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| DC 欄位 | 值 | 語言 |
|---|---|---|
| dc.contributor.advisor | 雷立芬(Li- Fen Lei) | |
| dc.contributor.author | ALIEU GIBBA | en |
| dc.contributor.author | 紀艾柳 | zh_TW |
| dc.date.accessioned | 2021-06-16T16:06:05Z | - |
| dc.date.available | 2013-07-03 | |
| dc.date.copyright | 2013-07-03 | |
| dc.date.issued | 2013 | |
| dc.date.submitted | 2013-06-18 | |
| dc.identifier.citation | Abual-Foul, B. (2004). 'Testing the Export-led Growth Hypothesis: Evidence from Jordan'. Applied Economics Letters, 11(6): 393-396.
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| dc.identifier.uri | http://tdr.lib.ntu.edu.tw/jspui/handle/123456789/62632 | - |
| dc.description.abstract | The objective of this thesis was to examine the causal relationship between exports and economic growth (GDP) in The Gambia using annual data for the period 1980-2010. Dynamic econometric models were estimated to test for time series properties: unit root (ADF) and Co-Integration (Johansen’s procedure).
With this (time series) data, a relationship is established between GDP and manufacturing exports using an Error Correction Model (ECM). The empirical analysis suggested that the examined variables present a unit root. On this basis, the Johansen co-integration test analysis was used to lead to long-run equilibrium relationships among these variables. Then the methodology of error correction model (ECM) was applied to estimate the short-run and the long-run relationships between export and GDP. Through the Granger causality test, we can infer that there is a unidirectional causal relationship between export and GDP. The thesis used time series econometric techniques to test for the causal linkage between exports and economic growth in The Gambia. The results of the unit root tests showed that most of the series are stationary in first differences (series in levels have unit root—I(1)). According to the ECM results, the R-squared is found to be 63.49%. This statistically means that The Gambia’s economic growth (GDP) can be explained by its total export at a rate of 63.49%, showing that export is a good determinant of economic growth in The Gambia. | en |
| dc.description.provenance | Made available in DSpace on 2021-06-16T16:06:05Z (GMT). No. of bitstreams: 1 ntu-102-R00627044-1.pdf: 3002277 bytes, checksum: 58cd71af0dea2e806940eaee7526aa87 (MD5) Previous issue date: 2013 | en |
| dc.description.tableofcontents | Acknowledgements......................................... i
Dedication...............................................ii Abstract iii List of Tables............................................vi List of Figures..........................................vii Abbreviations...........................................viii Chapter I. Introduction.............................- 1 - 1.1. Background and Motivation....................- 2 - 1.2. Objectives of The Study......................- 6 - 1.3. Limitations of The Study.....................- 7 - Chapter II. Literature Review........................- 8 - 2.1. Literature Review on Economic Growth and Exports .............................................- 9 - 2.2. Main Theories on Determinants of Economic Growth and Productivity......................................- 14 - 2.3. Determinants of Economic Performance........- 16 - 2.4. The Error Correction Model (ECM)............- 19 - 2.5. Summary of the Literature Review............- 21 - Chapter III. An Overview of The Gambia Groundnut Industry and Other Regions............................- 22 - 3.1. An Overview of the Groundnut Industry.......- 22 - 3.2. Global Trade and Dynamics of Market Shares..- 24 - 3.3. Groundnut Policies of Key African Exporters.- 28 - 3.4. Groundnut Production In West Africa.........- 31 - 3.5. Groundnut Trade Policies of High-income Importers.............................................- 41 - 3.6. Revitalization of the Groundnut Sector in West Africa (The Gambia, Guinea Bissau and Senegal).......- 42 - 3.7. Constraints of The Gambia Groundnut Sector..- 46 - 3.8. Revitalization of The Groundnut Sector ......- 47 - Chapter IV. Research Methodology...................- 49 - 4.1. Unit root and The Augmented Dickey- Fuller (ADF) Test..................................................- 50 - 4.2. Co-integration Tests: Johansen’s Procedure.............................................- 54 - 4.3. Econometric Model Specification.............- 57 - Chapter V. Data and Empirical Results Analysis.....- 59 - 5.1. Data Source and Process.....................- 59 - 5.2. Empirical Results and Discussions...........- 63 - 5.3. The Forecasting of The Economic Situation of The Gambia................................................- 71 - Chapter VI. Conclusions and Policy Implications - 73 - 6.1. Concluding Remarks..........................- 73 - 6.2. Policy Implications.........................- 75 - References............................................- 77 - Appendix..............................................- 83 - | |
| dc.language.iso | en | |
| dc.title | 出口為甘比亞經濟成長決定因素之研究：以花生產業為例 | zh_TW |
| dc.title | A Study on Exports as a Determinant of Economic Growth in The Gambia: The Case of the Groundnut Industry | en |
| dc.type | Thesis | |
| dc.date.schoolyear | 101-2 | |
| dc.description.degree | 碩士 | |
| dc.contributor.coadvisor | 李?浡(Pai-Po Lee) | |
| dc.contributor.oralexamcommittee | 官俊榮(Jerome Geaun),張?雯(Wei-Wen Vera Chang) | |
| dc.subject.keyword | Co-Integration,Econometric Models,Economic Growth (GDP),Error Correction Model(ECM),The Gambia,Unit Root(ADF), | zh_TW |
| dc.relation.page | 108 | |
| dc.rights.note | 有償授權 | |
| dc.date.accepted | 2013-06-19 | |
| dc.contributor.author-college | 生物資源暨農學院 | zh_TW |
| dc.contributor.author-dept | 農業經濟學研究所 | zh_TW |
| 顯示於系所單位： | 農業經濟學系 | |
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