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| DC 欄位 | 值 | 語言 |
|---|---|---|
| dc.contributor.advisor | 陳建煒(K. Arnold Chan),賴美淑(Mei-Shu Lai) | |
| dc.contributor.author | Pei-Chun Chiang | en |
| dc.contributor.author | 江佩純 | zh_TW |
| dc.date.accessioned | 2021-06-08T00:48:18Z | - |
| dc.date.copyright | 2015-09-14 | |
| dc.date.issued | 2015 | |
| dc.date.submitted | 2015-07-21 | |
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| dc.identifier.uri | http://tdr.lib.ntu.edu.tw/jspui/handle/123456789/18005 | - |
| dc.description.abstract | 研究背景:
2011 年起,美國食品藥物管理局(U.S. Food and Drug Administration, FDA) 開始核准了一系列直接抗病毒藥物,用於治療C 型肝炎。在國外臨床試驗的數據顯示,此類藥物比上目前的C 型肝炎標準療法-聚乙二醇干擾素加上雷巴威林(peginterferon plus ribavirin, PR) 對於C 型肝炎的療效較佳。目前直接抗病毒藥物皆尚未納入健保給付,而直接抗病毒藥物們高昂的藥價,需要再更多的研究評估是否它們值得納入健保給付。 研究目的: 此研究評估以下四種含直接抗病毒藥物的療法用於臺灣地區之前治療失敗的C型肝炎第一型病人,比上目前的標準C 型肝炎療法(PR)是否具有成本效益:博賽波維加上聚乙二醇干擾素和雷巴威林(boceprevir and peginterferon plus ribavirin, BOC+ PR)、思美匹維加上索非布維(simeprevir+ sofosbuvir, SMV+SOF)、索非布維加上雷迪帕維(sofosbuvir/ledipasvir, SOF+LDV)以及歐比它維、佩利它匹維、利托納維此三種藥物組成的複方錠劑加上達沙逼維和雷巴威林(ombitasvir/paritaprevir/ritonavir+ dasabuvir and ribavirin, AOD+RBV) 方法: 本研究為成本效果分析(cost-effectiveness analysis),採用健保署觀點及折現率為3%,使用馬可夫模型 (Markov model)來模擬C 型肝炎之肝病病程,以推估符合治療條件之五十歲病人的終身醫療成本與效果。由於直接抗病毒藥物大部分尚未獲得健保給付,無法取得台灣市場價格的藥品由美國藥價估計之,並進行單維及機率性敏感度分析評估結果之不確定性。 結果: 模型模擬之結果顯示,各組治療臺灣C 型肝炎第一型且曾治療失敗病人每人平均存活人年數(life-years)及品質校正生活年(QALYs)如下: BOC+ PR: 18.16 life-years/ 16.67 QALYs; AOD+RBV: 19.72 life-years/ 18.41 QALYs; SOF+LDV: 19.73 life-years/ 18.43 QALYs; SMV+SOF: 19.53 life-years/ 18.22 QALYs。而相較於目前C型肝炎標準療法(PR)的遞增成本效益比值(ICER)如下: BOC+ PR, 324,416 NTD/QALY; AOD+RBV, 721,381 NTD/QALY; SOF+LDV, 803,281 NTD/QALY, SMV+SOF 1,571,000 NTD/QALY。 結論: 在本研究中的基礎方案中,假設遞增成本效益比值之閾值為臺灣之一倍人均GDP(NT$62, 3871)時,可稱BOC+PR 此療法具有成本效益。而在無干擾素療法(peginterferon free therapies)中, 此三種療法比上目前標準療法的遞增成本效益比值皆超過臺灣之一倍人均GDP。但目前台灣尚未對遞增成本效益比值之閾值有所共識,故含直接抗病毒藥物的療法是否具有成本效益尚待討論。此外,未來還需更多財務衝擊等研究,以便 政策制定者參考。 | zh_TW |
| dc.description.abstract | Background
A new era in hepatitis C treatment has emerged since the approval of some direct acting antivirals (DAAs) in the U.S. from 2011. Evidence from randomized controlled trials of DAA-based therapies shows higher efficacy than current standard of care(peginterferon plus ribavirin). DAAs are not reimbursed by National Health Insurance (NHI) in Taiwan yet. Despite of high efficacy of DAAs, their high acquisition costs may cause concerns for reimbursement in Taiwan. Objective This study aims to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of four kinds of DAAs-containing regimens (BOC+ PR, boceprevir and peginterferon plus ribavirin; SMV+SOF, simeprevir+ sofosbuvir; SOF+LDV, sofosbuvir/ledipasvir; AOD+RBV, ombitasvir/paritaprevir/ritonavir+ dasabuvir and ribavirin) by comparing with current standard of care (PR) for previous treatment-failure HCV genotype 1 patients in Taiwan. Methods A Markov model was developed to simulate progression of hepatitis C infection and to estimate the long-term health outcomes, quality-adjusted-life-years (QALYs), life-time costs of per HCV patient. Age of the treatment eligible hypothetical cohort was 50 years old. Due to lack of the NHI-reimbursed price of the four DAAs, drug costs