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  1. NTU Theses and Dissertations Repository
  2. 管理學院
  3. 財務金融學系
請用此 Handle URI 來引用此文件: http://tdr.lib.ntu.edu.tw/jspui/handle/123456789/22619
完整後設資料紀錄
DC 欄位值語言
dc.contributor.advisor王耀輝
dc.contributor.authorShih-Yi Wenen
dc.contributor.author溫士懿zh_TW
dc.date.accessioned2021-06-08T04:22:32Z-
dc.date.copyright2010-07-16
dc.date.issued2010
dc.date.submitted2010-07-02
dc.identifier.citationAckert, L. and Y. Tian (1998). 'The introduction of Toronto index participation units and arbitrage opportunities in the Toronto 35 index option market.' The Journal of Derivatives 5(4): 44-53.

Ahoniemi, K. (2008). 'Modeling and Forecasting Implied Volatility.' working paper Helsinki School of Economics
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Back, K. (1993). 'Asymmetric information and options.' Review of Financial Studies 6(3): 435-472.
Battalio, R. and P. Schultz (2006). 'Options and the bubble.' Journal of Finance 61(5): 2071¡V2102.

Biais, B. and P. Hillion (1994). 'Insider and liquidity trading in stock and options markets.' Review of Financial Studies 7(4): 743-780.
Bollerslev, T. (1986). 'Generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity.' Journal of econometrics 31(3): 307-327.
Brennan, M. and H. Cao (1996). 'Information, trade, and derivative securities.' Review of Financial Studies 9(1): 163-208.
Brooks, C. and M. Oozeer (2002). 'Modelling the implied volatility of options on long gilt futures.' Journal of Business Finance & Accounting 29(1 & 2): 111-137.
Cao, H. (1999). 'The effect of derivative assets on information acquisition and price behavior in a rational expectations equilibrium.' Review of Financial Studies ' 12(1): 131.
Carr, P. and R. Lee (2007). 'Realized volatility and variance: Options via swaps.' Risk 20(5): 76-83.
Chakravarty, S., H. Gulen and S., Mayhew. (2004). 'Informed trading in stock and option markets.' Journal of Finance: 1235-1257.
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Chance, D. (1987). 'Parity tests of index options.' Advances in Futures and Options Research 2: 47-64.
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Davidson III, W., J. Kim and E. Ors, (2001). 'Using implied volatility on options to measure the relation between asset returns and variability.' Journal of Banking & Finance 25(7): 1245-1269.
Detemple, J. and C. Osakwe (2000). 'The valuation of volatility options.' Review of Finance 4(1): 21.
Diba, B. and H. Grossman (1988). 'Explosive rational bubbles in stock prices?' The American Economic Review 78(3): 520-530.
Easley, D. M. O'hara and P. Srinivas,. (1998). 'Option volume and stock prices: Evidence on where informed traders trade.' Journal of Finance 53(2): 431-465.
Eraker, B. and M. Johannes (2003). 'The impact of jumps in volatility and returns.' Journal of Finance 58(3): 1269-1300.
Evnine, J. and A. Rudd (1985). 'Index options: the early evidence.' Journal of Finance 40(3): 743-756.

Fernandes, M. and M. Medeiros (2007). 'Modeling and predicting the CBOE market volatility index.' Unpublished Paper, Portificia Universidade Catolics do Rio de Janeiro.
Grunbichler, A. and F. Longstaff (1996). 'Valuing futures and options on volatility.' Journal of Banking and Finance 20(6): 985-1001.

Guidolin, M. and A. Timmermann (1999). 'Option prices and implied volatility dynamics under Bayesian learning.' forthcoming Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control.
Harvey, C. and R. Whaley (1992). 'Market volatility prediction and the efficiency of the S & P 100 index option market* 1.' Journal of Financial Economics 31(1): 43-73.

Kamara, A. and T. Miller Jr (1995). 'Daily and intradaily tests of European put-call parity.' Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis 30(4): 519-539.

Konstantinidi, E. and, G. Skiadopoulos. (2008). 'Can the evolution of implied volatility be forecasted? Evidence from European and US implied volatility indices.' Journal of Banking & Finance 32(11): 2401-2411.
Kumar, R. and A. Sarin (1992). 'The behavior of option price around large block transactions in the underlying security.' Journal of Finance 47(3): 879-889.

