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標題: | 政黨輪替與政治環境差距如何影響貿易:臺灣追蹤資料實證分析 How Do Party Alternation and the Gap in Political Environment Affect Trade: An Empirical Analysis Based on Taiwan Panel Data. |
作者: | Fang-Tzu Liao 廖芳慈 |
指導教授: | 周治邦(Jyh-Bang Jou) |
關鍵字: | 政黨輪替,政治發展,政治差距,國際貿易,引力模型,追蹤資料, Party alternation,Political development,Political gap,International trade,Gravity model,Panel data, |
出版年 : | 2019 |
學位: | 碩士 |
摘要: | 雖然政治與貿易的關係緊緊相扣,但研究政治如何影響貿易的文獻相當有限,加之臺灣在國際上特殊的政治關係,使得更少文獻研究臺灣政治如何影響貿易。本研究以引力模型為基礎,並以1984年至2017年臺灣與三十個主要貿易夥伴的追蹤資料進行分析。本研究將與臺灣政治相關的變數分為三類:首先,以國民黨與民進黨執政時期來代表對中國進行貿易態度的差異;其二,探討國家內部政治發展對貿易的影響;最後,探討臺灣政治發展與他國政治發展的差距如何影響臺灣與其他國家間的貿易。
實證結果顯示,國民黨執政時期的經貿政策相較民進黨執政時期更能促進臺灣與貿易國的雙邊貿易值、進口值與出口值。其次,在國家內部政治發展部分,臺灣政治環境越自由越能促進進口;而臺灣貪腐程度越高以及貿易國貪腐程度越高,越能促進臺灣與貿易國間的雙邊貿易值、進口值與出口值。最後,臺灣與貿易國民主化程度的差距越大越能促進彼此間的雙邊貿易值與進口值。 Even though politics and trade are closely related, there are only few studies on the impact of politics on trade. In addition, because of the unique political status of Taiwan in the international community, there are very few empirical studies investigating the impact of Taiwan’s political situation on trade. Based on gravity model this research analyzes the panel data 30 major trading partners of Taiwan from 1984 to 2017. In this study, I divide the variables related to Taiwan’s politics into three categories: First, difference in trade attitude toward China during the KMT and DPP administration; second, the impact of internal political development on trade; and lastly, how does the gap of political development in Taiwan with respect to other countries affect Taiwan’s trade with foreign countries. My empirical result shows that compared to DPP administration, the trading policy under KMT administration promotes more bilateral trading value, import value and export value with foreign partners. Moreover, in terms of internal political development, a free political environment raises imports. However, when Taiwan and its trading partners corrupt more, their bilateral trading value, import value and export value increase. Lastly, when the gap in democratization between Taiwan and its trading partners differentiate more, the bilateral trading value, import value also increase. |
URI: | http://tdr.lib.ntu.edu.tw/jspui/handle/123456789/74486 |
DOI: | 10.6342/NTU201902767 |
全文授權: | 有償授權 |
顯示於系所單位: | 國家發展研究所 |
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