were estimated by current market prices in Taiwan or wholesale acquisition costs in America. Time horizon was set to be life-time. We adopted the payer’s perspective and considered only direct medical costs. One-way sensitivity analysis and probabilistic sensitivity analysis were also carried out to account for uncertainty. Results In the treatment-failure HCV genotype 1 patients in Taiwan, the DAAs therapies increased the total long-term health outcomes and QALYs compared with PR. (BOC+ PR: 18.16 life-years/ 16.67 QALYs; AOD+RBV: 19.72 life-years/ 18.41 QALYs; SOF+LDV: 19.73 life-years/ 18.43 QALYs; SMV+SOF: 19.53 life-years/ 18.22 QALYs). The respective incremental cost effectiveness ratio compared to PR: BOC+ PR, 324,416 NTD/QALY; AOD+RBV, 721,381 NTD/QALY; SOF+LDV, 803,281 NTD/QALY, SMV+SOF 1,571,000 NTD/QALY. Conclusions In this study, the BOC+PR therapy is cost-effective compared to PR in the base case under the threshold of 1 GDP per capita in Taiwan (1 GDP per capita =NT$623,871). The ICERs of interferon free regimens are higher than 1 GDP per capita. There is no consensus of ICER threshold in Taiwan yet, whether the DAAs therapies are cost-effective or not still waits for consensus. In addition, we recommend that more research like budget impact are needed for policy makers. | en |
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| dc.description.tableofcontents | 中文摘要 ii
Abstract iv List of Abbreviations vii I. Introduction 1 I.1 Epidemiology of hepatitis C 1 I.2 HCV treatment evolution 3 I.3 Motivation of study 7 II. Literature review 9 II.1 Efficacy 9 II.1.1 Clinical indicator 9 II.1.2 Peginterferon plus ribavirin (PR) 10 II.1.3 Boceprevir plus peginterferon and ribavirin (BOC+PR) 12 II.1.3.1 RESPOND-2 13 II.1.3.2 PROVIDE 13 II.1.3.3 NCT01390844 14 II.1.4 Simeprevir plus sofosbuvir (SMV+SOF) 15 II.1.4.1 COSMOS 15 II.1.5 Sofosbuvir plus ledipasvir (SOF+LDV) 15 II.1.5.1 ION-2 16 II.1.6 Ombitasvir+ paritaprevir+ ritonavir+ dasabuvir +ribavirin(AOD+RBV) 16 II.1.6.1 SAPPHIRE-II 17 II.2 Health economic analysis 18 II.2.1 Modeling approach 18 II.2.2 Utility and cost during treatment 18 II.2.3 Health economic results 20 II.3 ICER threshold 21 II.4 Research gaps and study aim 23 III. Materials and methods 24 III.1 One year decision tree 24 III.2 Markov model 24 III.3 Study assumptions 25 III.4 Data sources 27 III.4.1 Transition probabilities 27 III.4.1.1 Disease transition probability 27 III.4.1.1.1 Transition probabilities of fibrosis stage in F0-F3 to the next stage 28 III.4.1.1.2 F4 to DCC, HCC or liver related death 28 III.4.1.1.3 F4 with SVR to DCC, HCC and liver related death 30 III.4.1.1.4 Decompensated cirrhosis to HCC, liver transplantation, and liver related death 31 III.4.1.1.5 HCC to liver transplant and liver related death 31 III.4.1.1.6 Liver transplant to liver related death in first year and after the first year 32 III.4.1.2 Mortality 34 III.4.2 Cost 34 III.4.2.1 Drug cost 35 III.4.2.1.1 PR 35 III.4.2.1.2 BOC+PR 36 III.4.2.1.3 SOF+LDV 37 III.4.2.1.4 SOF+SMV 37 III.4.2.1.5 AOD+RBV 38 III.4.2.2 Follow-up costs in the first year 40 III.4.2.3 Disease cost 40 III.4.3 Utility 40 III.5 Model analysis 42 III.5.1 Model validation 42 III.5.1.1 External