Lamont, O. and R. Thaler (2003). 'Can the market add and subtract? Mispricing in tech stock carve outs.' Journal of Political Economy 111(2).

Lin, Y. and C. Chang (2009). 'VIX option pricing.' Journal of Futures Markets 29(6): 523-543.
Manaster, S. and R. Rendleman Jr (1982). 'Option prices as predictors of equilibrium stock prices.' Journal of Finance 37(4): 1043-1057.
Mixon, S. (2002). 'Factors explaining movements in the implied volatility surface.' Journal of Futures Markets 22(10): 915-937.
Ofek, E. and M. Richardson (2003). 'DotCom mania: The rise and fall of internet stock prices.' Journal of Finance: 1113-1137.

Ofek, E., M. Richardson, and M. Whitelaw. (2004). 'Limited arbitrage and short sales restrictions: evidence from the options markets* 1.' Journal of Financial Economics 74(2): 305-342.
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Stephan, J. and R. Whaley (1990). 'Intraday price change and trading volume relations in the stock and stock option markets.' Journal of Finance: 191-220.

Wang, Z. and R. Daigler(2010). 'The Performance of VIX Options Pricing Models: Empirical Evidence Beyond Simulation.' Journal of futures market, forthcoming
Whaley, R. (2000). 'The investor fear gauge.' The Journal of Portfolio Management 26(3): 12-17.
dc.identifier.urihttp://tdr.lib.ntu.edu.tw/jspui/handle/123456789/22619-
dc.description.abstract本文研究VIX 選擇權的隱含波動度價差和未來VIX變化的關係,發現VIX選擇權隱含波動度價差與未來VIX指數變化有正向關係。並利用加入美國S&P 500 以及 MSCI EAFE Index 當作額外經濟解釋變數的ARIMA(1,1,1)模型以及 Probit 模型來預測VIX 指數未來變動。本文發現將VIX選擇權的隱含波動度價差加入模型中可以增強模型對於預測未來VIX的能力。zh_TW
dc.description.provenanceMade available in DSpace on 2021-06-08T04:22:32Z (GMT). No. of bitstreams: 1
ntu-99-R97723061-1.pdf: 416131 bytes, checksum: bc8ae12ce3711508fe4cbae92cebf142 (MD5)
Previous issue date: 2010
en
dc.description.tableofcontentsContent
中文摘要 i
Abstract ii
Chapter I. Introduction 1
Chapter II. Literature Review 6
Chapter III. Theoretical Foundation 9
3.1 VIX options 9
3.2 Implied volatility spread 14
Chapter IV. Data and Methodology 16
4.1 Data 16
4.2 Linear model 19
4.3. Probit model 21
4.4 Forecasts 23
Chapter V. Empirical Results 25
5.1 Simple Regression Analysis 25
5.2 ARIMA (1,1,1) and Probit model 28
with additional variables 28
5.3 Forecasted results 34
5.4 Trading Strategy based on the Forecasted results 37
Chapter VI. Conclusion 40
6.1 Conclusion 40
6.2 Further Research 41
Reference 42
dc.language.isoen
dc.subject波動率指數zh_TW
dc.subject隱含波動度zh_TW
dc.subjectVIX選擇權zh_TW
dc.subjectimplied volatilityen
dc.subjectVIX optionen
dc.subjectVIX indexen
dc.titleVIX選擇權隱含波動度價差與未來VIX指數變動之關係zh_TW
dc.titleThe relation between the Volatility Spreads of VIX options and the future change of VIX indexen
dc.typeThesis
dc.date.schoolyear98-2
dc.description.degree碩士
dc.contributor.oralexamcommittee張傳章,張森林,石百達
dc.subject.keyword波動率指數,隱含波動度,VIX選擇權,zh_TW
dc.subject.keywordVIX index,implied volatility,VIX option,en
dc.relation.page45
dc.rights.note未授權
dc.date.accepted2010-07-02
dc.contributor.author-college管理學院zh_TW
dc.contributor.author-dept財務金融學研究所zh_TW
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