。臺北市立圖書館館訊。3卷2期（民74年12月），頁8-9。 餘國燾譯，F. C.密勒著。商用經濟統計方法。二版。臺北：幼獅文化事業公司，民72年。 何鋕仁。「輔仁大學歷史系學生利用圖書館近況的調查與分析」。圖書館學刊（輔仁大學）。6期（民66年6月），頁44-49。 沈寶環。「科學性出版品的選擇問題」。圖書館學報。10期（民58年），頁83-100。 林元興。統計學。八版。臺北：徐氏基金會出版部，民74年。 淩公山。「圖書館業務的督導」。教育資料科學月刊。7卷5，6期（民64年），頁17-19。 唐秀珠。「圖書館應用作業研究方法之探討」。書府。7期（民75年6月），頁65-78。 康春枝譯，Stephen J. Turner。「館藏使用率的評量公式」。?育資料科學月刊。14卷3期（民67年11月），頁30-31。 高新發譯，小?涉著。「圖書館之利用統計」圖書館學報。2期（民49年7月），頁221-243。 高錦雪。「圖書選擇之哲學觀」。?育資料與圖書館學。22卷2期（民73年12月），頁153-178。 高錦雪。圖書館哲學之研究。臺北：書棚出版社，民74年。 翁愛薇，黃競慧，F. W. Lancaster演講。「圖書館的館藏評鑑與文件傳遞服務」。書府。5期（民73年6月），頁9-17。 徐興，張琪城。「由統計數字看輔仁大學圖書館」。圖書館學刊（輔仁大學）6期（民66年6月），頁26-30。 陳世雄。「公共圖書館流通統計的規劃與運用」。臺北市立圖書館館訊。3卷2期（民74年12月），頁24-26。 章以鼎。「閱覽典藏業務努力的新方向」。中國圖書館學會會報。30期（民67年12月），頁151-157。 「國立臺灣大學圖書館學系暨研究所大事記要」。圖書館學刊（臺大）。4期（民74年11月），頁159-178。 莊貞清譯，Sylvia Zizkind著。「?何要統計書籍出借數字」。圖書館學報。9期（民57年5月），頁470-471。 張淳淳。「圖書館經營效能與效率」。圖書館學刊（輔仁大學）。11期（民71年12月），頁34-37。 張慧銖。「我對公共圖書館流通業務的看法」臺北市立圖書館館訊。3卷2期（民74年12月），頁31-33。 張錦郎。「積極展開圖書流通工作」。同前，頁1-5。 劉朱勝。「系館：一塊辛苦經營的園地」。書府。3期（民74年4月），頁77-78。 劉睦雄，張任業同譯。統計與機率導論。四版。臺北：徐氏基金會，民68年。 賴月容。「淺談公共圖書館流通工作問題」。臺北市立圖書館館訊。3卷2期（民74年12），頁20-23。 蔡益超譯。工程或然率。四版。臺北：中國土木水利工程學會，民74年。 蔣篤蒂。「圖書館學系圖書室之規劃」。書府。5期（民73年6月），頁21-25。 盧荷生譯。「圖書館的流通工作」。圖書館學報。3期（民50年7月），頁79-104。 同前。4期（民51年7月），頁269-275。 儲進甲。「圖書館的閱覽工作」。主義與國策。42期（民44年1月），頁39-43。 藍乾章。「明日的圖書館」。圖書館學刊（輔仁大學）。4期（民64年6月），頁3-5。 蘇瑞紋譯，R. A. Davis演講。「資訊資源的控制」。書府。6期（民74年8月），頁15-23。 嚴倚帆。「臺大圖書館學系系圖書室選書政策」。書府。6期（民74年8月），頁123-125。 顧敏。圖書館採訪學。三版。臺北：臺灣學生書局，民72年。 二、 西文書目 Arms, W. Y. and Walter, T. P. A Simulation Model for Purchasing Duplicate Copies in a Library. Journal of Library Automation 7 (1974): 78-82. Baumler, J. V. and Baumler, J. L. A Simulation of Reserve Book Activities in a College Library Using GPSS/360. College and Research Libraries36 (1975): 222-7. Beyer, William H. ed. Standard Mathematical Tables. 25th ed. Ohio: Chemical Rubber., 1979. Bookstein, Abraham. Comments on the Morse-Chen Discussion of Noncirculating Books. Library Quarterly 45 (April 1975): 195-98. -------- Book Reviews on Chen C. C. Journal of Library Automation 1 (June 1977): 197-98. Brophy, Peter; Buckland, Micharl K.; and Hindle, Anthony; eds. Reader in Operations Research for Libraries. Colo.: Information Handling Services, 1979. Bruce, Daniel R. A Markov Model to Study the Loan Dynamics at a Reserve-Loan Desk in a lending Library. Library Quarterly 45 (1975): 161-78. Bulick, Stephen; Montgomery, K. Leon; Fetterman, John; Kent, Allen. Use of Library Materials in Terms of Age. Journal of the American Societty for Information Science 27 (May/June 1976): 175-78. Burrell, Quentin. A Simple Stochastic Model for Library Loans. Journal of Document 36 (June 1980): 115-32. -------- The 80/20 Rule: Library Lore or Statistical Law Journal of Documentation 41 (March 1985): 24-39. Cane, V. R. Making Room for Books. Library Review 28 (Autumn 1979): 148-50. Chen, Ching-chih. The Use Patterns of Physics Journals in a Large Academic Research Library. Journal of the American Society for Information Science 23 (July/August 1972): 254-70. --------Applications of Operations Reseearch Models to Libraries. Mass.: MIT Press, 1976. ------- Quantitative Measurement and Dynamic Library Service. Arizona: Oryx Press, 1978. Fussler, H. H., and Simon, J. L. Patterns in the Use of Books in Large Research Libraries. Chicago: University of Chicago Press, 1961. Gapen, D. Kaye. Obsolescence. Library Trends 30 (Summer 1981): 107-24. Gaver, Donald P., and Thompson, Gerald L. Programming and Probability Models in Operations Research. Call.: Wadsworth Publishing Co., 1973. Gillett, Billy E. Introduction to Operations Research: A Computer-Oriented Algorithmic Approach. New York: McGraw-Hill, 1976. Glover, Fred, and Klingman, Darwin. Mathematical Programming Models and Methods for the Journal Selection Problems. The Library Quarterly 42 (Jan. 1972): 43-58. Golden, Barbara. A Method for Quantitatively Evaluating A University Library Collection. Library Resources and Technical Services 18 (Summer 1974): 268-74. Gosnell, Charles F. Obsolescence of Books in College Libraries. Collection Management 2 (Summer 1978): 167-82. Grant, Robert S. Predicting the Need for Multiple Copies of Books. Journal of Library Automation 4 (June 1971): 64-71. Heinritz, F. J. Quantitative Management in Libraries. College and Reseearch LIbraries 31 (July 1970): 232-38. Hillier, Frederick S., and Lieberman, Gerald J. Introduction to Operations Research. 3rd ed. Cali.: Holden-Day, 1980. Hindle, A. Markov Models of Book Obsolescences. Information Processing and Management 15 (1979): 17-18. Hindle, A., and Worthington, D. Documentation Note: Simple Stochastic Models for Library Loans. Journal of Documentation 36 (Sept. 1980): 209-13. Ho, James. Is the Larger the Better A Quatitative Analysis of Sixteen University Libraries in the Republic of China. Journal of Educational Media and Library Sciences 22 (June 1985): 295-328. Hoffman, Andrea C. Monograph Duplication in the Kresge Center for Teaching Resources at Lesley College. In Quantitative Measurement and Dynamic Library Service, pp. 225-244. ed. by Ching-chih Chen. Arizona: Oryx Press, 1978. Ifidon, Sam E. Qualitative/Quantitative Evaluation of Academic Library Collections: A Literature Survey. International Library Review 8 (1976): 299-308. Jain, A. K. Simpling and Short-period Usage in the Purdue Library. College and Reseearch Library 27 (May 1966): 211-18. ------- Sampling and Data Collection Methods for a Book-Use Study. Library Quarterly 39 (July 1969): 245-52. Jenks, George M. Book Selection: An Approach for Small and Medium-sized Libraries. College and Research Libraries 33 (Jan. 1972): 28-30. Kantor, Paul B. On the Stability of Distributions of the Type Described by Trueswell. College and Research Libraries 41 (Nov. 1980): 514-16. Kent, Allen, et al. Use of Library Materials. New York: Marcel Dekker, 1979. Kilgour, Frederic G. Recorded Use of Books in the Yale Medical Library. American Documentation 12 (Oct. 1961): 266-69. Lancaster, F. W. The Measurement and Evaluation of Library Services. Washington, D. C.: Information Resources Press, 1977. Leimkuhler, F. F. Mathematical Models for Library Systems Analysis. Drexel Library Quarterly 4 (July 1968): 185-96. ------- On Information Storage Models. In Reader in Operations Research for Libraries, pp. 81-85. Ed. by Brophy Peter et al. Colo.: Information Handling Servics, 1976. ------- Book Reviews on Chen C. C. Special Libraries 68 (March 1977): 138-39. Line, Manrice B., and Sandison, A. Obsolescencse and Changes in the Use of Literature with Time. Journal of Documentation 30 (1974): 283-350. Loucks, Daniel P.; Stedinger, Jery R.; and Haith, Douglas A. Water Resource Systems Planning and Analysis. N.J.: Prentice-Hall, 1981. McGrath, William