validation 43 III.5.1.2 Face validity 43 III.5.1.3 Verification 43 III.5.2 Sensitivity analysis 44 III.5.2.1 One way sensitivity analysis 44 III.5.2.2 Probabilistic sensitivity analysis 44 III.5.2.3 Scenario analysis 45 IV. Results 47 IV.1 Model validation 47 IV.1.1 External validation 47 IV.1.2 Face validity 47 IV.2 Results of health economic analysis 48 IV.2.1 Health outcomes 48 IV.2.2 Health economic outcomes 48 IV.2.3 Life-time cost 50 IV.2.4 Sensitivity analysis 50 IV.2.4.1 One-way sensitivity analysis 50 IV.2.4.2 Probabilistic sensitivity analysis 51 IV.2.4.3 Scenario analysis 52 IV.2.4.3.1 Taiwanese scenario 52 IV.2.4.3.2 Scenarios of relapser and non-relpaser 53 V. Discussion 54 V.1 Statement of principal findings 54 V.2 General discussion 54 V.2.1 Comparing to previous study 54 V.2.2 Assumptions in model and uncertainty in parameters 55 V.2.3 Comparing to the cost-effectiveness analysis of PR in Taiwan. 56 V.2.4 Clinical implications 57 V.3 Strengths and limitations of the assessment 57 VI. Conclusions 58 Figures Figure 1 Conceptual model-treatment phase 60 Figure 2 One year decision tree 61 Figure 3 Conceptual model- post treatment phase: health-state transitions after hepatitis C infection. 62 Figure 4 HCC cumulative incidence of compensated cirrhosis patients predicted by model compared to Gomez et al (F4 stage 1 and F4 stage 2) 63 Figure 5 Mortality predicted by model compared to the mortality from life table in Taiwan 63 Figure 6 HCC cumulative incidence with years after observation in model prediction by METAVIR score F0-F4 64 Figure 7 Cumulative liver related death percentage by model prediction by METAVIR score 64 Figure 8 Cost-effectiveness plane for all treatments in base case 65 Figure 9 Cost-effectiveness plane for all treatments in Taiwanese scenario 65 Figure 10 Cost-effectiveness plane for all treatments in relapser scenario 66 Figure 11 Cost-effectiveness plane for all treatments in non-relapser scenario 66 Figure 12 Percentage of first year cost in life-time cost among treatments 67 Figure 13 Tornado diagram- all strategies 67 Figure 14 One way sensitivity analysis of BOC+PR compared to PR in base case 68 Figure 15 Top 10 parameters in one way sensitivity analysis of BOC+PR compared to PR in base case 68 Figure 16 One way sensitivity analysis of AOD+RBV compared to PR in base case 69 Figure 17 Top 10 parameters in one way sensitivity analysis of AOD+RBV compared to PR in base case 69 Figure 18 One way sensitivity analysis of SMV+SOF compared to PR in base case 70 Figure 19 Top 10 parameters in one way sensitivity analysis of SMV+SOF compared to PR in base case 70 Figure 20 One way sensitivity analysis of SOF+LDV compared to PR in base case 71 Figure 21 Top 10 parameters in one way sensitivity analysis of SOF+LDV compared to PR in base case 71 Figure 22 Cost-effectiveness scatter plots in all treatments 72 Figure 23 Incremental cost-effectiveness plane of BOC+PR compared to PR with willingness to pay of 1-3 GDP in Taiwan 73 Figure 24 Incremental cost-effectiveness plane of AOD+RBV compared to PR with willingness to pay of 1-3 GDP in Taiwan 73 Figure 25 Incremental cost-effectiveness plane of SMV+SOF compared to PR with willingness to pay of 1-3 