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  1. NTU Theses and Dissertations Repository
  2. 理學院
  3. 地理環境資源學系
請用此 Handle URI 來引用此文件: http://tdr.lib.ntu.edu.tw/jspui/handle/123456789/60801
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dc.contributor.advisor賴進貴(Jinn-Guey Lay)
dc.contributor.authorYi-Yao Chiuen
dc.contributor.author邱奕堯zh_TW
dc.date.accessioned2021-06-16T10:30:47Z-
dc.date.available2014-08-20
dc.date.copyright2013-08-20
dc.date.issued2013
dc.date.submitted2013-08-14
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dc.identifier.urihttp://tdr.lib.ntu.edu.tw/jspui/handle/123456789/60801-
dc.description.abstract偵測犯罪熱點對於犯罪研究一直以來都是很重要的議題。近年來關於時空交互作用的分析方法越來越受重視,而偵測時空群聚方法已被證明能有效地了解犯罪動態現象。本研究使用地理資訊系統與SaTScan軟體,進行時空分析來偵測台北市2010年傷害罪與住宅竊盜罪的時空分布現象,並進一步視覺化繪製成犯罪地圖。在了解時空中犯罪的分布特性後,進而利用區位分析驗證犯罪學理論。在實務上,本研究冀望能提供給決策者支援如何制訂有效地犯罪防治政策來嚇阻犯罪,提升治安層級。犯罪區位分析發現犯罪群聚內外的區位特性確實存在著差異,位於犯罪群聚內的鄰里,社會解組程度通常較高。社會解組理論中的「家庭破裂」指標有較佳的預測犯罪效力,離婚人口比率高的鄰里,較易形成犯罪群聚。關於日常生活理論部分,「合適的目標」與「監控能力」此兩項指標在統計上具有犯罪預測效力,但「有動機的犯罪者」指標中的變項則與犯罪群聚現象皆無顯著關連。zh_TW
dc.description.abstractDetecting crime hotspot is always an important issue in crime research. In recent years, the analysis of space-time interactions is getting more and more popular. Indeed, exploring space-time cluster which adds a temporal dimension to traditional spatial cluster analysis or time series analysis has been proven to be effective in detecting crime dynamic. This paper thus aims to use this method to study crime in Taipei City in 2010. Using Geographic Information System (GIS) and SaTScan software, this study runs space-time analysis to investigate spatial and temporal patterns of assault and burglary as well as visualize space-time crime patterns in crime maps. The overall objective of this study is to detect time-space clusters of crimes, and examine the theories of crime by crime location analysis. It is expected the result of this study can assist policymakers and researchers in planning crime reduction projects and generating advanced theories to explore crimes. The results indicate that specific characteristics are different inside and outside the cluster region. For social disorganization theory, neighborhoods located within the cluster which often with high levels of social disorganization. “Family disrupt” is the strongest predictor of crime: neighborhoods with high rates of divorce population have more chances to create crime clusters. For routine activity theory, “Suitable target” and “Capable guardian” are the strongest predictors of crime, whereas “Motivated offender” is not significantly associated with crime.en
dc.description.provenanceMade available in DSpace on 2021-06-16T10:30:47Z (GMT). No. of bitstreams: 1
ntu-102-R00228021-1.pdf: 3583413 bytes, checksum: 78eb4fe5752f7b81140f9fe8bce96a65 (MD5)
Previous issue date: 2013
en
dc.description.tableofcontents第一章 緒論 1
第一節 研究背景與動機 1
第二節 研究目的 2
第三節 研究對象 3
第二章 文獻回顧 7
第一節 犯罪地圖 8
第二節 犯罪學理論 10
第三節 區位分析 19
第三章 研究設計 23
第一節 研究流程 23
第二節 研究假設 24
第三節 研究材料 25
第四節 研究方法 28
第四節 研究限制 32
第四章 研究結果與討論 34
第一節 時間序列分析 34
第二節 空間分析 38
第三節 時空分析 43
第四節 區位分析 49
第五節 小結 58
第五章 結論與建議 59
第一節 結論 59
第二節 建議 60
參考文獻 61
附錄一 66
附錄二 68
附錄三 76
附錄四 77
dc.language.isozh-TW
dc.subject犯罪地圖zh_TW
dc.subject時空分析zh_TW
dc.subject視覺化zh_TW
dc.subject犯罪區位分析zh_TW
dc.subjectSaTScanzh_TW
dc.subjectcrime mapen
dc.subjectvisualizationen
dc.subjectcrime location analysisen
dc.subjectSaTScanen
dc.subjectspace-time analysisen
dc.title台北市犯罪現象之時空分析zh_TW
dc.titleSpace-time Analysis of Crime in Taipei Cityen
dc.typeThesis
dc.date.schoolyear101-2
dc.description.degree碩士
dc.contributor.oralexamcommittee鄧志松(Chih-Sung Teng),溫在弘(Tzai-Hung Wen)
dc.subject.keyword犯罪地圖,時空分析,視覺化,犯罪區位分析,SaTScan,zh_TW
dc.subject.keywordcrime map,space-time analysis,visualization,crime location analysis,SaTScan,en
dc.relation.page81
dc.rights.note有償授權
dc.date.accepted2013-08-15
dc.contributor.author-college理學院zh_TW
dc.contributor.author-dept地理環境資源學研究所zh_TW
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