E. The Significance of Books Used According to a Classified Profile of Academic Departments. College and Research Libraries 33 (May 1972): 212-19. ------- Two Models for Predicting Subject Circulation: A Contribution to the Allocation Problem. Journal of the American Society for Information Science 30 (Sept. 1979): 264-68. McInnis, R. Marvin. The Formula Approach to Library Size: An Empirical Study of Its Efficacy in Evaluating Research Libraries. College and Research Libraries 33 (May 1972): 190-98. Morse, Philip M. Library Effectiveness: A System Approach. Mass.: MIT Press, 1969. ------- Search Theory and Browsing. Library Quarterly 41 (Oct. 1970): 391-408. ------- Measures of Library Effectiveness. Library Quarterly 42 (Jan. 1972): 15-30. Morse, Philip M., and Chen, Ching-chih. Using Circulation Desk Data to Obtain Unbiased Estimates of Book Use. Library Quarterly 45 (April 1975): 179-94. Mount, Ellis, and Fasana, Paul. An Approach to the Measurement of Use and Cost of a Large Academic Research Library System: A Report of a Study Done at Columbia University Libraries. College and Research Libraries 33 (May 1972): 199-211. Parker, Ralph H. Bibliometric Models for Management of an Information Store. Ⅰ. Differential Utility among Items. Journal of the American Society for Information Science 33 (May 1982): 124-28. Parker, Ralph H. Bibliometric Models for Management of an Information Store. Ⅱ. Use as a Function of Age of Material. Journal of the American Society for Information Science 33 (May 1982): 129-33. ------- Bibliometric Models for Management of an Information Store. Ⅲ. Developing an Empirical Model. Journal of the American Society for Information Science 33 (May 1982): 134-38. Pierce, J. An Empirical Approach to the Allocation of the University Library Book Budget. Collection Management 2 (1978): 39-58. Raffel, Jeffrey A., Shishko, Robert. Systematic Analysis of University Libraries: An Application of Cost-Benefit Analysis to the MIT Libraries. Mass.: MIT Press, 1969. Rouse, William B. Book Review [on C. C. Chen.] Journal of the American Society for Information Science 27 (Sept./Oct. 1976): 349. Rurrell, Quentin. A Simple Stochastic Model for Library Loans. Journal of Documentation 36 (June 1980): 115-32. Schad, Jasper G. Allocating Book Fund: Control or Planning. College and Research Libraries 31 (May 1970): 155-59. Seymour, C. A. Weeding the Collection: A Review of Research on Identifying Obsolete Stock Monographs. Libri 22 (1972): 137-48. Shaw, W. M. Computer Simulation of the Circulation Subsystem of a Library. Journal of the American Society for Information Science 26 (Sept./Oct. 1975): 271-79. ------- Loan Period Distribution in Academic Libraries. Information Processing and Management 12 (1976): 157-59. ------- Library-User Interface: A Simulation of the Circulation Subsystem. Information Processing and Management 12 (1976): 77-91. Sichel, H. S. A Bibliometric Distribution Which Really Works. Journal of the American Society for Information Science 36 (Sept. 1985): 314-21. Simon, Julian L. How Many Books Should Be Stored Where An Economic Analysis. College and Research Libraries 28 (March 1967): 92-103. Sinha, B. K., and Clelland, Richard C. Application of a Collection-Control Model for Science Libraries. Journal of the American Society for Information Science 27 (Sept./Oct. 1976): 