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請用此 Handle URI 來引用此文件: http://tdr.lib.ntu.edu.tw/jspui/handle/123456789/62127
完整後設資料紀錄
DC 欄位值語言
dc.contributor.advisor吳亨德(Hendrik Rommeswinkel)
dc.contributor.authorHao Wuen
dc.contributor.author吳昊zh_TW
dc.date.accessioned2021-06-16T13:29:13Z-
dc.date.available2020-07-15
dc.date.copyright2020-07-15
dc.date.issued2020
dc.date.submitted2020-06-17
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dc.identifier.urihttp://tdr.lib.ntu.edu.tw/jspui/handle/123456789/62127-
dc.description.abstract本文藉由模型分析以探討中央銀行面對「無知之幕」時,對貨幣政策的選擇問題,意即在模型中,政策制定者僅能獲得與消費行為和生產力衝擊相關之資訊,而無從得知消費者的效用函數。關於在此限制下政策制定者的偏好,本文提出與之相應的價值函數以供政策評估,並將其應用於比較價格平抑(Price Stability)、產出平抑(Output Stability) 和通貨膨脹目標制(Inflation Targeting) 三政策在新凱因斯(New Keynesian) 模型中之均衡結果。在我們的評估標準下,價格平抑和產出平抑會在不同參數條件下物有優劣,因為政策制定者在缺乏效用函數資訊下無法精確計算出產出缺口。即便如此,在考量到對現實世界的參數估計後,我們發現在數值模擬得出的最適政策中,價格平抑仍遠較產出平抑為重要。zh_TW
dc.description.abstractWe analyze the problem of the choice of a central bank constitution. We model the decision problem as a choice behind a veil of ignorance in which the policy maker only receives information about predicted behavior of agents under different policies.
We derive a policy criterion that only relies on this information and is robust to misspecification of the utilitarian welfare function. We compare price stabilization, output stabilization, and inflation targeting in a standard new Keynesian model with Calvo price staggering. Under our policy criterion, the policy maker perceives a tradeoff between output stabilization and price stabilization. The reason is that in the absence of knowledge about a utilitarian welfare function, stabilizing the natural level of output is not normatively desirable. Despite these findings, we show that for numerical approximations of parameters the utilitarian results of the standard new Keynesian model are suprisingly robust — the optimal policy under our criterion places a strong emphasis on price stability.
en
dc.description.provenanceMade available in DSpace on 2021-06-16T13:29:13Z (GMT). No. of bitstreams: 1
ntu-109-R06323019-1.pdf: 696445 bytes, checksum: ca1b00efcaca5d9f6d7870b1a44c5204 (MD5)
Previous issue date: 2020
en
dc.description.tableofcontents1 Introduction 1
2 Literature Review 5
3 Normative Framework 7
4 The Model 14
4.1 Consumer . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14
4.2 Firms . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16
4.3 Equilibrium . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 19
5 Results 20
5.1 Mutual Information for Mixture Distributions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 20
5.2 Constant Price . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 22
5.3 Constant Output . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 23
5.4 Comparison of Price and Output Stabilization . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 24
5.5 Inflation targeting . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 25
6 Conclusion 28
Bibliography 29
Appendices 32
A Formal Definitions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 32
B Proof of Theorem 1 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 34
C Derivation of (5.3) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 36
D Proof of Proposition 1 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 36
E Proof of Proposition 2 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 38
F Proof of Proposition 3 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 39
G Proof of Corollary 3.1 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 40
dc.language.isoen
dc.title「無知之幕」後的貨幣政策zh_TW
dc.titleMonetary Policy Behind the Veil of Ignoranceen
dc.typeThesis
dc.date.schoolyear108-2
dc.description.degree碩士
dc.contributor.oralexamcommittee陳虹如(Hung-Ju Chen),蘇軒立(Hsuan-Li Su)
dc.subject.keyword貨幣政策,貨幣憲法,無知之幕,穩健性,選擇自由,政策評估標準,zh_TW
dc.subject.keywordMonetary Policy,Monetary Constitution,Veil of Ignorance,Robustness,Freedom of Choice,Policy Criteria,en
dc.relation.page41
dc.identifier.doi10.6342/NTU202001035
dc.rights.note有償授權
dc.date.accepted2020-06-18
dc.contributor.author-college社會科學院zh_TW
dc.contributor.author-dept經濟學研究所zh_TW
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