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| DC 欄位 | 值 | 語言 |
|---|---|---|
| dc.contributor.advisor | 朱子豪 | |
| dc.contributor.author | Joost Kuckartz | en |
| dc.contributor.author | 古卡茲 | zh_TW |
| dc.date.accessioned | 2021-06-15T07:02:36Z | - |
| dc.date.available | 2011-01-17 | |
| dc.date.copyright | 2011-01-17 | |
| dc.date.issued | 2011 | |
| dc.date.submitted | 2011-01-13 | |
| dc.identifier.citation | Aberson, S. D. (1998). Five-day tropical cyclone track forecasts in the North Atlantic basin. Weather and Forecasting, 13, 1005–1015.
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| dc.identifier.uri | http://tdr.lib.ntu.edu.tw/jspui/handle/123456789/48570 | - |
| dc.description.abstract | Tropical cyclones are one of the most devastating weather events on earth. Much effort has gone into the prediction of its path and intensity but sudden changes are not yet possible to predict. A definition for a sudden track change is presented by statistical evaluation of historical tropical cyclones of the West-Pacific basin, done by three-point extrapolation and real versus extrapolation differences. Nine historical tropical cyclones are selected for evaluation of MTSAT-1R geostationary satellite imagery toward sudden track change indicators. Animations are created and evaluated for the detection of external forces on tropical cyclones and temporal data is extracted in a new extraction technique to find possible precursor indicators of sudden track change. Indicators of a sudden track change are validated by using the method on eight tropical cyclones between 2007 and 2009. Two programs, one focused on GIS for the statistical evaluation and one focused on remote sensing for image transformation and data extraction, are developed to assist in the process. For four tropical cyclones main airflows are evaluated and the temporal data extraction technique is demonstrated on the tropical cyclone’s cloud distribution for finding indicators of a sudden track change. The results of this research can assist in a better understanding of the influence of clouds on tropical cyclones and the programs are developed for easy adjustment in future research. | en |
| dc.description.provenance | Made available in DSpace on 2021-06-15T07:02:36Z (GMT). No. of bitstreams: 1 ntu-100-R97228025-1.pdf: 127985556 bytes, checksum: 212efefbeda9436910ad448cef1f8c5f (MD5) Previous issue date: 2011 | en |
| dc.description.tableofcontents | List of Tables 5
List of Figures 6 1 Introduction 11 1.1 The Many Facets of Cyclones . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11 1.2 Research to Sudden Track Change . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13 1.3 Overview of This Thesis . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 15 2 Tropical Cyclones 16 2.1 Description . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16 2.2 Atmospheric Models . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 18 2.3 Prediction Models . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 22 2.4 Global Warming . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 25 2.5 Geography . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 26 3 Literature Review 28 3.1 Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 28 3.2 Sudden Track Change Definition . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 29 3.3 Satellite Imagery in Meteorology . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 31 3.4 Tools and Algorithms for Satellite Data . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 37 3.5 Spatio-Temporal Analysis and Display . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 39 4 Method Development 44 4.1 Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 44 4.2 Statistical Data Finding . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 45 4.3 Satellite Imagery Preparation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 47 4.4 Data Handling and Profiles . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 53 5 Research Results 56 5.1 Best-track GIS Program . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 56 5.2 Definition of Sudden Track Change . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 60 5.3 Tropical Cyclone Selection . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 64 5.4 Animation and External Forces Evaluation . . . . . . . . . . . . . 72 5.4.1 Pabuk, 2007 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 73 5.4.2 Lupit, 2009 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 76 5.4.3 Krosa, 2007 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 84 5.4.4 Sinlaku, 2008 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 91 5.4.5 Comparison . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 96 5.5 Spatio-temporal Multispectral Program . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 98 5.6 Satellite Imagery Preparation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 103 5.7 Extracted Cyclone Profiles and Evaluation . . . . . . . . . . . . . 105 5.7.1 Pabuk, 2007 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 109 5.7.2 Lupit, 2009 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 114 5.7.3 Krosa, 2007 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 120 5.7.4 Sinlaku, 2008 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 123 5.7.5 Comparison . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 129 5.7.6 Validation and Method Usage . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 130 6 Conclusion and Recommendations 147 6.1 Conclusion . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 147 6.2 Recommendations . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 151 Bibliography 153 A Abbreviations 162 B MTSAT Conversion Tables 163 | |
| dc.language.iso | en | |
| dc.title | Tropical Cyclone Sudden Track Change Detection by Best-Track Data and Satellite Imagery Evaluation | zh_TW |
| dc.type | Thesis | |
| dc.date.schoolyear | 99-1 | |
| dc.description.degree | 碩士 | |
| dc.contributor.oralexamcommittee | 孫志鴻,李瑞陽 | |
| dc.subject.keyword | 颱風, | zh_TW |
| dc.subject.keyword | Tropical Cyclone,Hurricane,Typhoon,Sudden Change,Best-Track,Turn Detection,Spatio-Temporal Data Extraction,Spatio-Temporal Data Evaluation,Satellite Imagery Evaluation,MTSAT-1R, | en |
| dc.relation.page | 173 | |
| dc.rights.note | 有償授權 | |
| dc.date.accepted | 2011-01-13 | |
| dc.contributor.author-college | 理學院 | zh_TW |
| dc.contributor.author-dept | 地理環境資源學研究所 | zh_TW |
| 顯示於系所單位： | 地理環境資源學系 | |
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