320-28. Sivazlian, B. D. Analysis of Systems in Operations Research. New Jersey: Prentice-Hall, 1975. Slote, Stanley J. Weeding Library Collecstioins. Colo.: Libraries Unlimited, 1975. Spurlick, Sandra, and Yen, Zllen. A Sutdy of Life Science Book Use in the MIT Science LIbrary: Budgetary Implications. In Quantitative Measurement and Dynamic Library Service, pp. 200-221. Ed. by Ching-Chih Chen. Arizona: Oryx Press, 1978. Swihart, Stanley J., and Hafley, Beryl F. Computer Systems in the library: A Handbook for Managers and Designers. Trueswell, Richard W. Two Characteristics of Circulation and Their Effecst on the Implementation of Mechanised Circulation Control Systems. College and Research Libraries 25 (July 1964): 285-91. ------- A Quantitative Measure of User Circulation Requirements and Its Possible Effect on Stack Thinning and Multiple Copy Determination. American Documentation 16 (Jan. 1965): 20-25. ------- Simulating Circulation-Use Characteristic Curves Using Circulation Data. Journal of the American Society for Information Science 30 (March 1979): 83-87. Turner, Stephen J. A Formula for Estimating Collecstion Use. College and Research Libraries 38 (Nov. 1977): 509-13. ------- Trueswell's Weeding Technique: The Facts. College and Research Libraries 41 (March 1980): 134-38. ------- The Identifier Method of Measuring Use as Applied to Modeling the Circulation Use of Books from a University Library. Journal of the American Society for Information Science 28 (March 1977): 96-100. Voigt, Melvin J. Circulation Studies Cannot Reflect Research Use. Journal of Academic Librarianship 5 (May 1979): 66. Young, Heartsill, ed. The ALA Glossary of Library and Information Science. Chicago: ALA, 1983. Sichel, H. S. A Bibliometric Distribution Which Really Works. Journal of the American Society for Information Science 36 (Sept. 1985): 314-21. Simon, Julian L. How Many Books Should Be Stored Where An Economic Analysis. College and Research Libraries 28 (March 1967): 92-103. Sinha, B. K., and Clelland, Richard C. Application of a Collection-Control Model for Science Libraries. Journal of the American Society for Information Science 27 (Sept./Oct. 1976): 320-28. Sivazlian, B. D. Analysis of Systems in Operations Research. New Jersey: Prentice-Hall, 1975. Slote, Stanley J. Weeding Library Collecstioins. Colo.: Libraries Unlimited, 1975. Spurlick, Sandra, and Yen, Zllen. A Sutdy of Life Science Book Use in the MIT Science LIbrary: Budgetary Implications. In Quantitative Measurement and Dynamic Library Service, pp. 200-221. Ed. by Ching-Chih Chen. Arizona: Oryx Press, 1978. Swihart, Stanley J., and Hafley, Beryl F. Computer Systems in the library: A Handbook for Managers and Designers. Trueswell, Richard W. Two Characteristics of Circulation and Their Effecst on the Implementation of Mechanised Circulation Control Systems. College and Research Libraries 25 (July 1964): 285-91. ------- A Quantitative Measure of User Circulation Requirements and Its Possible Effect on Stack Thinning and Multiple Copy Determination. American Documentation 16 (Jan. 1965): 20-25. ------- Simulating Circulation-Use Characteristic Curves Using Circulation Data. Journal of the American Society for Information Science 30 (March 1979): 83-87. Turner, Stephen J. A Formula for Estimating Collecstion Use. College and Research Libraries 38 (Nov. 1977): 