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| DC 欄位 | 值 | 語言 |
|---|---|---|
| dc.contributor.advisor | 賴進貴(Jinn-Guey Lay) | |
| dc.contributor.author | Shu-Ting Yang | en |
| dc.contributor.author | 楊書婷 | zh_TW |
| dc.date.accessioned | 2021-06-08T07:18:24Z | - |
| dc.date.copyright | 2008-08-05 | |
| dc.date.issued | 2008 | |
| dc.date.submitted | 2008-07-25 | |
| dc.identifier.citation | 參考文獻
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| dc.identifier.uri | http://tdr.lib.ntu.edu.tw/jspui/handle/123456789/26633 | - |
| dc.description.abstract | 土地利用變遷機制與發展預測模式，是近幾年來土地利用變遷研究的主要方向之一。傳統以統計模式所建構之土地利用變遷模式，往往基於線性的假設進行分析，然而由於土地利用變遷作用力在空間上的呈現，存在著空間異質性 ( spatial heterogeneity )的問題，因而必然是非線性且不均質的，這使得基於線性假設所建立的變遷模式可能與真實情況不符。因此，本研究透過檢視空間異質性問題來說明非線性模式在土地利用變遷研究上的應用性。本研究選擇一線性模式( 邏輯迴歸模式 )，以及一非線性模式( 決策樹模式, C5.0 )。藉由此兩種方法，分別針對新竹市1982-1988 年以及1988-1994 年兩時期之都市建地發展建立估測模式。本研究主要關注兩類與空間異質性有關的現象，分別為平均化效應，以及模式估計殘差的空間聚集現象。而透過比較此二模式之預測正確性與殘差的空間分佈情形，可具體檢視空間異質性問題對此兩類模式所造成的影響。研究結果顯示，無論在模擬兩個時期新增建地之模式估計成效，或預測新建地發生的熱點位置上，決策樹的表現都較邏輯迴歸更符合真實情況。結果也顯示，對於線性模式而言，空間異質性的確明顯地影響了模式的估測效益，也說明在空間異質性的影響下，非線性模式在土地利用研究上具有相當的應用價值。 | zh_TW |
| dc.description.abstract | The processes and driving forces of landscape evolution are the main research interests of land-use and land-cover change. The linear regression model has been widely used in previous researches. However, land-use change is occasionally non-linear and heterogeneous in time and space. The linear model is supposed to estimate overall conditions without considering the uniqueness/outlier in a concerned area. This study focuses on the effects of spatial heterogeneous on the land-use change modeling. Two major effects, averaging effects and spatial autocorrelation of the residuals are explored from modeling results which correlates to spatial heterogeneity. Specifically, we used a linear model ( logistic regression model ) and a non-linear model ( decision tree model, C5.0 ) to simulate the expansion of building areas ( 1982-1994 ) in Hsin-Chu City, Taiwan. As shown in the result, the decision model performs better than the logit model. Because of the averaging effect and spatial autocorrelation of the residuals, the logit model has higher uncertainties and lower predictabilities within the discrete built hotspots. In summary, this research suggests the spatial heterogeneous effects can be effectively embedded in the non-linear models ( e.g. the decision tree model ) that lead better potential and applicability for the land-use change modeling. | en |
| dc.description.provenance | Made available in DSpace on 2021-06-08T07:18:24Z (GMT). No. of bitstreams: 1 ntu-97-R94228014-1.pdf: 4273217 bytes, checksum: 09540fc26c10844c1558fea03eefe7b2 (MD5) Previous issue date: 2008 | en |
| dc.description.tableofcontents | 第一章 緒論 1
第一節 研究背景與動機 1 第二節 研究目的 2 第二章 文獻回顧 4 第一節 土地利用與地面覆蓋變遷研究 4 第二節 土地利用變遷驅動力因子 7 第三節 土地利用變遷模式 12 第四節 空間異質性問題 15 第三章 研究方法 17 第一節 研究架構與流程 17 一、 研究架構 17 二、 研究流程 17 第二節 研究區概述 21 第三節 模式理論 22 一、邏輯迴歸模式 22 二、決策樹模式 23 第四節 模式解釋變量 25 第五節 資料蒐集與處理 29 一、資料蒐集 29 二、土地利用空間資料庫建置 33 三、資料篩選 34 四、空間隨機抽樣 34 第六節 模式訓練與驗證 35 第四章 研究結果與討論 37 第一節 新竹市建地擴張變遷模式 37 一、 邏輯迴歸模式 37 二、 決策樹模式C5.0 41 三、 模式表現差異 46 第二節 空間異質性問題 50 一、 平均化效應 50 第五章 結論與建議 56 參考文獻 57 附錄 64 | |
| dc.language.iso | zh-TW | |
| dc.subject | 決策樹C5.0 | zh_TW |
| dc.subject | 空間異質性 | zh_TW |
| dc.subject | 土地利用變遷 | zh_TW |
| dc.subject | 邏輯式迴歸分析 | zh_TW |
| dc.subject | land-use change | en |
| dc.subject | Decision tree C5.0 | en |
| dc.subject | logistic regression | en |
| dc.subject | spatial heterogeneity | en |
| dc.title | 空間異質性對土地利用變遷模式的影響：新竹市個案研究 | zh_TW |
| dc.title | The Effects of Spatial Heterogeneity on Land-Use Change Model: A Case Study in Hsin-Chu City | en |
| dc.type | Thesis | |
| dc.date.schoolyear | 96-2 | |
| dc.description.degree | 碩士 | |
| dc.contributor.oralexamcommittee | 朱子豪(Tzu-How Chu),何猷賓(Yo-Bin Ho) | |
| dc.subject.keyword | 土地利用變遷,空間異質性,決策樹C5.0,邏輯式迴歸分析, | zh_TW |
| dc.subject.keyword | land-use change,spatial heterogeneity,Decision tree C5.0,logistic regression, | en |
| dc.relation.page | 62 | |
| dc.rights.note | 未授權 | |
| dc.date.accepted | 2008-07-28 | |
| dc.contributor.author-college | 理學院 | zh_TW |
| dc.contributor.author-dept | 地理環境資源學研究所 | zh_TW |
| 顯示於系所單位： | 地理環境資源學系 | |
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