GDP in Taiwan 74 Figure 26 Incremental cost-effectiveness plane of SOF+LDV compared to PR with willingness to pay of 1-3 GDP in Taiwan 74 Figure 27 Cost-effectiveness acceptability curve of all strategies 75 Figure 28 Cost-effectiveness acceptability curve of BOC+PR compared with PR 76 Figure 29 Cost-effectiveness acceptability curve of AOD+RBV compared with PR 76 Figure 30 Cost-effectiveness acceptability curve of SMV+SOF compared with PR 77 Figure 31 Cost-effectiveness acceptability curve of SOF+LDV compared with PR 77 Tables Table 1 Charcteristics, dosage and indication of DAAs 78 Table 2 Clinical trials of PR treatment in Taiwan 79 Table 3 Clinical trials of BOC+PR treatment 80 Table 4 Clinical trials of interferon-free regimens 81 Table 5 Clinical trials of interferon-free regimens-2 82 Table 6 Review of cost effective analysis in DAAs therapies in treatment experienced patients 83 Table 7 Review of cost effective analysis in DAAs therapies in treatment experienced patients-2 84 Table 8 Annual transition probabilities 85 Table 9 Age-specific mortality derived from life table 86 Table 10 Drug cost 87 Table 11 Cost of each therapy 88 Table 12 follow-up cost of each therapy in the first year 89 Table 13 Health state cost 90 Table 14 Utility inputs 91 Table 15 Efficacy data (SVR rates) used for the analysis 92 Table 16 Health outcomes for a cohort of 10,000 persons by patient receiving treatments or no treatment in base case 93 Table 17 Reduction percentage of liver related disease in DAAs therapy compared to PR in base case 93 Table 18 Life-time health economic outcomes and cost in base case 94 Table 19 Subgroup analysis by METAVIR score in base case 95 Table 20 Subgroup analysis by METAVIR score in base case-2 96 Table 21 Subgroup analysis by METAVIR score in base case-3 97 Table 22 Life-time health economic outcomes and cost in Taiwanese scenario 98 Table 23 Subgroup analysis by METAVIR score in Taiwanese scenario 99 Table 24 Subgroup analysis by METAVIR score in Taiwanese scenario-2 100 Table 25 Subgroup analysis by METAVIR score in Taiwanese scenario-3 101 Table 26 Life-time health economic outcomes and cost in scenario of prior response 102 Table 27 Acceptability of each strategy compared with PR under the willingness to pay of 1-3 GDP in Taiwan 103 Appendix Code book in TreeAge 104 References 107 | |
| dc.language.iso | en | |
| dc.title | 直接抗病毒藥物用於臺灣C型肝炎第一型且曾治療失敗病人
之成本效益分析 | zh_TW |
| dc.title | Cost effectiveness analysis of direct acting antivirals therapies
in treatment-failure HCV genotype 1 patients in Taiwan | en |
| dc.type | Thesis | |
| dc.date.schoolyear | 103-2 | |
| dc.description.degree | 碩士 | |
| dc.contributor.oralexamcommittee | 蒲若芳(Raoh-Fang Pwu),劉俊人(Chun-Jen Liu),楊銘欽(Ming-Chin Yang) | |
| dc.subject.keyword | 成本效益分析,C 型肝炎,直接抗病毒藥物,干擾素,雷巴威林, | zh_TW |
| dc.subject.keyword | Cost effectiveness analysis,hepatitis C,direct acting antiviral,peginterferon,ribavirin, | en |
| dc.relation.page | 112 | |
| dc.rights.note | 未授權 | |
| dc.date.accepted | 2015-07-21 | |
| dc.contributor.author-college | 公共衛生學院 | zh_TW |
| dc.contributor.author-dept | 流行病學與預防醫學研究所 | zh_TW |
| 顯示於系所單位: | 流行病學與預防醫學研究所 | |
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