509-13. ------- Trueswell's Weeding Technique: The Facts. College and Research Libraries 41 (March 1980): 134-38. ------- The Identifier Method of Measuring Use as Applied to Modeling the Circulation Use of Books from a University Library. Journal of the American Society for Information Science 28 (March 1977): 96-100. Voigt, Melvin J. Circulation Studies Cannot Reflect Research Use. Journal of Academic Librarianship 5 (May 1979): 66. Young, Heartsill, ed. The ALA Glossary of Library and Information Science. Chicago: ALA, 1983. | - |
| dc.identifier.uri | http://tdr.lib.ntu.edu.tw/jspui/handle/123456789/75561 | - |
| dc.description.abstract | ?此資訊爆炸時代，大量圖書湧入圖書館，造成館藏空間不足的問題，解決之道就是進行有效的館藏控制，要控制首先要能做館藏使用的預測。本論文即是探討圖書流通預測模式之一的摩斯－馬柯夫模式應用於台大圖書館學系所實習圖書室的有效程度。基本假設?：「用摩斯－馬柯夫模式預測系館流通量的結果與實際流通量並無顯著差異。」結果發現當樣本中均有由低到高次被借記錄及樣本數達千冊以上時，該模式所得理論?與實際圖書流通?相差較小，也就是應用該模式的限制條件。在此條件之下，可肯定系館圖書流通情形合乎本論文之假設。
除此之外，並由收集的資料中分析了系館圖書使用的部份現象。結果發現：指定參考書被指定之前後學年流通情形以零次使用?最多，不合摩斯－馬柯夫的說法，?得另做研究；入館達十年以上的圖書其零次使用情形?最多；研究所成立後平均圖書使用率有所增加。 本論文研究結果可作?系館進一步研究館藏控制之依據、本研究方法亦可供他館參考。 | zh_TW |
| dc.description.provenance | Made available in DSpace on 2021-07-01T08:13:53Z (GMT). No. of bitstreams: 0
Previous issue date: 1986 | en |
| dc.description.tableofcontents | 感謝辭……………………………………………………………………………………………………………Ⅰ
摘 要……………………………………………………………………………………………………………Ⅲ 目 次……………………………………………………………………………………………………………Ⅳ 圖表目次…………………………………………………………………………………………………………Ⅵ 第一章 緒論……………………………………………………………………………………………………1 第一節 問題陳述……………………………………………………………………………………………1 第二節 研究目的與假設……………………………………………………………………………………3 第三節 研究範圍與限制……………………………………………………………………………………4 第四節 研究方法與程式……………………………………………………………………………………4 第五節 術語解釋……………………………………………………………………………………………7 第二章 文獻分析………………………………………………………………………………………………10 第一節 各種圖書流通預測模式的簡介……………………………………………………………………11 第二節 摩斯－馬柯夫模式的介紹…………………………………………………………………………13 第三節 摩斯－陳模式的評述文獻及該模式應用的介紹…………………………………………………23 一、摩斯－陳模式的評述文獻……………………………………………………………………………23 二、摩斯－陳模式的應用…………………………………………………………………………………25 第三章 模式的測試與資料的研析……………………………………………………………………………33 第一節 系館簡介……………………………………………………………………………………………33 第二節 測試方法……………………………………………………………………………………………35 一、資料收集……………………………………………………………………………………………35 二、樣本範圍……………………………………………………………………………………………37 三、登錄方式……………………………………………………………………………………………37 四、建檔方式……………………………………………………………………………………………40 五、程式設計……………………………………………………………………………………………41 第三節 結果分析……………………………………………………………………………………………47 第四節 其他流通現象的研究………………………………………………………………………………51 一、指定參考書…………………………………………………………………………………………51 二、零次流通的圖書……………………………………………………………………………………54 三、研究所成立前後圖書的利用情形…………………………………………………………………56 第四章 結論與建議……………………………………………………………………………………………59 第一節 結論…………………………………………………………………………………………………59 第二節 建議…………………………………………………………………………………………………61 附錄一 不列?樣本的可流通書籍……………………………………………………………………………63 附錄二 公式（2-9）的推導……………………………………………………………………………………64 附錄三 書類代碼與分類碼對照表……………………………………………………………………………66 附錄四 程式A（摩斯-馬柯夫模式之一）……………………………………………………………………68 附錄五 程式B（摩斯-馬柯夫模式之二）……………………………………………………………………74 參考書目…………………………………………………………………………………………………………81 | - |
| dc.language.iso | zh-TW | - |
| dc.title | 摩斯—馬柯夫模式的研究：國立臺灣大學圖書館學系暨研究所實習圖書室流通之個案調查 | zh_TW |
| dc.date.schoolyear | 74-2 | - |
| dc.description.degree | 碩士 | - |
| dc.relation.page | 89 | - |
| dc.rights.note | 未授權 | - |
| dc.contributor.author-dept | 文學院 | zh_TW |
| dc.contributor.author-dept | 圖書館學研究所 | zh_TW |
| 顯示於系所單位： | 圖書資訊學系 | |
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