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| DC 欄位 | 值 | 語言 |
|---|---|---|
| dc.contributor.advisor | 吳齊殷 | |
| dc.contributor.author | Yi-Sin Chen | en |
| dc.contributor.author | 陳怡馨 | zh_TW |
| dc.date.accessioned | 2021-06-16T08:20:58Z | - |
| dc.date.available | 2019-03-18 | |
| dc.date.copyright | 2014-03-18 | |
| dc.date.issued | 2013 | |
| dc.date.submitted | 2014-01-28 | |
| dc.identifier.citation | 內政部社會司，2011，〈老人福利與政策〉。Ｈhttp://sowf.moi.gov.tw/04/01.htm，
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| dc.identifier.uri | http://tdr.lib.ntu.edu.tw/jspui/handle/123456789/58585 | - |
| dc.description.abstract | 婚姻對健康的影響是人口學和家庭社會學研究的重要議題。然而，多數婚姻狀態對死亡風險之影響效應的研究，並未處理婚姻選擇效果，或是處理方式未能有效校正婚姻選擇性所產生的估計偏誤。且過去研究受限於調查時間，未能蒐集受訪者婚姻的動態變化性，因而可能產生「婚姻狀態對死亡風險影響」的估計偏誤。為突破上述研究限制，本研究著重於婚姻保護論的觀點，排除或校正婚姻選擇性的影響，並以婚姻的動態變化為觀察，以1989年至2007年「台灣地區中老年身心社會生活狀況長期追蹤調查」（Taiwan Longitudinal Study on Aging；簡稱TLSA）六波資料及其個案存活檔進行實證分析，以瞭解臺灣中老年的婚姻狀態對死亡風險的影響。採用反事實因果推論法（counterfactual model of causality），並使用處理機率倒數加權法（IPTW）與限控機率倒數加權法（IPCW）排除或校正婚姻選擇性與存活研究資料限控的問題，以邊際結構之Cox 比例風險迴歸模型，以釐清中老年的婚姻狀態對其健康的影響（以死亡風險為測量），並闡釋婚姻保護效果的真相。
主要研究發現分別為：研究分析發現：一、在未處理婚姻選擇效果時，中老年中已婚者的死亡風險較離婚、喪偶者小；二、經校正調整婚姻選擇性效果後，中老年已婚者仍有較低的死亡風險，但其死亡風險比與未校正前者有所不同；三、不論是男性樣本或女性樣本，皆發現中老年已婚者死亡風險較小。故「婚姻保護論」在台灣中老年的群體中獲得支持。未來婚姻與健康研究除仍需處理選擇性問題外，可考慮應用反事實因果推論法，回應婚姻健康效益因果推論所面臨的問題。 | zh_TW |
| dc.description.provenance | Made available in DSpace on 2021-06-16T08:20:58Z (GMT). No. of bitstreams: 1 ntu-102-R99325014-1.pdf: 5761935 bytes, checksum: 5c63b531b98ecda5252d358de5381e27 (MD5) Previous issue date: 2013 | en |
| dc.description.tableofcontents | 謝辭 II
摘要 IV Abstract V 圖目錄 VIII 表目錄 IX 第一章 前言 1 1.1 研究背景與目的 1 1.2 研究重要性 10 第二章 文獻與研究假設 12 2.1 兩種對婚姻狀態與死亡風險的詮釋 12 2.1.1 婚姻保護論（Marriage Protection Perspective） 12 2.1.2 婚姻選擇論（Marriage Selection Perspective） 15 2.2 中老年婚姻狀態與死亡風險的經驗研究結果 19 2.2.1 未處理選擇效果之研究 21 2.2.1 處理選擇效果之研究 24 2.3 婚姻健康效益之性別研究 30 2.4 婚姻與健康研究方法的討論 33 2.4.1 過去婚姻與健康研究分析方法存在之問題 33 2.4.2 傳統迴歸控制方法的限制 35 2.4.3 本研究之分析策略 38 第三章 研究設計 40 3.1 資料來源及研究對象 40 3.2 變項測量 43 3.2.1 依變項：死亡風險 43 3.2.2 隨時間變動之自變項 43 3.2.3 不隨時間變動之自變項 45 3.3 資料處理與樣本清理流程 48 3.4 分析方法與模型 51 3.4.1 婚姻健康效益的因果推論 51 3.4.2 婚姻狀態與死亡風險 55 第四章 資料分析結果 61 4.1 研究樣本基本特性 61 4.2 婚姻狀態與死亡風險 64 4.2.1 KM存活曲線圖 64 4.2.2 Cox 比例風險迴歸分析 66 第五章 結論與討論 73 5.1 結論 73 5.2 討論 76 5.3 未來研究建議 78 5.4 實務政策建議 80 參考文獻 82 附錄 89 | |
| dc.language.iso | zh-TW | |
| dc.title | 台灣中老年之婚姻狀態與死亡風險 | zh_TW |
| dc.title | Marital Status and Mortality among the Middle Aged and Elderly People in Taiwan | en |
| dc.type | Thesis | |
| dc.date.schoolyear | 102-1 | |
| dc.description.degree | 碩士 | |
| dc.contributor.coadvisor | 孫中興 | |
| dc.contributor.oralexamcommittee | 周玉慧,謝雨生 | |
| dc.subject.keyword | 婚姻保護論,死亡風險,反事實因果推論法,處理機率倒數加權法（IPTW）,設限機率倒數加權法（IPCW）,事件史分析, | zh_TW |
| dc.subject.keyword | marriage protection theory,mortality,counterfactual model of causality,inverse probability of treatment weighted (IPTW),inverse probability of censoring weighted (IPCW),event history analysis, | en |
| dc.relation.page | 98 | |
| dc.rights.note | 有償授權 | |
| dc.date.accepted | 2014-01-29 | |
| dc.contributor.author-college | 社會科學院 | zh_TW |
| dc.contributor.author-dept | 社會學研究所 | zh_TW |
| 顯示於系所單位： | 社會學系 | |
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